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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 01:30 pm
That's the thing... remaining convincing. I was reading something earlier about how McCain just doesn't do so well as a front-runner. He gets grumpy, says something off-script, alienates people. That's part of what I find appealing about him actually, but I'm interested in seeing how he plays out.

For now, polls show Obama beating him, Hillary not so much.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 01:40 pm
sozobe wrote:
That's the thing... remaining convincing. I was reading something earlier about how McCain just doesn't do so well as a front-runner. He gets grumpy, says something off-script, alienates people. That's part of what I find appealing about him actually, but I'm interested in seeing how he plays out.

For now, polls show Obama beating him, Hillary not so much.


McCain has not been that convincing to the conservative base. He certainly has not stayed true to conservative principles on several very important issues. I'm resisting posting Ann Coulter's column re McCain this week as she is such anathema to most on this forum, but she succinctly summarized the problem.

But if Hillary can be such a pro-war hawk when it was popular to be that in 1993 and disavow with impunity all responsibility for that now in 2008 when it is no longer so popular, then perhaps McCain too can change his spots and convince the people that he is a different kind of animal now. If Hillary could put together a universal health care plan so horrendous that even her own party would not vote for it and then convince people that she is the one to fix health care now, maybe McCain can convince people that his past boondoggles should not be held against him in his plans now.

We'll see.

Obama's problem could actually be his consistency if Hillary (or later McCain) are able to emphasize unpopular positions that he has strongly advocated.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 01:45 pm
Quote:
"He hit it out of the park"


Gad. Apparently your park is ten yards deep. What he did was merely splice a series of necessary doctrinaire talking points to satisfy the raw meat carnivores in that crowd. Real straight-talking maverick, Mr. McCain.

What are we going to see now? War talk. Scare the people strategy, pumped up by the WH PR apparatus, and pushed quite relentlessly by the rightwing media. Absolutely predictable.
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Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 01:50 pm
Sozobe wrote
Quote:
For now, polls show Obama beating him (McCain), Hillary not so much.


I think I posted somewhere--not sure if it was on this thread--that Rush is contemplating contributing to Hillary's campaign as support for the new slogan he has coined:

KEEP HER IN SO WE CAN WIN! Smile

The polls make that seem reasonable. Smile
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 03:21 pm
blatham wrote:
Quote:
"He hit it out of the park"


Gad. Apparently your park is ten yards deep. What he did was merely splice a series of necessary doctrinaire talking points to satisfy the raw meat carnivores in that crowd. Real straight-talking maverick, Mr. McCain.

What are we going to see now? War talk. Scare the people strategy, pumped up by the WH PR apparatus, and pushed quite relentlessly by the rightwing media. Absolutely predictable.

I am becoming worried, blatham, I tend to agree. McCain hit a blooper into centerfield, is about the best you can say. Now we understand McCain has hired a group to teach him how to reach out to conservatives, what a laugh.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/0208/McCain_hires_conservative_PR_firm.html

The straight talk express was always a fraud, but now he is hiring people to convince people that he is what he isn't.

Another interesting person on his staff, an open borders guy. McCain appears to foisted a fraud on us during the debates, because he claims to have seen the light on this issue, but I don't think he was straight talk with us during the debates. Its a bait and switch ballgame, folks, and if anyone needs to know what this is, go buy a car.

About the only issue that McCain seemed to own was war policy, so yes blatham, I agree, McCain will beat that drum as hard as he can, but that message may not resonate for the general election. I don't see how he got as far as he did with it.
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Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 03:33 pm
I dunno. I watched the speech and the reaction of the CPAC group, and you don't GET any more conservative base than CPAC is. They started out with McCain luke warm and at the end they were on their feet cheering and with prolonged applause. Listening to the spin afterward, I got the feeling that they were overall quite encouraged.

So for McCain to go from wayward son to 'quite encouraging' is hitting it out of the park as far as I'm concerned. I don't know how he could have been expected to have done any better.

