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ISRAEL - IRAN - SYRIA - HAMAS - HEZBOLLAH - WWWIII?

 
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:29 pm
At least post the link to the whole piece HERE which provides a somewhat different perspective than the excerpted bit does.

You can see the dilemma in the CIA though. George Tenet, a Clinton appointee and who assisted with the research that brought the Clinton administration and key members of Congress, both Democrat and GOP, to agreement that we had to deal with Saddam Hussein, had told George Bush that WMD in Iraq was a slam dunk.

He had to have a horrible knot in his stomach as he began to realize that his 'slam dunk' might be an air ball. I believe Tenet honestly did believe the intelligence, however, and believed he would be exhonerated with further investigation. I believe he believes that to this day. And, for all we know, the theory that those 12 weeks Bush tried to solve the situation diplomatically through the UN, Iraq managed to ship its WMD to Syria or whatever will still prove to be right.

If not, the decision to go to war was not made in a vacuum, and it was not made without consent and advice from a lot of people. I'm pretty sure that if Bush had refused to go to war despite the opinions of most of his administration, the previous administration, the majority of members of Congress, etc., and Iraq had committed some major atrocity, GWB would now be damned and condemned for being a chicken hawk and for refusing to take necessary action when he had the chance.

The other issues in the Middle East now facing the previous administration, the present administration, and the administration that will be put into power next January, are no less complicated and no less controversial.
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:45 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
At least post the link to the whole piece HERE which provides a somewhat different perspective than the excerpted bit does.

You can see the dilemma in the CIA though. George Tenet, a Clinton appointee and who assisted with the research that brought the Clinton administration and key members of Congress, both Democrat and GOP, to agreement that we had to deal with Saddam Hussein, had told George Bush that WMD in Iraq was a slam dunk.

He had to have a horrible knot in his stomach as he began to realize that his 'slam dunk' might be an air ball. I believe Tenet honestly did believe the intelligence, however, and believed he would be exhonerated with further investigation. I believe he believes that to this day. And, for all we know, the theory that those 12 weeks Bush tried to solve the situation diplomatically through the UN, Iraq managed to ship its WMD to Syria or whatever will still prove to be right.

If not, the decision to go to war was not made in a vacuum, and it was not made without consent and advice from a lot of people. I'm pretty sure that if Bush had refused to go to war despite the opinions of most of his administration, the previous administration, the majority of members of Congress, etc., and Iraq had committed some major atrocity, GWB would now be damned and condemned for being a chicken hawk and for refusing to take necessary action when he had the chance.

The other issues in the Middle East now facing the previous administration, the present administration, and the administration that will be put into power next January, are no less complicated and no less controversial.



It is not true that congress agreed with Bush that something had to be done about Saddam. It passed a resolution, which was obtained by fraud, merely giving Bush the authority to act against Iraq SHOULD THIS BE NECESSARY.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:50 pm
Advocate, that is pure baloney. Please read some really good history on that instead of anti-Bush blogs and websites, and you will see all the history, advice, information, and debates that went into that. George W. Bush didn't lie to anybody about Iraq.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:51 pm
Foxfyre wrote:

You can see the dilemma in the CIA though. George Tenet, a Clinton appointee and who assisted with the research that brought the Clinton administration and key members of Congress, both Democrat and GOP, to agreement that we had to deal with Saddam Hussein, had told George Bush that WMD in Iraq was a slam dunk.

He had to have a horrible knot in his stomach as he began to realize that his 'slam dunk' might be an air ball. I believe Tenet honestly did believe the intelligence, however, and believed he would be exhonerated with further investigation. I believe he believes that to this day. And, for all we know, the theory that those 12 weeks Bush tried to solve the situation diplomatically through the UN, Iraq managed to ship its WMD to Syria or whatever will still prove to be right.


It might be that Tenet (and the CIA) belived the story.

Or it might not be so.

Lawrence Wilkerson believes the latter ([German] Spiegel-online)

Oh, and the full report in the print edition makes Blatham's excerpted piece permanent. (The English version is only an excerpt of a couple of pages in the print edition.)
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:54 pm
I don't know what Tenet believed. I know Tenet had a huge chunk of his reputation on the line and he could understandably desperately want to be exhonerated in all that. Of course he wouldn't immediately accept one person's version as opposed to two decades of intelligence that suggested otherwise? I know that any member of Congress who now says they believed George Bush and didn't check out, question, verify, read, look at, debate, discuss the intelligence themselves should be drummed out of Congress.

All had the same information and the same ability to check it out.

