@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:
ebrown p wrote:I pasted the polls that ask the relevant question from your polling report link... the question being whether Americans support a path to citizenship for immigrants who currently live here illegally.
You can't word the question more plainly than this ABC News/Washington Post poll this April.
Just as plain is the CBS poll, which Pollingreport.com cites just before the ABC News poll you refer to. It asks the same question, only without the word "government program" in it, and gets an approval of less than 50% for a path to citizenship. The rest says "keep them as guest workers" or "send them home". That's how sensitive respondents are to how you ask the question -- and how easily partisans on either side can support their case by cherry-picking statistics.
Correct which is why I think no poll will provide solid proof of much of anything. Unless people have already firmed up their opinion about something and it is pretty well imbedded in granite, I think the way a question is phrased, whether it is a sunny or cloudy day, whether somebody is well or ill, the time of day, the general area targeted, etc. or whether somebody has just had a positive or negative experience with something can affect how they would answer a question on a poll.
The last time I got called for a telephone poll on the immigration issue, the question was something as to whether I was mostly positive or negative about immigrants. I replied that my answer would depend on whether the immigrants were legal or illegal. Did the poll deal with that? The lady admitted it did not. I advised her I was very favorable toward immigration through legal processes and generally negative toward immigration through illegal processes. She thanked me and moved on.
I wonder whether she marked down an answer based on our conversation.
I do think a review of all polls are useful to indicate trends, however. And I think the polls currently reflect a trend that is less favorable toward illegal immigrants. Whether that is due to more education and thought about the subject or primarily due to the economic downturn I couldn't say, though I do believe the economic downturn is a factor.