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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 08:42 am
And, for lack of a better place to put this item below... another one bites the dust.

Quote:
Lott to resign, officials say

Lott becomes the sixth Senate Republican this year to announce retirement.

Mississippi's Gov. Haley Barbour, a Republican, will appoint Lott's replacement, who will serve until the 2008 elections, when voters will elect someone to serve out the balance of Lott's term, which runs through 2012. Rep. Chip Pickering of Mississippi, a former Lott aide who recently announced his retirement from the House, is widely seen as a potential successor. Pickering could not immediately be reached for comment.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-lott27nov27,0,5093771.story?coll=la-home-center
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 10:07 am
Lola wrote:
Sometimes george you really disappoint me.


Laughing Haven't had a dose of that in a long time !

Lola, I long ago acquired a lifetime immunity from that kind of thin-lipped scolding.

I wrote the truth and it is based on lots of direct experience in successful turnarounds in squadrons, ships, and corporations, large and small.
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Ethel2
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 03:59 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Lola wrote:
Sometimes george you really disappoint me.


Laughing Haven't had a dose of that in a long time !

Lola, I long ago acquired a lifetime immunity from that kind of thin-lipped scolding.

I wrote the truth and it is based on lots of direct experience in successful turnarounds in squadrons, ships, and corporations, large and small.


(looking in the mirror for thin lips........must be time for more Restylane). It wasn't so much a scolding as an expression of exasperation on my part. Oh well, we can kiss and make up now if you like.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 04:24 pm
No problem. I like argument, but I don't hold grudges. In fact I have even learned not to waste much time on anger or resentment - they are simply self-inflicted punishment.

The "thin-lipped" bit was purely figurtive: I'm sure yours are fine.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 04:34 pm
The Republicans - or rather, Giuliani and Romney specifically - are having at it like rarely before, and there's some great soundbites in there. I like the "everybody makes mistakes, but not everybody asks to be president of the United States" one.

Quote:
In a Cycle of Attacks, Giuliani Gives and Receives

[..] Rudolph W. Giuliani found himself under increasingly fierce attacks on Sunday from two of his rivals. Mitt Romney said the recent indictment of Bernard B. Kerik, who was Mr. Giuliani's friend and former police commissioner, "certainly calls into question his judgment" [..]. Fred D. Thompson, the former Tennessee senator, said in an interview on "Fox News Sunday" that Mr. Giuliani has "not five minutes of experience" with federal and national security issues. [..]

Mr. Romney intensified his criticisms of Mr. Giuliani. "He is pro-choice like Hillary Clinton," he said at a campaign stop in Concord. "He is in favor of civil unions, like Hillary Clinton. He is in favor of sanctuary cities, like Hillary Clinton. And the record of ethical conduct from, in this case, Bernie Kerik, reminds us very much of the administration Hillary Clinton was part of." [..]

[The back-and-forth] consumed much of the long holiday weekend. First Mr. Thompson questioned Mr. Giuliani's history of support for gun control, which is unpopular with many Republican voters, and Mr. Giuliani shot back that Mr. Thompson was attacking him because he had no record of his own to talk about.

Then Mr. Romney questioned Mr. Giuliani's fiscal stewardship of New York, leading Mr. Giuliani to attack Mr. Romney for appointing a judge who this summer freed an inmate who was arrested last week, accused of killing a couple in Washington State.

That opened the door for Mr. Romney to bring up Mr. Kerik on Sunday. "I must admit that of all of the people who might attack someone on the basis of an appointment, I thought he would be the last to do so," Mr. Romney said of Mr. Giuliani. [..]

"In a very different case, he put somebody in place as commissioner who had a very questionable past," Mr. Romney said, "and then recommended to the president of the United States this person be made the secretary of homeland security, despite the fact that he at this point was under investigation."

That led [..] Mr. Giuliani to accuse Mr. Romney of having a bad record on crime. "I think that Governor Romney is trying to distract attention from what is clearly a mistake that he made, but the other big mistake that he made was crime went up," Mr. Giuliani said. "Violent crime and murder went up while he was governor, and I think that that is something that talks about not just an isolated mistake, it talks about a series of mistakes."


Quote:
GOP rivals swap barbs on values, crime

Mitt Romney bought a stuffed monkey and other playthings for his grandson, but their visit to a toy store Sunday was anything but routine Christmas shopping. [..] "I believe it's important for the Republican Party to have a person who can distinguish himself on family values with Hillary Clinton," Romney said.

