@hingehead,
Not an expert on this sort of thing, hinge, but going by what I've seen of both the teams in this tournament, the outcome will probably hinge who makes the least mistakes.
With a side like Oz, fielding plays a huge role - you've got be real sharp, and I'm not very confident about the Indian team's athletism. Weak fielding is more of a chronic problem now for us - we have accepted it's always going to be there. We have gotten used to it, but we just hope it doesn't flare up during critical encounters.