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WHO WILL WIN IN NOVEMBER?

 
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 02:09 pm
Foxfyre wrote:


The DOW, NASDAQ, S&P etc. cannot go up at 'amazing rates' indefinitely and a steady sustained growth is what you shoot for. A steady sustained growth indicates growth in the businesses and industry reflected in the market. Any investor in it for the long term is ecstatically happy with 11 to 15% returns on his money.
So the gains during the Clinton years where what?
Dow up 17% per year
Nasdaq up 22% per year even after it dropped 50% from its high
S&P up 17% per year.
Do you think CLinton's tax policy was bad for business?

Quote:

Unemployment is holding at about 4.6% give or take .1 or .2% fluctuations from week to week which is essentially full employment. It is extremely difficult to produce record job growth when almost all people who really want jobs have jobs.
Lets try to compare apples to apples. In January of 1996 the unemployment rate was at 5.2% In January of 2003 it was 5.3%.
Now we can compare Setember 3 1/2 years later.
In Sept of 1999 unemployment was 4.2%
In Sept of 2006 it was 4.6%.
In the time period from 1996 to 1999 7.05 million civilian jobs were created
In the time period from 2003 to 2006 5.8 million civilian jobs were created.
My numbers are from the US BLS website. (I don't know where Kudlow got his 6.5 million jobs from)
Quote:

The fact is, you lefties and the leftish mainstream media will not give Bush policies credit for a very good economic environment, but that does not change the fact that the economy is quite good and a good deal of the credit for that is in those tax breaks for the American wage earners, investors, and entrepeneurs. Those very tax breaks that you lefties hate so much and which Kudlow is pretty darn sure will be scuttled if the Democrats get the power.
Why did the economy perform better without the tax cuts? If the tax cuts were the reason wouldn't we find that the period of Clinton's years when we didn't have the tax cuts should have performed worse? I think the claim for the tax cuts being the cause is overblown.
Quote:

I want representatives who will legislate opportunities for people to succeed and better themselves and have a chance to get rich. I don't wnat representatives who punish people who do.
So wouldn't that mean you should support the Clinton tax polices since they produced more growth, more jobs and more wealth?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:10 pm
You can't compare apples to apples unless you give the previous administration a developing recession deeply exacerbated by 9/11 and a war with Iraq. Clinton fought tooth and nail against balancing the budget and welfare reform forced on him by the GOP majority in Congress and both items contributed to a good economy (and a LOT of people going to work) during those years. Those punative tax rates, however, were beginning to take their toll when Bush took office. Also the economy was coming out of a recession and unemployment was already on its way down when Clinton's tax increase took effect.

But lets start a different thread if you really want to discuss pros and cons of economics in general. I am content to recognize that the current economy is very good and I don't want to screw around with the tax rates that could affect that in a major way.

Even with 9/11 that set everything on its ear for many months, a deep recession, and a Congress that spends way too much money, things look good.

http://www.econedlink.org/lessons/EM703/images/figure1.gif
0 Replies
 
Madison32
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:19 pm
How can Foxfyre be so optimistic. Our yearly deficits are at all time highs.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:22 pm
Madison32 wrote:
How can Foxfyre be so optimistic. Our yearly deficits are at all time highs.


I can be optimistic because the deficits are coming down; dropping like a stone even. And I have every reason to believe that will continue if Congress doesn't raise a lot of taxes and thus slow all that lovely money flowing into the treasury.

The deficit, however, indicates that Congress is spending more than it takes in. Treasury revenues are at an all time high so that just means that Congress is spending waaaaaaay more than it takes in. Because revenues are not down, it has nothing to do with the health of th economy.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:22 pm
Yes, things look good, if you ignore the fact that the national debt has risen by 3 trillion dollars in just 6 years.

EVERYTHING looks good when you pay all your bills on credit.

It is amazing to me how fiscally unsound many modern 'conservatives' are. Amazing.

