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Two weeks into Occupy Wall Street protests, movement is at a crossroads

 
 
hingehead
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:28 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Quote:
Their job is to decide whether their bank can afford to loan you money and they evaluate your ability to do so only in that context (to protect them, not to protect you).


Clearly they failed in that job Robert.
Thomas
 
  5  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:29 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:
Their job is to decide whether their bank can afford to loan you money and they evaluate your ability to do so only in that context (to protect them, not to protect you). It is not their job, or their responsibility to tell you how to lead a fiscally sane life.

On the other hand, banks do have an obligation not to impose systemic risks on nonconsenting third parties. Yet that's what lending to high-risk borrowers does, and that's why even Adam Smith supported anti-usury regulations. (He likened them to building codes that made firewalls mandatory.) Granted, you might argue it's the government's business, not the bank's, to make rules against excessive risk-taking. But I would disagree. Even if it's legal to jeopardize the welfare of nonconsenting third parties, it's certainly unethical. Hence, the failure of Wall-Street banks to contain systemic risk justifies the OWS people's moral indignation against them.
parados
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:42 pm
@Robert Gentel,
And the banks didn't do that job well.

Part of evaluating ability to pay back is telling the purchaser what they can afford.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:44 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:
After all, is it not the job of the loan or mortgage officer and bank to tell you that you can't afford certain loans?


No, that is your job and nobody else's. Their job is to decide whether their bank can afford to loan you money and they evaluate your ability to do so only in that context (to protect them, not to protect you). It is not their job, or their responsibility to tell you how to lead a fiscally sane life.


If you read closely, you'll see that I didn't say that it was their job to tell you that you can't afford it to protect YOU. It's their job to tell you that to protect THEM and their investors. They failed to do their job in that respect - tremendously so.

In fact, my next two sentences were:

Quote:
That practice was abandoned completely, because the banks and investment houses thought they have found a way around the risk involved with lending people money they couldn't afford to pay back. The banks used to be cautious about lending, not just b/c it could screw the person in the house, but because it would screw them too.


I don't believe there's any way you could have misinterpreted what I wrote so badly unless you were doing so on purpose.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Robert Gentel
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:48 pm
@hingehead,
hingehead wrote:
I understand your desire to avoid scapegoating - but as purely intellectual exercise 'the sector', as I referred to it several times, does bear greater responsibility than individuals who were caught out. IMHO.


I guess I just think that the sector is broader and that many more people were complicit in their activities than you do, but it does seem to me that our differences are largely of tone and, perhaps, semantics but I think there is also a simple and clear difference of opinion on the ethical part of the argument as well.

I think the decisions were not made by a select few who had a broad enough picture of what they were doing to know the full risks but often by their corporate predecessors or by the system itself as a non-monolithic collective that is partially a black box to all. This is why while you hear a lot of generalized anger, and calls to attack and prosecute these "fat cats" you pretty much never hear anyone naming any specific one as well as anything specific that he did to deserve it. He's just part of a general class of people unto whom such scorn has been conferred by economically uninformed masses but they can't often point out exactly what they did that was so bad, just that they have enough money that they must be guilty!

I also see a very big difference between the NINA problems you point out and the Wall Street MBA problems, they were at opposite ends of the financial world and the way you talk about them seems to reflect a perception that it was a much smaller group of people we can throw under the bus. It was a reflection of a series of beliefs that were widely held (by non-evil people even!) and it took a lot of small mistakes made by many individuals over the course of many years to add up to that situation.

I do not think they do not deserve criticism for their mistakes, but prefer for it to be of a higher intellectual caliber than to simply attack their character as greedy and merely vilify them. I prefer to blame the system and the choices along the way that helped create to simplistic character assassination.

Humans are not good and evil, the world is not black and white. It's just a simpler way of understanding the world for simpler minds. I will forever object to the absurd reductionism and prefer thoughtful nuance. The world is not as simple as it is being described. I hold that these issues are being reduced to absurdity.