So if it is for real, we can all be encouraged. If not, we right of center folks are not so easily bamboozled. We might not get off the train if it is the only means of transportation, but we won't be blowing any kind of triumphant whistle either. It will be interesting to see what kind of enthusiasm McCain can build from this new beginning.

We have to be especially wary of wolves in sheeps clothing who will use McCain's negatives to sow seeds of doubt too. Those folks actually work for the other side.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 04:08 pm
I wasn't there, Foxfyre, so this is based on hearing only part of it, but he wasn't all that convincing to me. After all, he wouldn't even appear before the group last year. He knows he needs to now, but he only does it because he has to, politically. He is obviously not going to change his core beliefs, so whenever the opportunity or the situation allows, he will not further conservative principles on all fronts, after all, he has not considered himself a full conservative, but a moderate maverick, that is just plainly the facts, and there is no escaping it. He has made a political career of sticking a sharp stick into conservative people, including his own party, and it isn't going to change unless he thinks has to. He is right on a percentage of issues, and marginal on others, and dead wrong on some. He is a mixed bag at best.

To repeat, my primary opposition is based on personality, demeanor, and operating procedure, I just think he is full of it, and that doesn't change easily. I could accept all of his policy stances fairly easily if I actually liked the guy. And truth be known, there is more to that aspect than has been brought out so far, and believe me on this one, the Democrats will bring this up, in partnership with a willing press. We will hear about his temper , his outbursts, his abuse of other people in congress, and all the rest of his baggage. We haven't heard about that much yet, because the press wanted him to win the Republican primary.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 05:12 pm
LOL

http://www.lp.org/media/article_564.shtml

Quote:
Libertarian Party sends condolences to the Republican National Committee

http://www.lp.org/main/uploads/rnc3.jpg

With the rise of John McCain, LP offers sympathy for the death of small-government values within the GOP

Washington, D.C. - Following a solid McCain victory in the Super Tuesday primaries, the Libertarian Party has sent Republican headquarters a funeral wreath marking the death of limited-government values within the Republican Party. The wreath was hand-delivered to the D.C. offices of the Republican National Committee. "We simply felt the need to express our heartfelt sympathy for the Republican Party as they undergo this tough time within their party," says Libertarian Party National Media Coordinator Andrew Davis, who delivered the wreath.

"Given that it has become readily apparent that Senator McCain will soon be the presidential nominee for the Republican Party," reads a card that accompanied the wreath addressed to RNC Chairman Mike Duncan, "we, the staff of the Libertarian National Committee, send our condolences to you upon the death of small-government principles within the GOP."

The note continues:

Libertarians encourage competition within both the free-market and politics. Unfortunately, with the rise of John McCain and the big-spending practices of the Bush administration, the two-party system has emerged as representing only one philosophy - big-government liberalism.

With your loss, the Libertarian Party will continue to move forward to represent those American patriots who still believe in smaller government, lower taxes and more individual freedom.

"McCain's Super Tuesday win marks the death of limited government values within the Republican Party, which had struggled with its principles throughout the Bush administration," says Shane Cory, executive director of the Libertarian Party. "It is a day of mourning for the few remaining small-government Republicans."

For pictures of the wreath and its delivery to the RNC headquarters see below. For more information and interview requests, please call Andrew Davis at (202) 333-0008 during normal business hours, or at (202) 731-0002 during any other time.

The Libertarian Party is America's third largest political party, founded in 1971 as an alternative to the two main political parties. You can find more information on the Libertarian Party by visiting www.lp.org. The Libertarian Party proudly stands for smaller government, lower taxes and more freedom.


Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 07:38 pm
Go ahead and laugh, cyclops, but what about the impending train wreck with Clinton and Obama on collision course? This will be interesting to watch. Ms. Clinton is not going to give up easy. I think she will pull out all the stops.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 07:48 pm
okie wrote:
Go ahead and laugh, cyclops, but what about the impending train wreck with Clinton and Obama on collision course? This will be interesting to watch. Ms. Clinton is not going to give up easy. I think she will pull out all the stops.