The nominee, he said, should be "pro-life," "pro-family," "pro-traditional marriage," oppose illegal immigration and uphold high ethical standards. And by all those measures, he said, Giuliani falls short. [..]

Joining him at the Concord toy store were his wife, Ann; their grown sons Tagg, Craig and Ben; each of their wives; and 19-month-old Parker, one of Romney's 11 grandchildren. With Parker perched on his shoulder, Romney, surrounded by news crews, bought the boy a stuffed Curious George, a toy car and a plastic horse.

Asked whether he was trying to contrast his stable family life with Giuliani's tumultuous personal history, Romney said he was not making any comment on the subject. [..] Yet even without mentioning Giuliani's name, Romney left no doubt that he was criticizing him [..] later at a senior center in Newport.

"It just drives me nuts, I have to be honest with you, when politicians get up and talk about their personal life, and then say, 'Oh, everybody makes mistakes,' " Romney said.

"Well, everybody makes mistakes, but not everybody asks to be president of the United States, and not everybody asks to be a United States senator, or a United States congressman. And when you ask for those responsibilities, then we expect you to live by a higher standard of conduct."

[But the] former New York mayor slammed Romney's record as governor of Massachusetts, most pointedly on crime and healthcare. "The governor had what can only be described as a poor record on violent crime," Giuliani told the Associated Press on Saturday in Laconia. [..]

Giuliani cited FBI statistics showing a rise in murders and robberies in Massachusetts on Romney's watch, but Romney insisted Sunday that violent crime overall dropped. "He's now done this time and again, making up facts that just happen to be wrong," Romney said.

Romney also said it was odd for Giuliani to criticize the judicial appointment in light of his history of naming Bernard Kerik, who was indicted last month on corruption charges, as New York police commissioner, and recommending him for U.S. Homeland Security secretary. "He was coming from an entirely glass house," Romney said. [..]

[E]arlier, responding on the other matters raised by Romney, Giuliani campaign manager Michael DuHaime told reporters that he was "a mediocre one-term governor."

"Ultimately, when we start talking about records, and records of the different candidates, and who can accomplish what this country faces, what you have is Gov. Romney essentially without much of a record," he said.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 04:46 pm
Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee put into doubt whether he'd continue even the nominal support of the current admin for a two-state solution in Israel, while giving a no-nonsense take on the upcoming Middle East conference:

Quote:


But he also made some commendable sense on his record of providing children of illegal immigrants with tuition breaks as Governor. It wont make him more popular with the hardcore Republican crowd, which makes his stridency all the more commendable:

Quote:
Meantime, while some candidates of both parties have revised their stances on immigration, most often embracing tougher policies, Huckabee offered an unapologetic defense of his support for tuition breaks for the children of illegal immigrants.

Mr. Huckabee insisted on CNN's "Late Edition" that he would not be soft on immigration enforcement. "I never had illegals working on my lawn" (a dig at Mitt Romney). "I don't believe in sanctuary cities" (a dig at Rudolph Giuliani). "I don't believe in amnesty" (a dig at, well, anyone seen as too soft on immigration). "And I do believe in having a secure, fenced border."

"But I don't believe that this country has surely reduced itself to the point that when a parent commits a crime and breaks the law, that you grind your heel in the face of 6-year-old."

"This is a better country than that," he said.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 05:33 pm
The Huckabee element in this race is very interesting. He's pulling the christian right into his corner and that's increasing daily. But his stance on immigration and taxes, particularly, are going to go bump in the night. My hope is that the fellow will really get the hopes up for the religious extremists in the party but that other elements of the party will actively and obviously thwart his candidacy, leading to an even greater liklihood that those religious right people will experience a further disaffection and apathy with the party and the political process. Diminishment of their help in the ground game could have serious electoral consequences.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 05:36 pm
I am confident of the ability of all of the leading Democrat candidates to remotivate and remobilize them.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 06:07 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
I am confident of the ability of all of the leading Democrat candidates to remotivate and remobilize them.


It's a false confidence, I think, george. Certainly many will do as you suggest and would no matter most any circumstance even if they huff and puff with "I'm leaving!" threats. But this part of the party (like the party itself) no longer demonstrates the unanimity or confidence that we've seen previously. You don't have to take my word for this. We can talk again after the election.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 06:15 pm
It's a false confidence. The money game should show you that, if nothing else.