Quote:
I've tended to agree with Thomas - but it's not like the two of you are diametrically opposed - you just seem to be taking an apologist stance re: the financial sector - I imagine because you fear a national blood rush to the head targeting bankers rather addressing the issues, and fair enough.


I do not take an apologist stance for them (just because I do not want to lynch them does not mean I want to apologize for them, just because I do not think they are solely to blame doesn't mean I think everyone is equally to blame, honestly it's precisely this kind of black and white absolutism and lack of nuance that I object to) , I simply do not take a stance where reality becomes a cartoonish caricature and they get to be "evil" etc. They made mistakes at a large scale that hurt many people, but the desire to anthropomorphize this economic crisis into human villains is unintelligent, if emotionally satisfying.

I don't fear anything happening to bankers as a result, to be honest I predict precisely no significant result at all from this movement for good or for bad because of the low intellectual standards it has. My qualm is that this superficiality lets the people let the folks whose actual responsibility was to prevent this off the hook because the "filthy rich" are better scapegoats. And that kind of daftitude just rubs me the wrong way.

Thomas and I have virtually no difference of position on the actual underlying economics as far as economic theory goes. What we differ on is just how much political rhetoric should be in the tone and perhaps what ethical positions we might take about when healthy self-interest suddenly turns into evil greed. I do not agree with the populist rhetoric that vilifies the same self-interest everyone serves merely for doing so at a higher scale despite wanting the same restrictions in place on it.

It's not unethical to bet big and lose. If the casino doesn't want to go broke it needs to make rules to limit the bets. But if someone goes in, bets the house and the casino has to lay off everyone that person was not evil, even if the result was highly undesirable to both of our personal philosophies. Thomas and I might both describe the fundamental economics behind the collapse of the casino very similarly, but I will be far less willing to vilify the aggressive casino customer than he appears to be because the entire system is predicated on people pursuing their interests and it is the job of the government to limit such pursuits so as to mitigate risk to the common good.

I think that if you want villains the people who are actually public servants tasked with preventing this should deserve more scorn, but even then I don't want to live in a Disney cartoon, and I'm partial to merely describing their mistakes drily without having to add the character assassination bits in. They made economic mistakes, and sometimes people need to just get their minds around the fact that mistakes, even huge ones, can often be made by perfectly good people whose integrity does not need to be thrown under the bus in order to acknowledge their error.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:54 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Quote:

Prosecute them for what?


I firmly believe that a huge percentage of the bankers involved knew what they were doing would end in massive collapse for their own banks, and were betting on being bailed out - or on being retired comfortably with their fortune no matter what happened. I would also bet that there was a great deal of lying and cheating of clients who were tricked into buying crap CDOs by the big trading houses. Finally, I believe that many of these executives knew for a fact that the CDSwaps they were buying from AIG couldn't possibly ever be paid out.

Or, from a different angle, what about the tremendous fraud that took place regarding the illegal MERS system? Or loan reviewers who were reviewing hundreds of loans a day? Or mortgage servicers who are nothing more than predators, and are still actively screwing people out of modifications of their houses - because that's how they make money? There is zero chance that the managers and executives up the ladder didn't know exactly what was going on, and were pushing it.

There have been no prosecutions of anyone for any of this.

The only way to find evidence of widespread fraud and market manipulation is to investigate it in a way that we practically never do. The SEC is pretty much the shittiest oversight organization in Washington and it's pretty clear that the NY Fed is in the pocket of the big banks there (along with Obama's second biggest mistake, Geithner). Failure to investigate and prosecute the widespread fraud and abuse that went on is one of the primary reasons Americans have lost trust in our financial sector and have lost trust in the govt's ability to effectively keep that sector working FOR America, and not against it.

Quote:
It's not the job of the financial industry to perserve economic stability, it is to make money.