And this

Quote:
LIKE IT OR NOT, WITHIN THE RANGE OF 15% TO 70% TAX RATES:

(1) reducing taxes increases income
(2) increasing income, increases private spending and private investment
(3) increasing private spending and private investment , increases in tax revenues
(4) increases in tax revenues, REDUCE THE SIZE OF THE DEFICIT for a given rate of federal expenditure.

(1) increasing taxes decreases income
(2) decreasing income, decreases private spending and private investment
(3) decreasing private spending and private investment , decreases tax revenues
(4) decreases in tax revenues, INCREASE THE SIZE OF THE DEFICIT for a given rate of federal expenditure.

TO REDUCE THE FEDERAL DEBT, WE MUST NOT ONLY REDUCE THE TAX RATE, WE MUST ALSO HOLD CONSTANT OR REDUCE FEDERAL SPENDING.


Is unfortunately not supported by any historical data points. Sure sounds like a good way to explain how tax cuts for the rich are good for the economy... of course, it requires you to ignore the staggering debts it causes.

If citizens get rich at the expense of our nation, and the nation collapses, the citizens will be left with nothing; all except the highest few, who will escape to other societies. The fiscal policies advocated by modern Republicans are, in fact, the exact opposite of Conservatism; they are based upon the radical idea that we never have to pay debts back and that our economy will never begin to contract. Foolishness.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:23 pm
Fox, you certainly don't look for the good and the positive relative to Clinton's reign. You are even willing to lie (no, mislead) regarding his insistence on pay as you go and welfare reform. These things were hardly forced upon him.

He was a great president, with many accomplishments in the face of years of Republican persecution. Luckily, the women in life bucked him up.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:24 pm
Fox, you need to actually attempt to adjust for inflation from time to time. Revenues are not at an all time high if you adjust for inflation....

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:28 pm
Advocate wrote:
Fox, you certainly don't look for the good and the positive relative to Clinton's reign. You are even willing to lie (no, mislead) regarding his insistence on pay as you go and welfare reform. These things were hardly forced upon him.

He was a great president, with many accomplishments in the face of years of Republican persecution. Luckily, the women in life bucked him up.


Pay-go was a GOP invention, not Clintons. And Clinton vetoed at least two....maybe three....welfare reform bills before the polls showed him the public wouldn't stand for another. Someplace there is a medly of his statements that the budget could probably be balanced but on down the line well after he was out of office. He was all over the map on his predictions.

I have often praised Clinton however for not being a stumbling block for the Congressional initiatives that did produce good economic times during the Clinton years. He could have vetoed them all and he didn't. I'm still grousing though that his 'taxes on the rich' are still impacting me and mine and costing me a lot and I am by nobody's wildest imagination rich in any developed country.
0 Replies
 
Madison32
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:28 pm
That's correct. Revenues are not at an all time high when you adjust for inflation and the blather about the allegedly ever increasing Gross Domestic Product is obviously controlled. One person even said that the percentage of the deficit is much lower than in many previous years when compared as a ratio to the Gross National Product. What is not clear is that the figures in the Gross National Product is manipulated.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:32 pm
au1929 wrote:
I should mention that government spending is being supported with borrowed money. What would happen if the our foreign lenders decided to cash in the govt issued paper they hold. If the democrats are the tax and spend party what than are the republicans"the borrow and spend party.
Our children and grandchildren will be paying down the debt run up by republican economic policy.


And since the Constitution gives the Congress the power and authority to borrow money,do we amend the constitution?
0 Replies
 
ebrown p
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:33 pm
mysteryman wrote:
au1929 wrote:
I should mention that government spending is being supported with borrowed money. What would happen if the our foreign lenders decided to cash in the govt issued paper they hold. If the democrats are the tax and spend party what than are the republicans"the borrow and spend party.
Our children and grandchildren will be paying down the debt run up by republican economic policy.


And since the Constitution gives the Congress the power and authority to borrow money,do we amend the constitution?


