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My predictions on Iraq

 
 
Reply Thu 3 Oct, 2002 05:29 pm
I predict that despite the administration's current posturing that war with Iraq is an inevitability.

I predict that the anti-war campaign will grow strong but not be enough to stop the war.

I predict that the war will last one month but that the casualties from occupation will be more (on the American side) than during the war.

I predict a very strong air campaign initially (no-brainer).

I predict female war heros.

I predict the history's greatest case of news management by the US military.

I predict that commercial satelight photography will be noticably absent or lessened.

I predict that Saddam will become an Osama. Hidden and wanted but as time drags on his relevance will be minimized. He will be found or killed before Osama and at that point he will be broadly touted as an important kill (yeah, might as well predict that too).

I predict that the weapons of mass destruction will not be found.

I predict that war weariness will be rearing to go but never have a real chance due to the short campaign.

I predict a post war drop in Bush's popularity.

I predict that after the war in Iraq the Mid-East will still not get the attention Bush has been implying.

I predict that the death toll won't start to solidify till after the war.

I predict that the mobilization of the troops will be complete around March/April.

I predict that the US will NOT get a UN resolution.

I predict that the occupation will be uneventful. By that I mean no huge catastrophe and no "ripples" of democracy for years.

I predict an occupation or at least a year.

I predict that Powel will resign from the administration.

I predict that despite everything Bush will win the re-election.

I predict taht I will not be too happy about it. Crying or Very sad
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Type: Discussion • Score: 1 • Views: 7,351 • Replies: 71
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sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 03:52 pm
Damn...!

Makes your second-to-last one quite disturbing...
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husker
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 04:07 pm
WOWser!!!
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Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 04:07 pm
Perhaps you should change your name to Carnak de Kere... Wink

http://www.avweb.com/graphics/people/carnac.jpg
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dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 04:31 pm
That is spooky Craven. I think you are way out on the occupation - and I hope on the last one.

(Got any tips on the Melbourne Cup?)
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sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 04:41 pm
The female war heroes = Jessica Lynch thing is especially interesting. Why'd you bring up that one? Because of the percentage of female soldiers, so one of 'em was bound to do something, or that the media would jump on anything halfway decent a woman soldier did just 'cause she was a woman? (The latter would be interesting in the case of Ms. Lynch, who so far doesn't seem to have actually DONE much except be injured and be rescued.) (Well, and be stoic. That's something. Rather than, like, all weepy. I guess.)
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LibertyD
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 04:47 pm
Wow, Craven! Maybe you've found a new career option, should you tire of IT.

I, too, hope you fail on the second to last (no offense Wink )
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ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 05:12 pm
Ms. Lynch just signed the big book contract, so I guess she's done something.
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Piffka
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 05:42 pm
Carnak de Kere? I love it.

Craven -- you did outdo yourself, it's a little bit creepy. I don't understand or know about the satellite photography. Will you explain.

Are you sure that Bush will win (check the tea leaves)?
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Adele
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 07:59 pm
Sylvia Browne could be impressed. :wink:
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Tartarin
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 09:22 pm
That's phenom, Craven!!

Thank goodness there are a couple of tiny flaws. Here's why I'm less sure of Bush's re-election than you were then:

You also said: "I predict that war weariness will be rearing to go but never have a real chance due to the short campaign."

I don't think the "campaign" is anywhere near over in Iraq. A couple of generals being interviewed about six weeks ago (noted in A2K) agreed that if the counter-insurgency got any worse than it was then (and it's much, much worse), we'd be in real trouble. There may continue to be a lot more "war" on Bush's part and much more intense, longer term "weariness" on the part of voters.
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mamajuana
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 10:15 pm
Spooky, Craven.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Sep, 2003 10:39 pm
Okay, Craven, Who's your advisor? Wink Pretty guesses. Did 100 percent better than the experts in the administration. Maybe you should go work for GWBush. LOL
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au1929
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Sep, 2003 06:52 am
Gypsy fortune teller?
0 Replies
 
Roberta
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Sep, 2003 08:58 am
Holy Moley! Shocked
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Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Sep, 2003 10:24 am
I predict you are wrong on your next to last prediction.

(What the Hell!)
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kickycan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 May, 2004 03:46 pm
Amazing. Are you in league with the devil?
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 May, 2004 03:51 pm
Very impressive, Craven. What's next in line for the big news item coming out of Iraq and/or Afghanistan?
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pistoff
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 May, 2004 05:14 pm
Wow!
Impressive!

Even if he went to work for Bushco, they wouldn't listen to him just as they did not listen to R. Clarke. Bushco only listens to cash registers.
0 Replies
 
Laeknir Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 May, 2004 06:36 pm
18 out of 20, and the other two yet to be confirmed in time. You're approaching perfection, Master De Kere.

On Abuzz I predicted 453 American deaths and was told I was exaggerating, even by posters who were anti-war.
I felt short.
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