At any rate, this belongs on the Iraq thread and not here.
0 Replies
 
Ramafuchs
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 03:56 pm
"We live in a Newtonian world
of Einsteintian physics
ruled by Frankenstein logic."-- David Russell
0 Replies
 
Ramafuchs
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Mar, 2008 04:11 pm
I don't think that
Israel
Iran
Sysria
better than
India nor
worse than BUSH land
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Mar, 2008 07:17 pm
Advocate wrote:

...
It is not true that congress agreed with Bush that something had to be done about Saddam. It passed a resolution, which was obtained by fraud, merely giving Bush the authority to act against Iraq SHOULD THIS BE NECESSARY.

ADVOCATE, YOUR STATEMENT IS INCORRECT!
Congress wrote:

www.c-span.org/resources/pdf/hjres114.pdf
Public Law 107-243 107th Congress Joint Resolution Oct. 16, 2002 (H.J. Res. 114) To authorize the use of United States Armed Forces against Iraq
...
Whereas members of al Qaida, an organization bearing responsibility for attacks on the United States, its citizens, and interests, including the attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, are known to be in Iraq;

Whereas Iraq continues to aid and harbor other international terrorist organizations, including organizations that threaten the lives and safety of United States citizens;
...
Whereas it is in the national security interests of the United States to restore international peace and security to the Persian Gulf region:

Now therefore be it, Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, Authorization for use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002. 50 USC 1541
...
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Fri 28 Mar, 2008 07:23 am
Foxfyre wrote:
I don't know what Tenet believed. I know Tenet had a huge chunk of his reputation on the line and he could understandably desperately want to be exhonerated in all that. Of course he wouldn't immediately accept one person's version as opposed to two decades of intelligence that suggested otherwise? I know that any member of Congress who now says they believed George Bush and didn't check out, question, verify, read, look at, debate, discuss the intelligence themselves should be drummed out of Congress.

All had the same information and the same ability to check it out.

At any rate, this belongs on the Iraq thread and not here.


Since this was brought up here i would rather comment on it here rather than disrupt a conversation on the Iraq thread.

All along I have felt that most people misunderstood the "Slam Dunk" comment. He wasn't talking about the case of there being WMD in Iraq being a slum dunk case; but the case for convincing "jo public" about the existence of WMD in Iraq was a slum dunk. It is a distinction with a difference because the former puts Bush in a better light (although clueless one) and the second puts Bush and Tenet in the same light as wanting to convince "jo public" of the existence of WMD.

Quote:
George Tenet's book shows that he remains, first and foremost, a politician - with no clue as to the proper role of intelligence work. He is unhappy about going down in history as "Slam-Dunk Tenet." But, George protests, his famous remark to President Bush on Dec. 21, 2002, was not meant to assure the president that available intelligence on weapons of mass destruction in Iraq was a "slam dunk." Rather he meant that the argument that Saddam Hussein had such weapons could be enhanced to slam-dunk status in order to sell war on Iraq. Those of you who tuned in to CBS' 60 Minutes Sunday night heard Tenet explain what he meant when he uttered the words he now says everyone misunderstood or distorted in order to blame him for the Iraq war. What he says he meant was simply:

"We can put a better case together for a public case." [sic]

Tenet still doesn't get it. Those of us schooled in the craft and ethos of intelligence remain in wide-mouthed disbelief, perhaps best summed up by veteran operations officer Bob Baer's quip:

"So, it is better that the 'slam dunk' referred to the ease with which the war could be sold? I guess I missed that part of the National Security Act delineating the functions of the CIA - the part about CIA marketing a war. Guess that's why I never made it into senior management."

George's concern over being scapegoated is touching. But could he not have seen it coming? Not even when Rumsfeld asked him in the fall of 2002 (that is, before the war) whether he had put in a system to track how good the intelligence was compared with what would be found in Iraq? The guys I know from Queens usually can tell when they're being set up. Maybe Tenet was naive enough to believe that the president, whom he describes as a "kindred soul," would protect him from thugs like Vice President Cheney and then-Defense Secretary Rumsfeld, even when - as was inevitable - someone had to take the fall. Or did he perhaps actually believe the Cheney dictum that U.S. forces would be greeted as liberators?

So now George is worried about his reputation. He tells 60 Minutes:

"At the end of the day, the only thing you have … is your reputation built on trust and your personal honor, and when you don't have that anymore, well, there you go."


http://www.antiwar.com/mcgovern/?articleid=10893

Quote:
The president, unimpressed by the presentation of satellite photographs and intercepts, pressed Tenet and McLaughlin, saying their information would not "convince Joe Public" and asking Tenet, "This is the best we've got?" Woodward reports.