Cycloptichorn
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ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 10:08 pm
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Ethel2
 
  1  
Reply Mon 26 Nov, 2007 10:29 pm
And here's an interesting and telling quotation from Huckabee in the article from the New York Times Magazine, The Evangelical Breakup. (Don't you juuuuuuuuuust love it?)

"[Huckabee] argued that the movement's leaders would 'become irrelevant' if they started putting political viability or low taxes ahead of their principles about abortion and marriage.

'In biblical terms, it is like the salt losing it's flavor; it's sand,' Huckabee said. 'Some of them have spent too long in Washington. . . . I think they are going to have a hard time going out into the pews and saying tax policy is what Jesus is about, that he said, 'Come unto me all you who are overtaxed and I will give you rest.''"

Well, right on Mikey!

The Evangelical Crackup
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Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 06:15 am
ehBeth wrote:
lots of interesting stuff on electability - fact/fiction/function

http://nymag.com/news/features/41285/

Thank you so much! I wish I had written this article. (You may want to post it in the Obama thread too, though.)
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 08:26 am
That's a great piece, bethie. Thanks. You NY Mag comes through again.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 08:46 am
nimh

Did you see this piece by Josh Marshall (left column, "Ephiphanies".
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 09:42 am
blatham wrote:
nimh

Did you see this piece by Josh Marshall (left column, "Ephiphanies".
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/

Yep, sounds about right.

Which makes those colorful graphs I put up about the state-by-state polls all the more interesting. Romney certainly seems a lot easier to beat than McCain or Giuliani.

A lot of that of course is because in the country overall, he still seriously lacks name recognition. But in Iowa they should already know him well, and there too he seems easier to beat than Giuliani or McCain, trailing Hillary by 6-8 points where Giuliani only trails by 4-5 points and McCain is actually ahead.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 02:31 pm
I'll confess to being a bit less entertained by all the interactions and "what if's " that you dedicated political analysts clearly enjoy. In the end, each party will select but one candidate, allowing second-order effects only in the selection of the VP running mate.

Among Democrats the race seems to be between Hillary and Obama. with the former generally acknowledged as more likely to win the general election, and the latter perhaps more attractive to some 'new wave' believers. My bet is the Democrats will opt for the win and choose Hillary, however I'll concede there is some real uncertainty on that point. I also suspect she will choose Bill Richardson as her running mate - it will make for a well-balanced and formidable ticket, and this seems consistent with the strategic values she has shown so far.

Among Republicans, I find greater uncertainty as to who is likely to emerge as the winner. Either Romney, McCain or Giuliani could make it, and I don't see much in the way of a reliable basis for a forecast among them. Some here make a big deal about the supposed squabbling among Republicans over the nomination. I think that is all overrated. As is true in academia, the bitterest political squabbles are often fought over the smallest differences. The gulf between the leading candidates of the two parties is very large compared to the differences among the candidates of either party. Moreover the primary process now underway tends to magnify those differences as the contenders take their ritual pot shots at each other.

One interesting and potentially favorable part of the Bush legacy is the impression of a strong Vice president - something decidedly new in our recent history. This could conceivably lead to an interesting combiination in the selection of the final ticket. I'm not betting on this, but it is an interesting possibility.

Overall, I still believe Hillary is most likely to be our next president, though I have come to believe the race could well be closer than I previously thought.
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spendius
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Nov, 2007 02:47 pm
The GOP must be loving this.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Nov, 2007 03:22 pm
http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/004795.php

Giuliani, as mayor, billed the city for trips to the Hamptons to f*ck his mistress at the time, who he is now married to, to the tune of almost half a million; and he did it by hiding the costs in obscure agencies.

He's toast.

You Republicans; can't you realize that the campaign against this guy writes itself?!?!!?!?!

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Nov, 2007 04:22 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/004795.php

Giuliani, as mayor, billed the city for trips to the Hamptons to f*ck his mistress at the time, who he is now married to, to the tune of almost half a million; and he did it by hiding the costs in obscure agencies.

He's toast.

You Republicans; can't you realize that the campaign against this guy writes itself?!?!!?!?!

Cycloptichorn


I suspect you underestimate the stunning ability of this modern "party of the principled" to happily toss most principles overboard in order to keep or achieve power.
0 Replies
 
 

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