@spendius,
Quote: I daresay more kids smoke than would otherwise be the case if everybody shut up about the subject. Make it naughty and something disapproved of old reformed fogies and kids will dare it down. Make it just another part of life, as it was for a very long time, and the price will determine the take up of tobacco. Which you have a choice over.
Again, you would be wrong.
The effects that anti-smoking efforts have on teen smoking are scientifically measured, and they are dramatically effective. It is pretty simple really, you start an anti-smoking campaign. You measure the teen smoking rates before and after the campaign. You can get more information by interviewing teenagers before and after.
The fact is that anti-smoking campaigns have been quite successful at decreasing the teen smoking rate. Not surprisingly, the lung cancer and heart disease rates (which lag smoking rates by 20 years or so) have also dropped as expected.
Not only are the advertisements effective, raising the price of cigarettes through taxes is also proven to be very effective (not by guessing-- but by people going out and doing the research).