According to Woodward, Tenet reassured the president that "it's a slam dunk case" that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction.


http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/04/18/woodward.book/

A Spy Speaks Out

The congress who made the resolution may or may not have had the above information; if they did they wrong to vote for the resolution if they didn't; then they can be excused. Either way; the Bush administration had good intel which should have led to them reexaming their determination to go to war with Iraq at the very least and waiting longer than "twelve weeks" for the weapons inspections to play out. Also; our own post Iraq war reports have concluded that there was no evidence WMD were ever shipped to Syria in those twelve weeks.

Quote:
It is unlikely Iraq shipped banned weapons material into Syria before the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, according to report released by the Iraq Survey Group, a CIA/Pentagon team searching for Iraqi weapons programs.


http://edition.cnn.com/2005/WORLD/meast/04/26/iraq.main/
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sun 30 Mar, 2008 11:01 am
Rice wins concessions from Israel
By MATTHEW LEE, Associated Press Writer
2 hours, 37 minutes ago



JERUSALEM - Israel and the Palestinians agreed Sunday to a series of "concrete steps" aimed at paving the way for a final peace agreement later this year, beginning with Israel's pledge to remove some West Bank roadblocks.


Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, visiting the region for the second time this month in hopes of energize faltering talks, said the moves "constitute a very good start to improving" a Palestinian economy crippled by the Israeli restrictions.

Under the plan that Rice announced, Israel will remove about 50 roadblocks, upgrade checkpoints to speed up the movement of Palestinians through the West Bank and give Palestinians more security responsibility in the town of Jenin with an eye toward looking at "other areas in turn."

The Israelis also pledged to increase the number of travel and work permits it gives Palestinians and to support economic projects in Palestinian towns.
0 Replies
 
blueflame1
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 06:18 am
British fear US commander is beating the drum for Iran strikes
By Damien McElroy, Foreign Affairs Correspondent
Last Updated: 1:53am BST 05/04/2008

British officials gave warning yesterday that America's commander in Iraq will declare that Iran is waging war against the US-backed Baghdad government.

A strong statement from General David Petraeus about Iran's intervention in Iraq could set the stage for a US attack on Iranian military facilities, according to a Whitehall assessment. In closely watched testimony in Washington next week, Gen Petraeus will state that the Iranian threat has risen as Tehran has supplied and directed attacks by militia fighters against the Iraqi state and its US allies.

The outbreak of Iraq's worst violence in 18 months last week with fighting in Basra and the daily bombardment of the Green Zone diplomatic enclave, demonstrated that although the Sunni Muslim insurgency is dramatically diminished, Shia forces remain in a strong position to destabilise the country.

"Petraeus is going to go very hard on Iran as the source of attacks on the American effort in Iraq," a British official said. "Iran is waging a war in Iraq. The idea that America can't fight a war on two fronts is wrong, there can be airstrikes and other moves," he said.

"Petraeus has put emphasis on America having to fight the battle on behalf of Iraq. In his report he can frame it in terms of our soldiers killed and diplomats dead in attacks on the Green Zone."

Tension between Washington and Tehran is already high over Iran's covert nuclear programme. The Bush administration has not ruled out military strikes.

In remarks interpreted as signalling a change in his approach to Iran, Gen Petraeus last week hit out at the Iranian leadership. "The rockets that were launched at the Green Zone were Iranian-provided, Iranian-made rockets," he said. "All of this in complete violation of promises made by President Ahmadinejad and the other most senior Iranian leaders to their Iraqi counterparts."

The humiliation of the Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki by the Iranian-backed cleric Moqtada al-Sadr in fighting in Basra last week triggered top-level warnings over Iran's strength in Iraq.

Gen Petraeus and Ryan Crocker, the US ambassador to Baghdad, will answer questions from American political leaders at the US Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday before travelling to London to brief Gordon Brown.

The Wall Street Journal said last week that the US war effort in Iraq must have a double goal.

"The US must recognise that Iran is engaged in a full-up proxy war against it in Iraq," wrote the military analyst Kimberly Kagan.

