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New roll-out (propaganda campaign) for war with Iran?

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Sep, 2007 10:02 am
Well, if it is published in salon.com, and it is a good rumor, one that fulfills the fantasies of the evil conspiracy theorists around here, it certainly must be true.

Bernie appears to have a decided affection for the argument from authority. Truly medieval in his use of it.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Sep, 2007 10:34 am
george, you grand nincompoop

If you go back and check, you'll see that I've posted commentary from folks who believe an attack will come and from others who think it won't. This isn't argument from authority, nitwit...it's a compilation of varied opinions.

Now, if you misunderstand the fallacy even moreso than it appears, you might suggest that my earlier reference of Greenspan's opinion to MM constitutes an instance of this fallacy. But you'd be wrong because I didn't suggest Greenspan's notion MUST be correct (just that it is far far more likely to be correct than Mysterman's notion) ...
Quote:
Since this sort of reasoning is fallacious only when the person is not a legitimate authority in a particular context
http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Sep, 2007 10:42 am
The way I see it:

Bush has nothing to lose by attacking Iran; he needs to turnaround his dismal lack of support of the American People, and that's the only time a president gets almost full support.

As with Iraq, Bush will leave the clean-up job to the next president.

Many of the politicians and pundits believe Bush will strike Iran.

According to some of the Washington insiders, Bush is planning it now.

That's enough "evidence" for me to believe Bush will strike first, and ask questions later - if ever. He doesn't need to plan the aftermath or end-game.

His performance rating goes up before he leaves office. About the only end-game left for Bush.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Sep, 2007 11:00 am
Clearly, I have touched a nerve in Bernie. I suspect that deep within that twisted Canadian spirit, sodden as it is with Calvanist and secular intellectual strivings, there lurks a lyrical Catholic soul looking for expression. Suppressed by all the Hofstadterian pretensions, it sublimates and reveals itself in these strange but evident longings for clarity, authority and revealed truth.

When the moment comes, Bernie, we will welcome you to the fold.
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spendius
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Sep, 2007 11:18 am
Is it okay to titter?
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Sep, 2007 11:03 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Clearly, I have touched a nerve in Bernie. I suspect that deep within that twisted Canadian spirit, sodden as it is with Calvanist and secular intellectual strivings, there lurks a lyrical Catholic soul looking for expression. Suppressed by all the Hofstadterian pretensions, it sublimates and reveals itself in these strange but evident longings for clarity, authority and revealed truth.

When the moment comes, Bernie, we will welcome you to the fold.

Quote:
"fold" noun
1. an enclosure for sheep
[Origin: bef. 900; ME fold, fald, OE fald, falod; akin to OS faled pen, enclosure, MLG vālt pen, enclosure, manure heap, MD vaelt, vaelde]
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Sep, 2007 05:15 pm
What's up with manure heaps Bernie. All fecundity stems from manure heaps.

Do you not know that there has been so much waste piled up in manure heaps that the entire global surface down to about three feet, some say more, is nothing else in the areas of fastest economic growth. If you don't like manure heaps perhaps you should relocate to the Sahara Desert or the windswept rocky outcrops up the Khyber Pass.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 07:52 am
Quote:
Report: Cheney may have mulled pushing Israel to hit Iran

By Haaretz Service

Newsweek Magazine reported Sunday that Vice President Richard Cheney may have considered a plan for Israeli missile strikes against an Iranian nuclear site in an effort to draw a military response from Iran, which could in turn spark a U.S. offensive against targets in the Islamic Republic.

Citing two unnamed sources the magazine called knowledgeable, the magazine quoted David Wurmser, until last month Cheney's Middle East advisor, as having told a small group of people that "Cheney had been mulling the idea of pushing for limited Israeli missile strikes against the Iranian nuclear site at Natanz - and perhaps other sites - in order to provoke Tehran into lashing out."

According to the report, "The Iranian reaction would then give Washington a pretext to launch strikes against military and nuclear targets in Iran."

Newsweek said that it had corroborated Wurmser's remarks, which it said were first published by Washington foreign-policy blogger Steven Clemons
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/906386.html
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 10:04 am
It is safe assumption that any U.S. government would, under these circumstances, consider the options which were the speculation of the piece Bernie cited. It is a near certainty that Israel has itself independently considered and evaluated the option of an independent strike on Iran, just as it abundantly clear from its own pronouncements that the government of Iran has considered similar missile strikes against Israel. (Indeed through its proxy, Hamas, Iran can be said to already have done that.)

