What may Isabel mean to Chesapeake?

It's actually the Gov'ner's office at the Mass State House.

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latest report says Isabel won't make it inland enough to effect Raleigh, so you can breathe a sigh of relief for me sugar... Laughing

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Bi-Polar Bear wrote:

latest report says Isabel won't make it inland enough to effect Raleigh, so you can breathe a sigh of relief for me sugar...

That's a good thing!!

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Just stopping by to wish everyone on the east coast good luck with this storm.

Up here in New Jersey, we usually just get the remnants of storms -- but one of the possible landfalls is on our beaches.

Nancy and I wish you all the best -- wherever you are and wherever this thing decides to make landfall. Our thoughts are with you.

And we are prepared to batten down the hatches on our place.

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There's a storm coming in from the prairies that is supposed to reach us just as the tail end of Isabel arrives. They've been telling us to put garden furniture etc away, so that no one is injured. It is a bit weird getting hurricane-handling advice so far from the coast. But I'll be out putting stuff away in the yard. Wouldn't want someone impaled on an umbrella or something.

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Bi-Polar Bear wrote:

latest report says Isabel won't make it inland enough to effect Raleigh, so you can breathe a sigh of relief for me sugar...

Phew!!! Sp glad to hear it :-)

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Well, this isn't looking good at all. Isabel is now a mere category 2 (100 mph winds) and with lots and lots of rain, hitting NC and then coming pretty much directly inland.
Sugar (9/14 @ 6:23 pm) referenced a site that shows the path. Take a look at it if you are interested.
We are right on the solid line of the in-land trajectory.
All of the motel rooms in my town, 150 miles from the coast, are reportedly filled tonight with folks who decided to leave the eastern shore. Perhaps they should have gone further west.

I've had some scary situations in my life (VN, for example). What freaks me out is the waiting.

Thank you for taking the time to read this. If this storm peters out, I'll be shown to be a complete idiot, which would be an upggrade from my last ranking as a "total idiot."
-realjohnboy-

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realjohnboy wrote:

Well, this isn't looking good at all. Isabel is now a mere category 2 (100 mph winds) and with lots and lots of rain, hitting NC and then coming pretty much directly inland.
Sugar (9/14 @ 6:23 pm) referenced a site that shows the path. Take a look at it if you are interested.
We are right on the solid line of the in-land trajectory.
All of the motel rooms in my town, 150 miles from the coast, are reportedly filled tonight with folks who decided to leave the eastern shore. Perhaps they should have gone further west.

I've had some scary situations in my life (VN, for example). What freaks me out is the waiting.

Thank you for taking the time to read this. If this storm peters out, I'll be shown to be a complete idiot, which would be an upggrade from my last ranking as a "total idiot."
-realjohnboy-

Well, atleast the hurricane is down grading as it moves along which is a good thing. Hang in there and be safe.

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Quote:

I've had some scary situations in my life (VN, for example). What freaks me out is the waiting.

Thank you for taking the time to read this. If this storm peters out, I'll be shown to be a complete idiot, which would be an upggrade from my last ranking as a "total idiot."
-realjohnboy-

Are you waiting it out alone or with family, John? If alone, find some folks to wait with, that will make it a little easier.

As for the idiot stuff, there are lots and lots of victims of Hugo who wished they had been idiots and made better preparations/evacuated. I don't view it as idiotic at all. I view it as being responsible and accountable for your own survival.

Hang in there. If you plan to be online for as long as you're able and want company, we're here for you.

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Here's the latest advisory for anyone who needs it.

Quote:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 170240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003

...ISABEL HEADING FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COAST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE
FEAR NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE
LINE INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE NORTHWARD TO
CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL
POTOMAC.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR SOUTHWARD TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
LITTLE EGG INLET NEW JERSEY...AND FROM SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET
TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.7 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER
...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY USAF RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...28.5 N... 71.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 957 MB.

FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

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and now it's changed direction again and heading right inland at raleigh, putting in at Cape Fear.....
I may get a freebie liner for my pool after all....lemonade from lemons.....

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Good evening: It strikes me as ironic that yesterday and today have just been two of the most beautiful early fall days one could imagine.
Glorious weather for the moment.
I'm feeling better than I felt yesterday and thank you for your concern. The folks on the coast of NC, VA and MD are where we should focus right now. Many people have wisely left. Universities, such as William & Mary, have told their students to get out of town.

We're going to shut down the house tomorrow morning, I reckon. It's been our home since 1976 but not where you would want to be in a hurricane.
I own a three-story brick, steel and concrete building downtown, with no big plate glass windows.
We've loaded some camping gear, like air-mattresses, into the van. We're going there. I've got keys and permission from tenants to sleep in their spaces so, for example, my employee David and his extremely pregnant wife can be 30 miles closer to the hospital.

I wanted to talk to y'all about the changing cloud formations today. Pretty amazing. Maybe later.
Thanks and good luck to the coasters. -rjb-

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7:27 pm and the sky is starting to look rough already in Raleigh....

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If you all don't get a chance to get back online while the brunt of the storm hits, please be sure to check in and let us know all is well as soon as you are able after Isabel passes by.

Would love to have one of you writer types paint us a verbal picture of the storm as it approaches, hits and fades away. Tell us about the changing views, smells and sounds. Take that on as an assignment to keep yourself occupied if you wish. Smile

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Quote:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 172338
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2003

...HURRICANE ISABEL RIGHT ON TRACK...HEADING FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH
POINT NORTHWARD...AND FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED PRIOR
TO LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISABEL IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE PRECISE TIMING AND LOCATION OF LANDFALL IS
UNCERTAIN...AND CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVER A LARGE AREA WELL
BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
ALREADY APPROACHING THE COASTLINE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ISABEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
SCALE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 315 MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. A
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH EXTREMELY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS EXPECTED IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF ADJACENT
RIVERS.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL.

THERE IS THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...31.5 N... 73.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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This is incredible living this storm vicariously on the Internet.

I second what Butflynet said to realjohnboy: Better to be safe than sorry -- and let anyone say whatever he heck they want.

Stay safe. Let us know what is happening.

Bear:

Lemons from lemons. Free pool tops.

I love it!

You are a twisted dude!

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Take care, all you coastal types. I sure wish I hadn't seen Chincoteague on that list. It's one of the most beautiful places I've ever been. Definitely the place I've seen the most beautiful sunrises. I hope the ponies will be ok.

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We are expecting sustained 40 to 50 MPH winds in Raleigh today. The timing is good. i can get to the gym now, take my equipment to Holiday Inn and set up so no matter what happens they have to pay me. then I can be home from say 1 to 5 when we supposedly will get the brunt of the action to be with and comfort my cubs, then when things calm down I can ride out to the Holiday Inn and do my show in front of a packed house because no one can get to the airport to fly out. I'll put out a tip jar and make enough extra money to get that tattoo I've been wanting.

And hopefully that new pool liner, Frank.

My jet ski is a 1996 Sea Doo GTX. It has 110 horses and goes at a nice 55 mph clip, but now they make one that will do seventy. Think I'll put the ski under this really big pine at the end of our driveway. :wink:

On a serious note, if any of you are still close to the coast, this would be a good time to HEAD WEST!!!!!! Be careful.

What may Isabel mean to Chesapeake?

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