There are signs that targeting Iran would unite American politicians across the bitter divide on Iraq. "Iran is the bull in the china shop," said Ike Skelton, the Democrat chairman of the Armed Services Committee. "In all of this, they seem to have links to all of the Shi'ite groups, whether they be political or military."

link
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 09:36 am
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 10:10 am
Perhaps Advocate can explain to us how Israel might go about "defeating" the Palestinians - backed up as they are by Iran and indeed most of the principal Arab states.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 10:37 am
Advocate, Who are "they?"
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 04:37 pm
[quote="Advi, quoting "bulldogreporter.com""]As the article below argues, it's time for Israel to defeat its enemies definitively.[/quote]

What does the definitive defeat of Israel's enemies entail?
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 5 Apr, 2008 04:53 pm
InfraBlue wrote:
[quote="Advi, quoting "bulldogreporter.com""]As the article below argues, it's time for Israel to defeat its enemies definitively.


What does the definitive defeat of Israel's enemies entail?[/quote]+

Maybe, they're thinking of nuking the Middle East.
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Apr, 2008 08:30 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Perhaps Advocate can explain to us how Israel might go about "defeating" the Palestinians - backed up as they are by Iran and indeed most of the principal Arab states.



I imagine that Israel will have to visit on the Pals very harsh and damaging retaliation, in the nature of its actions in Lebanon. Since the latter, Hezbollah has not engaged in any significant terrorism in Israel.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Apr, 2008 10:39 am
Advocate wrote:
georgeob1 wrote:
Perhaps Advocate can explain to us how Israel might go about "defeating" the Palestinians - backed up as they are by Iran and indeed most of the principal Arab states.



I imagine that Israel will have to visit on the Pals very harsh and damaging retaliation, in the nature of its actions in Lebanon. Since the latter, Hezbollah has not engaged in any significant terrorism in Israel.



Huh?
0 Replies
 
blucher
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Apr, 2008 12:42 pm
Around around
This conversation goes around and around. Pro Israel or pro-Palestine and a lot of talk about Iran-Iraq. World War III began in 1914 (then called the 'Great War', that included the Battle of Armageddon [see Battle of Megiddo 1918], the belligerents had a rest then WW II, rest then Korea, rest then Vietnam...... throw in a few side campaigns like the Six Days War, Yam kippur-Ramadan War, Cold War coups and revolts in Europe and the Third World and right up to the present defeat of Israel in Lebanon and US in Iraq).
War on Iran may happen but probably not unless Israel drops the big one on them. Israel will then become even more unpopular (even in the US) when Iranians shut down all shipments of oil through the Persian Gulf and raise hell in Iraq with consequent higher oil prices.
WWIII is not over; taking settlers out of the West Bank and recognizing the democratically elected government in Gaza will not stop it, nor will walls and fences.
The collusion of corporate profit and arms sellers will keep it going by exploiting, enflaming or inventing enemies so they may weaken the masses through wrecked economies and governments, divide and rule and profit from sales to both sides in any conflict (like Prescott Bush and his son, the father of the current President of the US). All industrial nations, (even peaceful Sweden) are in on the trade. Where is the uzi manufactured/ Where is it sold? PALESTINIANS use them too!
WWIII will end when the flipside of globalization is realized ie. globally enforced labour and environmental standards and global human rights are judged by a viable world court. Until Mars colonies are established to escape to, CEOs will keep war at a 'safe' level.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Apr, 2008 01:13 pm
Re: Around around
blucher wrote:
This conversation goes around and around. Pro Israel or pro-Palestine and a lot of talk about Iran-Iraq. World War III began in 1914 (then called the 'Great War', that included the Battle of Armageddon [see Battle of Megiddo 1918], the belligerents had a rest then WW II, rest then Korea, rest then Vietnam...... throw in a few side campaigns like the Six Days War, Yam kippur-Ramadan War, Cold War coups and revolts in Europe and the Third World and right up to the present defeat of Israel in Lebanon and US in Iraq).
War on Iran may happen but probably not unless Israel drops the big one on them. Israel will then become even more unpopular (even in the US) when Iranians shut down all shipments of oil through the Persian Gulf and raise hell in Iraq with consequent higher oil prices.
WWIII is not over; taking settlers out of the West Bank and recognizing the democratically elected government in Gaza will not stop it, nor will walls and fences.
The collusion of corporate profit and arms sellers will keep it going by exploiting, enflaming or inventing enemies so they may weaken the masses through wrecked economies and governments, divide and rule and profit from sales to both sides in any conflict (like Prescott Bush and his son, the father of the current President of the US). All industrial nations, (even peaceful Sweden) are in on the trade. Where is the uzi manufactured/ Where is it sold? PALESTINIANS use them too!
WWIII will end when the flipside of globalization is realized ie. globally enforced labour and environmental standards and global human rights are judged by a viable world court. Until Mars colonies are established to escape to, CEOs will keep war at a 'safe' level.


Are you saying that a one world government is the final solution to the problem?
0 Replies
 
 

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