26
   

Tick, tick. August 2nd is the Debt Limit Armageddon. Or Not.

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 08:30 am
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

Thomas wrote:

georgeob1 wrote:
If Thomas is correct concern about the public debt and spending is a "distant second" to concern about unemployment. That hardly counts as "not giving a **** about it" as you so bombastically insist.

Perhaps you should have bothered to click the link and read the page instead of hiding behind your "if Thomas is correct" dodge. Then you would have noticed that Cycloptichorn and I are basically saying the same thing. These days, jobs and economic recovery is practically the only national priority respondents care about at all.


It was no ******* dodge at all. I merely quoted what you wrote, and trusting your veracity, had no need to check your link for something so unambiguous.

I do, however find your statement that you agree with Cyclo, that concern over the national debt & deficit is somewhere between "something no one outsdide of washington DC gives a **** about" and ""practically the only national priority respondants care about at all" rather disingenuous, given that the survey you cited, by your own report listed concern about the debt as "a distant second on the list".


Seriously - you should check people's links when they post them. You'd see poll numbers like this:

"What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?" (Open-ended)

Economy/Jobs - 53 %
Budget deficit/National debt - 7%

---

"Which of the following do you see as the most important issue facing the country right now? Unemployment and jobs. Government spending. The federal deficit. Health care. The war in Afghanistan. Gas prices. Immigration. Taxes." Options rotated

Unemployment and jobs - 42%
Government spending - 17%

And even in a Fox poll -

"Which one of the following issues do you think the president and Congress should focus on right now? The economy and jobs. The deficit and government spending. Health care. Terrorism and national security. Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Immigration." Options rotated

Economy and jobs - 50
Deficit and government spending - 22

---

Put simply, 'distant second' is a great way to describe the situation. Polling simply does not show that a majority of Americans, growing numbers of Americans, or even a significant PERCENTAGE of Americans consider tackling our debt to be a major concern at this time or what we should be focusing on.

And it's not hard to see why; the debt is an arbitrary number, with little impact on their day-to-day lives. Job creation is the exact opposite.

SO, when you say that 'Americans are greatly concerned about the debt et cetera...,' polling says that you are wrong. You're describing your small group of ideological allies. THEY are greatly concerned - or, more accurately, they SAY they are greatly concerned. I see very little evidence that they are concerned about this; and a lot of evidence that this whole issue has been ginned up to attack entitlement and social spending that Republicans don't like. That is the true endgame here; not cutting spending or balancing the budget, but attacking parts of the government that your side has been trying for YEARS to get rid of.

And you thought that it would be a neat idea to take the country's financial stability hostage to do so. What were you guys thinking?

As of today, it's clear that Republicans in Congress don't have the strength of their convictions, and will fold on the negotiations rather than force a shutdown. I want to remind you that yesterday, I mentioned that Obama would turn to the bully pulpit to take against your side; to which you responded 'they have little to fear from that.' Well, yesterday, Obama stated that if this crisis were not resolved, SS and Veterans' checks could not be guaranteed; and it took less than a day for your side to capitulate. So, yeah; maybe not such a great prediction on your part, in retrospect, wouldn't you think?

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/58843.html

Cycloptichorn
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 08:31 am
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:
It was no ******* dodge at all. I merely quoted what you wrote, and trusting your veracity, had no need to check your link for something so unambiguous.

Alright, I'm sorry I misunderstood you, then. I do get too testy in these discussions sometimes.
0 Replies
 
wandeljw
 
  1  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 08:58 am
I was wondering whether the Republican Party will always be prevented from making compromises because of the Tea Party faction. If the public wants to see compromise, they may turn their frustrations against the Republican Party.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  2  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 11:57 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Your thinking is too categorical and I believe you are ignoring other significant evidence in the matter.

That the lack of jobs and employment opportunity is the chief voiced concern of Americans in polls is hardly a surprise in the current economic situation. Unemployment is above 9% even with wholesale departures from the force of jobseekers, and there is little near term prospect of improvement. Consumer and business confidence are at record lows indicating the situation will last. The government has offered no credible prospect for optimism and creativity, proposing only more taxes and continued spending.

However, that is not to say that there is not significant concern about governmentt debt and spending. Concerns about spending and government debt were the second-ranked "top concern" in the polls you cited. However, many of those whose noted top concern was unemployment are also concerned about the debt - they are not at all mutually exclusive. On the contrary they are linked in the views of many people. Unemployment concerns strike very close to home, and quite naturally get the most personal reaction.