... the easier answer is to amend the Congress.
0 Replies
 
Madison32
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 03:36 pm
Absolutely. and we need to get rid of some of the big spenders---Lieberman, even though he is a Democrat. must go!
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 04:13 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
You can't compare apples to apples unless you give the previous administration a developing recession deeply exacerbated by 9/11 and a war with Iraq. Clinton fought tooth and nail against balancing the budget and welfare reform forced on him by the GOP majority in Congress and both items contributed to a good economy (and a LOT of people going to work) during those years. Those punative tax rates, however, were beginning to take their toll when Bush took office. Also the economy was coming out of a recession and unemployment was already on its way down when Clinton's tax increase took effect.

But lets start a different thread if you really want to discuss pros and cons of economics in general. I am content to recognize that the current economy is very good and I don't want to screw around with the tax rates that could affect that in a major way.

Even with 9/11 that set everything on its ear for many months, a deep recession, and a Congress that spends way too much money, things look good.

http://www.econedlink.org/lessons/EM703/images/figure1.gif

Your little chart pretty clearly points out the recession Clinton inherited from his predecessor.
You can ignore reality all you want Fox. I didn't bring up the "amazing" economic response under Bush, you did by citing Kudlow. I merely pointed out that Kudlows comments are pretty much bunk. There is nothing "amazing" about what Bush and the tax cuts have done for the economy.

The thing that is amazing about the Clinton years is how the economy grew so strongly without all the deficit spending that is going on today.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 04:33 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Madison32 wrote:
How can Foxfyre be so optimistic. Our yearly deficits are at all time highs.


I can be optimistic because the deficits are coming down; dropping like a stone even. And I have every reason to believe that will continue if Congress doesn't raise a lot of taxes and thus slow all that lovely money flowing into the treasury.

The deficit, however, indicates that Congress is spending more than it takes in. Treasury revenues are at an all time high so that just means that Congress is spending waaaaaaay more than it takes in. Because revenues are not down, it has nothing to do with the health of th economy.


More of Foxfyre's willful disbelief I see.

Dropping like a stone means what to you Fox?

From 2004 to 2006 the deficit went down 164 billion

From 1996 to 1998 the deficit went down 176 million. Did it drop like a stone then too under Clinton? Shouldn't we go back to a tax policy that creates large deficit reduction and actually created a surplus?
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 04:36 pm
parados wrote:
From 1996 to 1998 the deficit went down 176 million. Did it drop like a stone then too under Clinton? Shouldn't we go back to a tax policy that creates large deficit reduction and actually created a surplus?

I'd like that.
0 Replies
 
ebrown p
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 04:43 pm
Madison32 wrote:
Absolutely. and we need to get rid of some of the big spenders---Lieberman, even though he is a Democrat. must go!


Lieberman is no longer a Democrat. The Democrat in the CT race is Ned Lamont.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 06:29 pm
ebrown_p wrote:
Madison32 wrote:
Absolutely. and we need to get rid of some of the big spenders---Lieberman, even though he is a Democrat. must go!


Lieberman is no longer a Democrat. The Democrat in the CT race is Ned Lamont.


When did Lieberman switch his party affiliation away from Democrat?
I know he is running an independent campaign,but when did he stop being a democrat?
0 Replies
 
ebrown p
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 06:40 pm
Eighteen years ago.... at least!
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sat 21 Oct, 2006 06:45 pm
Foxfyre posted:
...
Quote:

http://www.econedlink.org/lessons/EM703/images/figure1.gif

...
UNEMPLOYMENT CYCLES
............|low|....|high|...................................|low|........|high|......|low|
..........1990....1992.....................................2000.......2003.......2006
........../\....................................................../\..................\/

About 3 years after an income tax rate increase (/\), unemployent reaches a high.

About 3 years after an income tax rate decrease (\/), unemployent reaches a low.

Check out the unemployment consequences with both the Kennedy and Reagan tax rate decreases and the tax rate increases in between.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sun 22 Oct, 2006 12:52 am
ebrown_p wrote:
Eighteen years ago.... at least!

Is the Democratic party a religious cult now? Are you going to excommunicate him?
0 Replies
 
 

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