The only remarkable part of this piece is the assumption that it is (1) newsworthy, and (2) somehow indicative of something reprehensible different in the behavior of this government.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 11:21 am
georgeob1 wrote:
It is safe assumption that any U.S. government would, under these circumstances, consider the options which were the speculation of the piece Bernie cited. It is a near certainty that Israel has itself independently considered and evaluated the option of an independent strike on Iran, just as it abundantly clear from its own pronouncements that the government of Iran has considered similar missile strikes against Israel. (Indeed through its proxy, Hamas, Iran can be said to already have done that.)

The only remarkable part of this piece is the assumption that it is (1) newsworthy, and (2) somehow indicative of something reprehensible different in the behavior of this government.


george

Quit being such a flagwaving republican schlepp. You've noted earlier that your recent diet has included a goodly portion of crow. Dine in public, it's more honest.

I suspect anyone would find it obvious that Israel, the US and Iran all have folks working on warfare scenarios and strategies. And there's not too much wrong with that...other than that these people doing all the planning are far less likely to be blown to **** than some poor kids who get suckered into the the deluded evil-hating pawn role. Not to mention the grandmas and grandkids sitting down for a family meal who end up smeared across the building next door.

What makes this piece relevant and important, or any others such as the one heading the thread or Hersch's New Yorker piece from earlier in the year, is the disconnection between the citizens or even other branches of government and the administration. They may well procede with another war regardless of the wishes of those who they are supposed to represent. Further, they may well do so under cover of deceits and false claims which they know to be false.
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 11:44 am
Bernie wrote-

Quote:
Quit being such a flagwaving republican schlepp.


That doesn't mean anything and it invites a riposte in kind which has a perfect right to be stronger.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 12:24 pm
spendi, Here's a clue; you don't need to mix shite in the bowl.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 08:19 pm
blatham wrote:
george

Quit being such a flagwaving republican schlepp. You've noted earlier that your recent diet has included a goodly portion of crow. Dine in public, it's more honest.
I'm not that at all - never have been. I reach my own conclusions, right or wrong and alter them without regret when the unfolding of events reveals a flaw in my earlier thinking. I don't see any shame in that or consider a diet of crow at all indicated.

blatham wrote:
I suspect anyone would find it obvious that Israel, the US and Iran all have folks working on warfare scenarios and strategies. And there's not too much wrong with that...other than that these people doing all the planning are far less likely to be blown to **** than some poor kids who get suckered into the the deluded evil-hating pawn role. Not to mention the grandmas and grandkids sitting down for a family meal who end up smeared across the building next door.

What makes this piece relevant and important, or any others such as the one heading the thread or Hersch's New Yorker piece from earlier in the year, is the disconnection between the citizens or even other branches of government and the administration. They may well procede with another war regardless of the wishes of those who they are supposed to represent. Further, they may well do so under cover of deceits and false claims which they know to be false.


You and the author of the piece you cited claim to know what Cheney is thinking or has considered, and, equally significantly you find fault with him for doing so. It turns out what you claim he has considered is merely ordinary contingency planning of the type done by every administration and every government in such situations. You now rationalize youe earlier unfounded fault-finding by claiming that these routine contingency options fly in the face of the desires of the American people. How do you know the will of the American people on this or any matter? Do you claim to speak for them?

By definition any political leader who considers or plans something new runs the risk of contemplating things contrary to the will of the people. This hardly seems to be a rational for such fault-finding. Would you apply the same standard to Franklin Roosevelt who we now knconspired for several years to get this country involved in a war that very few in the country wanted and most vigorously opposed? Indeed he did this while campaigning for a reelection on the basis of continuing our neutrality policy.

Your position is merely illogical and inconsistent. This is what happens when you take your opinions whole hog from journalist hacks.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 08:25 pm
Some times we must rely on journalist hacks to give us the information; otherwise we'd be without any info.

I prefer open government that let's the people decide for themselves what is right or wrong. there are always exceptions when it's about security, but some times that can go too far as in illegal wiretaps.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 09:15 pm
test
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Sep, 2007 10:02 pm
george wrote:
Quote:
You and the author of the piece you cited claim to know what Cheney is thinking or has considered,


False. I've written no sentence suggesting that. There's no way I can know what he's thinking. Further, neither the Newsweek nor the Ha'aretz writers make that claim.

Quote:
It turns out what you claim he has considered is merely ordinary contingency planning of the type done by every administration and every government in such situations.


Again, there's no claim in the sense you use it. This is a report of what sources have told the reporter. Such sources can be in error or can be lying for various motives. Such sources can also get it right. As we know, politicians and military personnel (and many others) often attempt to deceive, misdirect attention or just downright lie. And that can be on matters of deep importance, like war. I'll assume you don't believe that reporters ought merely to transcribe what those in power tell them.