The results of the last Congressional election and, before that, the rise of the tea party movement which you so despise, are clear indicators of widespread public concern on these matters. Thes facts carry at least as much weight as your much loved polls.

I never suggested that concern avout the debt was the chief or only concern of the American public - only that it is indeed a significant public concern. The truth of my proposition is supported even by the poll that you so rudely described as indicating that "no one outside of Washington gives a **** about the debt". Your proposition was nonsensical and stupid . Unfortunately, you appear to be unwilling to acknowledge that obvious fact.

I am bemused by the general suggestions that in the current impasse it is only the Republicans who are unwilling to compromise. I am not aware of any meaningful committments of the Administration to binding restructuring of entitlements or significant reductions in spending. On the contrary the President is demanding the restoration of the pre Bush income tax rates - something he conceded would not be done just a few months ago. That doesn't look or smell like compromise to me.

On an even more fundamental level the president - whose clear leadership responsibility is to do so - has consistently fasiled to offer any clear or comprehensive plan for restoring economic growth and dealing with our still rapidly growing deficits and debt. Indeed he and his party's majorities in Congress consistently failed even to introduce specific fiscal year budgets, even though it is their legal responsibility to do so. I believe Obama is playing the only game he knows - he is againvoting "present" anf hoping that yet another head fake will enable his political survival.
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 12:09 pm
@georgeob1,
Quote:
On the contrary they are linked in the views of many people.


Well, they shouldn't be, for the two have nothing to do with each other; other than the fact that draconian efforts to balance the budget right now WILL lead to further loss of jobs and more unemployment.

Of course, they probably link the two in their minds, because a large part of the GOP strategy relies upon misleading people about the way our economy and government works.

Quote:
The results of the last Congressional election and, before that, the rise of the tea party movement which you so despise, are clear indicators of widespread public concern on these matters. Thes facts carry at least as much weight as your much loved polls.


There are many interpretations for the 2010 Congressional election, and many of them do not match your narrative here. Yet you treat it as if you are repeating Facts to us. Those aren't facts, and they aren't evidence of your position.

I would say that there are several other explanations for the 2010 elections, some of which are far less savory than what you would have us believe.

Either way, I can show you polling which finds that majorities of Americans, including significant parts of the GOP, would rather see things such as taxes going up rather than benefit cuts to SS and Medicare. Hard for me to believe that there's a wide-spread agreement with what your side is trying to do, when polling shows that it's just not the case.

Quote:

I never suggested that concern avout the debt was the chief or only concern of the American public - only that it is indeed a significant public concern.


It is not a significant public concern; you have no data showing that it is. You are merely making this up to support your personal concerns, and rely upon interpretations of elections to show that it is - while ignoring evidence that it is not.

Quote:

I am bemused by the general suggestions that in the current impasse it is only the Republicans who are unwilling to compromise. I am not aware of any meaningful committments of the Administration to binding restructuring of entitlements or significant reductions in spending.


That's because you aren't paying attention and don't read articles on these issues at all, apparently. The Dems - and this is in many different forms of media - had highlighted many areas of spending they were willing to compromise by cutting, to the tune (depending on what day of negotiations are under discussion) of 2-4 trillion dollars over the next decade.

All they asked in return was modest tax increases on the rich. But, that's a bridge too far for the modern GOP, because keeping taxes on the rich low is, was, and always WILL be, their only and ultimate goal.

Quote:
President is demanding the restoration of the pre Bush income tax rates - something he conceded would not be done just a few months ago.


He conceded that they wouldn't expire this year; he said nothing at all about the future. So you're pretty off base here.

Look, if your side wants spending cuts as part of the deal, they need to bring something to the table to get them; otherwise, you're going to be **** out of luck, and what more, you're going to get punished politically for your temerity. It's already beginning to happen; the GOP is in disarray today as various factions snipe at each other. Do you honestly want this to turn into an election-year issue by dragging it out further? The Dems do Laughing

Cycloptichorn
georgeob1
 
  -1  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 02:31 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Do you honestly want this to turn into an election-year issue by dragging it out further? The Dems do Laughing

Cycloptichorn


I suspect you read too many predigested arguments in political blogs. Better to think for yourself. Careful you don't become totally reliant on the propaganda you so prodigiously consume.
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Wed 13 Jul, 2011 02:40 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

Do you honestly want this to turn into an election-year issue by dragging it out further? The Dems do Laughing

Cycloptichorn


I suspect you read too many predigested arguments in political blogs. Better to think for yourself. Careful you don't become totally reliant on the propaganda you so prodigiously consume.