Great. Now we're working to serve OUR interests. See, I don't believe that it's in MY interests for the financial industry to be allowed to 'innovate' willy-nilly with no regulation. I don't think it's in my interest for the tax rates on the rich to remain insanely low. There's nothing whatsoever wrong with the rest of us flexing our collective muscle a bit and pushing back against those who would use their influence to run our country.

Cycloptichorn
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 07:57 pm
@failures art,
Sorta sounds what I imagine Burning Man (still haven't made it there) to be like. In other words: fascinating.
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:00 pm
@Robert Gentel,
After reading this post, my question is: what rules or changes do you recommend be instituted in order to remove the systemic risks that our country faces from the financial sector?

Quote:

It's not unethical to bet big and lose.


It is when you have investors, and you are consistently not only betting big, but over-leveraging your company to the point of ridiculousness in the process. This is what our banks and trading houses did, while profiting tremendously the entire way.

And, let's be honest: the banks didn't lose. The executives didn't lose. They all made a ton of money on the backs of the rest of us. Even the guys who ran places like Bear Stearns made money hand-over-fist for years before losing their jobs. That can't be counted as a loss.

Every single investment house and bank that went under should have been nationalized, broken up and spun back into smaller, healthier units - who could then take all the risk they want, without forcing the whole system to worry about the collapse of any one of group of them. Investors and bondholders should have taken a tremendous bath. That would have been 'betting and losing.'

We just didn't have the balls to do it.

Cycloptichorn
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:05 pm
@reasoning logic,
reasoning logic wrote:
If they were able to do that we would not be in half the mess we are in, and the many investors that paid them to do their job would not have taken such a big loss!


I agree that they failed their fiduciary duties, I just think their duties did not lie in protecting the home owners and that pretending like they are supposed to operate with society's best interest in mind is to fundamentally not understand how our system is supposed to work. I think these concepts of responsibility are important because the people who were actually responsible for trying to keep our economy safe are pretty much allowed off the hook as long as they make a meaningless insult or two to rich people on TV.
0 Replies
 
failures art
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:35 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:

Sorta sounds what I imagine Burning Man (still haven't made it there) to be like. In other words: fascinating.

Well, I'll continue to report from myself and friends from McP. Admittedly, I'm a little turned off from the Freedom Plaza group. Today's Senate stunt signifies a certain eagerness for confrontation that I don't feel when I'm in McP. Two groups have been occupying Freedom Plaza

1) Stop the Machine - a group more focused on stopping the wars
2) We are the 99% - A larger group that meets periodically, but is more guided by a formal org: Progress Now.

I'm cool with the later, but I feel they are the type to want to make #OWS into the typical political digest with a clean left-right ideological dichotomy. I'm less on board with that.

A
R
T
0 Replies
 
failures art
 
  6  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:43 pm
Curve ball commentary for your consideration. Scott Adams (the writer/creator of Dilbert) chimes in

Quote:

The Leap Frog System
Oct 10, 2011


When a board of directors removes a CEO for poor performance, we don't expect the board to have a specific plan for how the next CEO will run things. The board's job is to remove the underperforming CEO and start a search for a new one.

That model reminds me of the Occupy Wall Street protests. Some pundits are criticizing the protesters for not having specific demands, but I don't think that's a fair observation. The protesters are simply trying to fire the old CEO, metaphorically speaking. It's not their job to micromanage the next one.

Some politicians have branded Occupy Wall Street as a class war. But I think that misses the point too. If the economy were humming along and creating the right kind of jobs, folks would see wealth as an aspiration and not an enemy.

I see Occupy Wall Street as an effort to get rid of the system that brought us to this place. The anger is not so much about replacing politicians as it is a complaint about the nature of government and the corrupting influence of money. Our collective image of the protests is muddied by the media's fascination with the nut jobs in the crowds, allegations that George Soros is the puppet master, and references to evil bankers and capitalists. We humans like to put faces to evil, but sometimes the evil is simply the result of a mismatch between the system and the times.