Yeah, that's what people keep saying. We'll see.

BTW, a Republican leader in Louisiana just got arrested for Larry Craiging an undercover cop in the bathroom. That's the fourth one this year.

Cycloptichorn
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 08:09 pm
Cyclops, if you are wondering what is going to happen with the Democrats, I can't tell you who will win, but I thought you might appreciate a review of the possible program at your upcoming convention. I hope you can attend to enjoy the venue.

2008 Democratic National Convention
Schedule of Events

7:00 pm ~ OPENING FLAG BURNING
7:15 pm ~ PLEDGE OF ALLEGIANCE TO THE U. N.
7:20 pm ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
7:25 pm ~ NONRELIGIOUS PRAYER AND WORSHIP - Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton
7:45 pm ~ CEREMONIAL TREE HUGGING - Darryl Hannah
7:55 pm ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
8:00 pm ~ HOW I INVENTED THE INTERNET - Al Gore
8:15 pm ~ GAY WEDDING PLANNING - Rosie O'Donnell
8:35 pm ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
8:40 pm ~ OUR TROOPS ARE WAR CRIMINALS - John Kerry
9.00 pm ~ MEMORIAL SERVICE FOR SADDAM AND HIS SONS - Cindy Sheehan and Susan Sarandon
10:00 pm ~ "ANSWERING MACHINE ETIQUETTE" - Alec Baldwin
11:00 pm ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
11:05 pm ~ COLLECTION FOR THE OSAMA BIN LADEN KIDNEY TRANSPLANT FUND - Barbara Streisand
11:15 pm ~ FREE THE FREEDOM FIGHTERS FROM GUANTANAMO BAY - Sean Penn
11:30 pm ~ OVAL OFFICE AFFAIRS - William Jefferson Clinton
11:45 pm ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
11:50 pm ~ HOW GEORGE BUSH BROUGHT DOWN THE WORLD TRADE TOWERS - Howard Dean
12:15 am ~ "TRUTH IN BROADCASTING AWARD" - Presented to Dan Rather by Michael Moore
12:25 am ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
12:30 am ~ SATELLITE ADDRESS - Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
12:45 am ~ NOMINATION OF HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON - Nancy Pelosi
1:00 am ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
1:05 am ~ CORONATION OF HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON
1:30 am ~ TED KENNEDY PROPOSES A TOAST
1:35 am ~ BILL CLINTON ASKS TED KENNEDY TO DRIVE HILLARY HOME
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:32 pm
blatham wrote:
george wrote:
Quote:
I believe that Huckabee is merely yet another Arkansas huckster; this time merely with a different veneer from the last one (Baptist minister vs Georgetown, Yale & Cambridge). We have had one: we don't need another. I hope he fades very quickly.


You latte drinking, elitist San Francisco/New York intellectual snobs! You think you are sooooo much better than the simple, honest, hardworking real Americans of the heartland...the people who made America...the people who's values shaped this great nation...people like George Bush and Ronald Reagan. I hope al quaeda comes to knock on your door when you order up your French wine and your perverted sexual aids and your all-salad pizza.


Laughing
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fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 09:36 pm
The "Ted Kennedy proposes a toast... Bill Clinton asks Ted Kennedy to drive Hillary home" bit was funny.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:08 pm
blatham wrote:
george wrote:
Quote:
I believe that Huckabee is merely yet another Arkansas huckster; this time merely with a different veneer from the last one (Baptist minister vs Georgetown, Yale & Cambridge). We have had one: we don't need another. I hope he fades very quickly.


You latte drinking, elitist San Francisco/New York intellectual snobs! You think you are sooooo much better than the simple, honest, hardworking real Americans of the heartland...the people who made America...the people who's values shaped this great nation...people like George Bush and Ronald Reagan. I hope al quaeda comes to knock on your door when you order up your French wine and your perverted sexual aids and your all-salad pizza.