I am thinking for myself, George. Sorry if you don't like the conclusions.

But I'll note that you didn't answer the question or address anything I wrote. Suffice it to say, that your claims are not credible in the face of actual data. But, hey; you knew that before you wrote them. You just don't like it when people point it out.

I read far, far more Republican blogs and sites than I do Dem sites these days. I don't need to see analysis from the side I already agree with. It's far more interesting to watch the weakness and infighting on the other side.

The reason your leadership is currently looking for an exit strategy to this mess, is because they agree with my analysis and disagree with yours. Or perhaps you have a better explanation for the sudden reversal we've seen in negotiation from your side?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -3  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 07:06 am
By Neal Boortz

Under the esteemed leadership of Barack Obama, our federal deficit will break the $1 trillion mark for the third year in a row. At this point in the fiscal year, we’ve managed to acquire a $971 billion deficit. Just three years ago, this figure would have broken a record for the entire year of federal spending. Now we are spending that in just nine months.

So what if these clowns in Washington manage to come to a resolution on our debt ceiling, with $2 trillion in deficit reduction. None of it will even matter if we don’t grow our economy. The CBO estimates that the cumulative deficit over the next decade will be about $11 trillion. Keep in mind that the CBO analyzes these figures with a static view .. by law the CBO cannot allow for changes in economic behavior when tax rates go up or down. Nonetheless, let’s use this figure of $11 trillion over the next decade. If our economy continues to grow at just 2.25% of GDP, rather than the 3% that Obama predicts, our cumulative deficit will be closer to $13.7 trillion. For those of you who went to government schools, that is $2.7 trillion higher. So back to these deficit cuts … if we cut $2 trillion today but don’t get our economy moving again, it may all be for naught.
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -3  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 07:08 am



reckless rhetoric - Obama style
0 Replies
 
revelette
 
  1  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 08:45 am
Polls: Should any debt ceiling agreement include tax increases?

0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 10:01 am
Good post/article from Nate Silver re: how far out of the Republican mainstream the Republican leadership is with these negotiations:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/07/13/house-republicans-no-tax-stance-far-outside-political-mainstream/

Some quotes:

Quote:
Few Americans, however, take the view that spending cuts alone should be made in a deal, with no tax increases at all. In fact, only 26 percent of the Republican voters surveyed in Gallup’s poll took that position, along with 20 percent of voters overall.

[...]

If we do take the Republicans’ no-new-taxes position literally, it isn’t surprising that the negotiations have broken down. Consider that, according to the Gallup poll, Republican voters want the deal to consist of 26 percent tax increases, and Democratic voters 46 percent — a gap of 20 percentage points. If Republicans in the House insist upon zero tax increases, there is a larger ideological gap between House Republicans and Republican voters than there is between Republican voters and Democratic ones.
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2011/07/13/us/politics/fivethirtyeight-0713-conservativehouse3/fivethirtyeight-0713-conservativehouse3-blog480.jpg

[...]

If a deal were to occur, it would probably have to be revenue-neutral. There is still some possibility of this because there are some tax reductions that many Democrats in Congress would support on their own merits — for example, cuts to the payroll tax, which could have a stimulative effect, in exchange for the closing of tax loopholes elsewhere.

But the House Republicans are very unlikely to capitulate on their no-tax pledge. And Democrats have little reason to capitulate either: they are on the right side of public opinion.
H2O MAN
 
  -4  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 10:42 am


Rumblings on the hill indicate Obama's economic team is fractured
and that most do not agree with the presidents methods and motives.
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -3  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 12:31 pm




The increasing amount of desperation and fear mongering put forth
by the Obama administration indicates that they are in panic mode.
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -2  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 12:55 pm



Obamageddon is just around the corner...
parados
 
  2  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:21 pm
@H2O MAN,
That has to be two of the stupidest contradictory posts ever by you squirt...
0 Replies
 
H2O MAN
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:31 pm
http://www.frugal-cafe.com/public_html/frugal-blog/frugal-cafe-blogzone/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/crybaby-obama.jpg
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:39 pm
@H2O MAN,
Hes been taking "emote your ass off" lessons from John Boehner.
H2O MAN
 
  0  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:45 pm
@farmerman,


He's a little cry baby and he's kind of a dick
farmerman
 
  2  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:46 pm
@H2O MAN,
Hes actually a BArry, youre a "head of a penis"
H2O MAN
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 14 Jul, 2011 01:53 pm
@farmerman,
You're that dickless formerman aren't you? Laughing

Formerman, why is your nose so brown, you been up BArry's again?
 

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