As self-appointed Transitional Leader, I support a new Constitutional Convention. Sooner or later the Occupy Wall Street protesters will join Tea Partiers and others in calling for exactly that. Nothing short of a total system reboot will clear the streets. Tweaking the tax code won't get us there. Replacing ineffective politicians with other ineffective politicians won't get us there.

Our current system of government served us well for over two hundred years. It was perfectly designed for simpler times. Now the natural complexity of issues plus the corrupting influence of money have choked out the system. We're firing on one cylinder. It's time for a new system.

In times like these, it's easy to focus on all of the bad news. But I'm not wired that way. When I see a broken system, I see an opportunity to build something new and better than can leap frog the performance of competing governments. (I'm looking at you, China.)

The Internet has come of age at exactly the time we need it to form the platform for a new system of government. A new and properly engineered government could be immune to financial corruption and more efficient at matching economic resources to opportunities. That sort of change would be enough to turbo charge the United States' economy for generations.

In a reengineered system of government, I like the idea of states operating as test sites for social and economic programs. In some ways, that's the opposite of how things are operating now. For example, the federal government is clamping down on California's state-legalized medical marijuana industry. Does that look like a government system that is worth keeping?

If you want the rich to pay more taxes, there are two ways to do it. One way is to use force, but that path leads to ruin or gridlock because the rich have plenty of force of their own. The other way is to change the system to make it worth the extra taxes. I'll gladly pay 5% more in taxes in exchange for a better system of government, under the theory that a better government will create a better economy and give me a return on my investment. And I'll believe that's possible when we have a Constitutional Convention.


I'm not really in the "re-boot" camp, but I think he makes some good points.

source

A
R
T
0 Replies
 
failures art
 
  7  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:46 pm
For those unfamiliar with Suze Orman, she writes about personal finance.

Quote:

"Occupy Wall Street": Approved!
Posted: 10/11/11 11:45 AM ET


In the space of less than a month, the Occupy Wall Street movement has gained national notoriety. A new poll out Monday shows that more than half of Americans are aware of the grass-roots campaign pushing back at the outsize profits, bailouts, and influence of the financial sector. That quick rise has plenty of special interests so worried they have resorted to a pathetic yet popular tact: When you feel threatened, work overtime to marginalize the threat before it establishes traction.

Me? I want to publicly say thank you to the Occupy Wall Street movement. Thank you for not accepting the status quo. Thank you for not assuming there is nothing to be done. Thank you for rattling the cages. Much coverage of Occupy Wall Street has cast this as the beginning of something new. That's only partly true. What I find so encouraging is that Occupy Wall Street's more important message is that this marks an end point. An end to just shrugging and putting up with the inequity. An end to patiently waiting for government to get its act together and take steps to reduce the pain felt by millions of Americans who are unemployed, the millions more who are underemployed, and the millions more again who worry that if we indeed slip into a double dip recession they will soon become unemployed. An end to letting Washington just continue further down its dysfunctional dark hole without being called out.

To deride the movement because it has yet to formulate a well-delineated platform says plenty more about the critics than the protestors. Revolutions tend to be messy, especially in the early going. The unholy alliance of much of Congress, K Street and Wall Street that has set the agenda from day one of the financial crisis is simply trying to protect its turf by casting aspersions on the ad hoc nature of the movement to date. I suppose I shouldn't expect anything less. After all, there's no way they could stage a substantive rebuttal based on facts. It is a real shame that the progress that Congress made last year in passing consumer financial reforms are now being blocked by these same interests.

The recent New York Times' report that inflation-adjusted median household income declined 7.6% from June 2009 to June 2011 has garnered much attention. While plenty bad enough, that income drop is really just an emphatic exclamation point to disturbing long-term trend. Adjusted for inflation, median household income has gone no where since the late 1990s. So much for shared prosperity.