Quote:
You now rationalize youe earlier unfounded fault-finding by claiming that these routine contingency options fly in the face of the desires of the American people. How do you know the will of the American people on this or any matter? Do you claim to speak for them?


Would you consider it "routine" for an american administration to, for example, consider covertly staging an incident or provoking an incident so as to - entirely deceitfully - trick american citizens into supporting a war started by America?

The last two sentences above are simply silly, george. Polling information gives us a good sense of what opinions have gained or failed to gain consensus in a population. If you wish to believe that the majority of Americans are in support of Bush's war with Iraq then you wish to believe it and there's not much I can say to you. If you don't believe that the majority of Americans support Bush's war in Iraq but would be pleased as punch about a new war on top of that one, with a much stronger country and with certain negative consequences to the security of americans, then you wish to believe that and my talking won't alter your ideas.

Quote:
By definition any political leader who considers or plans something new runs the risk of contemplating things contrary to the will of the people. This hardly seems to be a rational for such fault-finding. Would you apply the same standard to Franklin Roosevelt who we now knconspired for several years to get this country involved in a war that very few in the country wanted and most vigorously opposed? Indeed he did this while campaigning for a reelection on the basis of continuing our neutrality policy.


Yes. There is an example where retrospectively most of us would conclude that the president, though operating covertly and contrary to citizens' wishes, did the best thing. But this example hardly gives licence to all future presidents in all cases to operate in this manner. Though perhaps to your mind it does. Perhaps you do consider that american citizens ought not to know what is going on, that they ought to be deceived, that they really cannot be counted on to have correct ideas and that it is really just a small elite who have the capacity to rule a republic.

?
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 06:51 am
george asked
Quote:
How do you know the will of the American people on this or any matter? Do you claim to speak for them?

Quote:
"If the U.S. government decides to take military action in Iran, would you favor or oppose it?"

.

Favor Oppose Unsure .

% % % .

5/4-6/07
33 63 4 .

1/19-21/07
26 68 6

http://pollingreport.com/iran.htm

One example of many
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 09:52 am
Berni wrote-

Quote:
Perhaps you do consider that american citizens ought not to know what is going on, that they ought to be deceived, that they really cannot be counted on to have correct ideas and that it is really just a small elite who have the capacity to rule a republic.


It isn't a question of agreeing with that or otherwise. That describes the state of play. Electronic referenda would be easy to organise. They are not so organised, by general agreement I think, for the precise reason that most sensible people don't really want to know what's going on, unless it involves shagging, are not too bothered or surprised that they are deceived, are aware that they can't be counted upon to have correct ideas in matter of high affairs and are comfortable with that as they are with a small elite running the show who are up for election from time to time.

The evidence suggests that when they feel uncomfortable they will use their votes to cancel having elections as happened in 1933.

What you describe are the manifestations of a society at reasonable ease with itself.

If you politicise a nation of 300 million with IQs ranging mainly from 70 to 130 you have to stick to simplistic notions and brass bands etc. All most of them want is "a bank balance and a bit of skirt in a taxi".
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 09:54 am
spendi, You describe the Brits very well; now tell us something about Americans?
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 10:27 am
My objection is not so much that the Roosevelt example "gives License" to subsequent rulers to engage in such deceptions, but rather that the logic of the author of the piece you cited was replete with unfounded presumptions and illogical conclusions, all "justified" by the unspoken contract between author and sympathetic reader that Cheney is necessarily a bad guy, given to bad thoughts and conspiracies, and all contrary to the will of the people of this country.

Such sweeping prejudgements are the hallmarks of closed minds. The cant and propaganda that so often displace rational analysis of the evidence, exemplified in that piece, are the result of such fixed ideas.

The Administration has made no secret of its concerns about Iran and of its approach to the problem. It been clear to assert that it wants diplomatic and political solution to the challenges presented by the authoritarian theocracy which has gripped Iran since 1979. In view of the actions this regime has taken over this period, the U.S. policy has been quite restrained throughout and remains so. However the threat of a military response to Iranian affronts has been "on the table" (in policy speak) throughout that nearly three decade period and remains so today. Perhaps the significant difference is that such implied threats have more meaning with this Administration than (say) with the Clinton one that preceded it.

Given the unfolding apparent success of the Administration's policy with respect to North Korea (compare the concrete results so far with Clinton's failed attempts at bribery and kissing up to Kim Jong Il), it is hardly logical to conclude that it is necessarily wrong in the handling of the Iran matter.

The author of the gossip piece you pasted here ignored all of these salient realities and merely indulged in some complacent clucking. This is what results when observation and analysis of unfolding events are replaced by prejudicial certainty and cant.
0 Replies
 
 

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