Laughing Laughing

When I wrote the above post I had a faint impression in the back of my mind that I might be inadvertantly providing Blatham some grist for his mill and making myself vulnerable to a retort like this. However, I thought - No, Blatham is better than that: he would not exploit our agreement on select issues to advance his other positions or, worse, attempt to tar me with a conservative brush. Alas I was wrong - there truly is no level to which he will not stoop.

Bernie forgets that I am in northern California -- we don't drink French wine, and we export our perverted sex aids to Seattle & British Columbia.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 8 Feb, 2008 10:23 pm
georgeob, Now, that was funny!
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Feb, 2008 12:26 am
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
Sure, the pundits we're saying that he had an uphill battle, and that McCain's position was pretty solid, but I didn't hear any of them say Romney had no chance [..]

I did. Specifically, I saw an article doing the simple math. Cant find it back, but I can redo the math.

A Republican candidate needs 1,191 delegates to win the nomination.

McCain already has 721.

Romney has 278. So he would have needed to win another 913.

But there are only some 1,165 at stake still...

In short, Romney would have needed to win 78% of all delegates in the upcoming primaries. Keeping McCain and Huckabee down to a combined 22%.

Rright..

So yes, he had no chance, as the smarter commentators figured out. It wasnt just "an uphill battle" he faced, it was virtually a mathematical impossibility.

The "Radio Conservatives rear action" may well still "have heated up further," yeah, but no, there was no way anymore he could have gotten at all close, let alone "closer still" (whatever that means regarding a guy who's already trailing almost 1:3 in delegates).
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Feb, 2008 01:35 am
nimh wrote:
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
Sure, the pundits we're saying that he had an uphill battle, and that McCain's position was pretty solid, but I didn't hear any of them say Romney had no chance [..]

I did. Specifically, I saw an article doing the simple math. Cant find it back, but I can redo the math.

A Republican candidate needs 1,191 delegates to win the nomination.

McCain already has 721.

Romney has 278. So he would have needed to win another 913.

But there are only some 1,165 at stake still...

In short, Romney would have needed to win 78% of all delegates in the upcoming primaries. Keeping McCain and Huckabee down to a combined 22%.

Rright..

So yes, he had no chance, as the smarter commentators figured out. It wasnt just "an uphill battle" he faced, it was virtually a mathematical impossibility.

The "Radio Conservatives rear action" may well still "have heated up further," yeah, but no, there was no way anymore he could have gotten at all close, let alone "closer still" (whatever that means regarding a guy who's already trailing almost 1:3 in delegates).


Closer still - meaning winning more delegates and being closer to the magic number required

This is really a silly discussion though.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Feb, 2008 02:09 am
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
Closer still - meaning winning more delegates and being closer to the magic number required

"Closer still" by definition implies one is "close" in the first place, hello. Odd thing to say about someone who was trailing by almost 1:3 and had no chance whatsoever anymore of winning the nomination.

But yeah, like you say, whatever...
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Feb, 2008 12:37 pm
blatham wrote:


What are we going to see now? War talk. Scare the people strategy, pumped up by the WH PR apparatus, and pushed quite relentlessly by the rightwing media. Absolutely predictable.


Quote:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/us/politics/09bush.html
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Feb, 2008 12:56 pm
A paragraph from the above piece...
Quote:
Ken Mehlman, a former political director under Mr. Bush who managed his re-election campaign and went on to lead the Republican National Committee, announced his endorsement of Mr. McCain on Thursday evening. Mr. Bush's political guru, Karl Rove, said on Friday that he had contributed $2,300 to the senator's campaign, confirming a report first published by Time magazine's blog, The Page.


It oughta be interesting to hear Hannity and Coulter and Rush on these two endorsements.
0 Replies
 
 

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