As we all know to make up for the lack of income gains, American households borrowed plenty in the '90s and all the way up to the financial crisis. Yet the response to date has been to bail out the banks but offer virtually nothing to overextended homeowners who are hopelessly underwater on homes. Yes, I am well aware of the various federal housing assistance programs that were launched in the wake of the crisis. But they have been failures. And why is that? Well, our federal government thought it would work to craft programs that offered some small incentives to banks to modify mortgages, and then ask the banks if they would like to participate. It was entirely optional! And we're supposed to be surprised that three years in, banks -- after having happily accepting the bailout money -- weren't exactly eager to participate? Please.

And in my opinion there is no greater example of Washington politicians and K Street lobbyists working against our future prosperity than in the treatment of student loan debt. To be clear, this problem existed even before the crisis; families have been taking on crushing debt to help the kids get ahead for a few decades, as the cost of school has far outpaced inflation. It's just come to a painful head now: graduates with no jobs, or low paying jobs are justifiably panicked that they will never be able to get the loans paid off. Meanwhile, many well-meaning parents who only wanted to help their kids by taking out loans for college, are now laid off, or in new jobs that pay less. Yet where's the relief for these borrowers, who took out loans so their kids could compete in the workplace, or better yet, we collectively could compete in the global marketplace? Far from relief, here's what we have: a bankruptcy system that does not allow student loans to be discharged. Many other debts can be discharged, but not student loans. Look, we want a society where everyone strives to repay their debts. That's clear. But to single out education loans as the one type of debt that our system specifically prohibits from standard bankruptcy is flat-out wrong. We bail out the banks, but offer nothing to American families that borrowed to become more educated and competitive?

And more recently we now have the big bank-fee dust-up. Financial reform post-crisis has reduced banks' ability to collect as much fee income. So some banks have responded by announcing plans to roll out new fees to make up for the new restrictions on what they can charge for the old fees. Let's be clear, this isn't a matter of the banks being able to make payroll. What's at stake is the magnitude of their profits. They are piling on new fees to keep their outsize profits up. Sure, that's absolutely fair play in a capitalistic society. But I don't think this country was built on the fee income that gouged the little guy. Banks used to rely more on income from lending money to qualified borrowers, be it businesses or individuals. Today, the financial system seems less interested in being an intermediary in financing a growing economy and more interested in collecting fees that have absolutely no connection to participating in economic expansion. Is that really how low we're going to let the target be set? Occupy Wall Street is issuing an emphatic no. To that, I give a heartfelt, "Approved!"


source

A
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Thomas
 
  3  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 08:53 pm
@failures art,
failures art wrote:
For those unfamiliar with Suze Orman, she writes about personal finance.

And, nobody could mistake her for a hippie!
0 Replies
 
hingehead
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:09 pm
@failures art,
Two interesting pieces FA - thanks for the links.
0 Replies
 
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:15 pm
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:
Even if it's legal to jeopardize the welfare of nonconsenting third parties, it's certainly unethical.


The problem with this ethical absolutism of yours is that it completely ignores that it was unintentional and not some evil plot that they hatched and "rigged" to work their way.

I disagree that it is "certainly" unethical to unknowingly take actions that harm others. Intent and predictability matter, you criticize their actions with the benefit of hindsight but their behavior was widely viewed as within norms of risk when they took them. They were clearly wrong, but I'm not with you on how you characterize this wrong.
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:16 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
I firmly believe that a huge percentage of the bankers involved knew what they were doing would end in massive collapse for their own banks, and were betting on being bailed out - or on being retired comfortably with their fortune no matter what happened.


I hope you at least are honest enough to admit to yourself that you believe this, "firmly", in the complete absence of supporting evidence.
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:24 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
After reading this post, my question is: what rules or changes do you recommend be instituted in order to remove the systemic risks that our country faces from the financial sector?


Pretty much exactly what Thomas has already posted, or Krugman cause they are identical twins now. To recap it's basically to regulate new financial institutions and new financial instruments a lot like how old financial institutions and old financial instruments were regulated after the Great Depression. The problem, if it is simplified, is basically that the financial market evolved quicker than regulation and managed to convince the government that greater leverage of capital was safe. If we want a sound-byte answer that is the fix.

