@roger,
roger wrote:
What you gotta do is hope that mandatory insurance will eliminate the ones who receive expensive treatment and don't even pretend to pay.
Now for what I really expect; there are going to be many levels of acceptable insurance and the lowest ones will only be bought to satisfy the law. Many of those forced into them are going to be crushed, even by the lowest premiums. They better hope they don't get sick or injured, too. The copays and deductables are going to eat them alive. Those are only my own opinions.
I'd say you have this exactly right. I would even be in agreement with Maporche on this one, were I not looking a couple of moves ahead. I predict:
1. Universal Insurance will prove disastrously expensive and dreadfully harmful to our economy. Lack of a public option sucks, but will only prove to accelerate the demise of our broken system.
2. Emergency aid bills to assist the poor and lower middle class will be hastily thrown together in a futile attempt to preserve the notion of universal healthcare.
3. Eventually, people will get a community clue and realize that a single payer system makes more sense than mandating guaranteed private profit at the point of a government gun. Shouldn't be too difficult of a sell, when those who contribute the least realize they can shift a goodly portion of the burden onto those who contribute more. I suspect, they may even get out and vote.
Unfair? Maybe on the surface and especially to those just over the middleclass hump. A broader view however, will reveal that those who are actually a net drain on the system already have some of the best healthcare money can buy (Title 19 coverage ain't no joke!)... and in fact the people who are suffering the most under both our current system and this new system are those who have struggled to just barely get their heads out of the public trough, only to realize that the somewhat higher earnings of a valiant effort to earn their own lot in life fall short of equaling the overall value of not trying at all.
This IS the definitive cause of the class divide, and it is precisely the greed of the majority who doesn't wish to take care of these 2nd tier citizens that causes so very many to choose to remain on the first tier. Remove the veritable punishments for climbing out of poverty and watch in amazement how many people choose to do so.
Single payer could be the first giant step towards eliminating the disastrous policies of having steep cutoffs for aid to the (2nd) poorest among us. Consider what the poor might do if we actually allowed them to have their government cake and earn their private cake too! Now, we already know that a safety net is necessary and I think few people would really, willingly, yank these programs in favor of watching their fellow citizens starve or go without basic healthcare and other human needs. The solution is quite simple, really: Virtually everyone from the bottom echelon, third generation welfare case, all the way up to the CEO of Microsoft would like to earn more money, right? Drumroll please.....
Let them! Offer the most basic benefits of social welfare to virtually everyone, and eliminate the veritable punishment for EARNING money, or at least taper it off so slowly to cease the effect of punishment as those climbing the rungs do so. This creates an environment that rewards production from top to bottom, not unlike the days before we figured out we needed a safety net.
4. Watch the economy soar!