The stuff I want to cut are your ideas like capping CEO pay, "attacking" and prosecuting bankers, for non-existent crimes. Breaking apart banks when they really should just be regulated better and, if necessary, when bailed out the government needs to negotiate more fairly (there should have been temporary nationalization of some banks, period).

Now I think you agree with pretty much all that I want to do, but let's drop the populist stuff. There's no refund on that pitchfork, you know.
0 Replies
 
Robert Gentel
 
  3  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:28 pm
@hingehead,
I agree. They failed their responsibilities to their employers, their companies and their shareholders. But not to the society, companies are supposed to do what makes them money, that is kinda their point, and they failed in their job as a company.

I'm just not as willing to say that this makes it so that they failed their responsibilities to society because it is in society's interest* to recognize that the government is where the responsibility should lie to limit the economic contagion when you fail.

* This crisis is partly a huge indictment to the economic theory of self-regulation, we don't want these guys to be responsible. This is our government's job and we should want them to do a good job, and not just have them say what we want about rich people. Obama taking pot shots at the CEOs for their planes is good political theater, but letting them have bailouts without getting the piece of the companies that the public deserved as a result was a handout. Why can this happen? Because the masses are so susceptible to such simple deflection, and even if the politicians were chewing out some guy who they just finished putting in the company to run it (and therefore had nothing at all to do with the prior mistakes) the public accepts this as really sticking it to those fatties and the systemic problem remains.

Pretty much any economist worth his salt (not trying to pull a "no true Scotsman" here, this is really just academic consensus I'm trying to relate) agrees on what fundamental types of measures would mitigate against future such crisises but why don't we have those changes? I blame the preference for meaningless character assassination over meaningful and thoughtful proposals, well that and the whole of the right too, who don't bother to realize that their newfound passion for austerity is just political obstructionism and that there is an academic consensus that it's wrongheaded as well, but that is a whole 'nother story).

I'm basically just fed up with the entire academic community knowing how to fix this, while being drowned out in the din of political stupidity. Sticking it to the rich is just not a coherent strategy and shouldn't really be the goal in the first place (improving their end of the societal bargain should be, and not all ways of sticking it to the rich do that).
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  2  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:30 pm
@Robert Gentel,
I'm kind of a bit puzzled about this.

I consider myself an economics ignoramus.....but I knew that a ginormous bubble had been created that was going to be very ugly when it burst. Based, I guess, on the history of bubbles and over-heated markets.

I also recall many pundits in the press warning of the dangers of the situation.

Ought not people in banking be way more aware than I of such things?

Also, has not the US financial sector vigorously lobbied against the sort of even mild regulation that might have impeded, for instance, the massive lending for sub prime mortgages? Is that same sector not again vigorously opposing even the mild regulation proposed by Obama after having been bailed out by public funds?

Or do you think there was no reason to think that the financial sector should have been aware of danger, and in my ignorance I just happened to be a monkey accidentally creating a sentence on the iconic typewriter?



dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Oct, 2011 09:31 pm
@Robert Gentel,
I'm kind of a bit puzzled about this.

I consider myself an economics ignoramus.....but I knew that a ginormous bubble had been created that was going to be very ugly when it burst. Based, I guess, on the history of bubbles and over-heated markets.

I also recall many pundits in the press warning of the dangers of the situation.

Ought not people in banking be way more aware than I of such things?

Also, has not the US financial sector vigorously lobbied against the sort of even mild regulation that might have impeded, for instance, the massive lending for sub prime mortgages? Is that same sector not again vigorously opposing even the mild regulation proposed by Obama after having been bailed out by public funds?

Or do you think there was no reason to think that the financial sector should have been aware of danger, and in my ignorance I just happened to be a monkey accidentally creating a sentence on the iconic typewriter?



 

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