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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 10:51 am
Yes and no. If the pollsters failed to acknowledge the inherant contradictions in their analysis of their findings then they too are at fault.

There really is a good deal of "junk science" out there, particularly in the areas of human behavior. Many of the advocates of science and secular rationalism are just as close-minded as the supposed intellectual Luddites they so constantly criticize. Certainly the notion that Americans are in the grip of some kind of mass psychological disorder, stemming from their relatively greater acceptance of the notion of God and a moral law above the prescripts of human government, is itself easily just as revealing of close-minded fixed beliefs on the part of our critics as as it is of any such things here.

Blatham's fidelity to the prescripts of a certain secular convention of thought has itself a certain evangelical quality that makes his preoccupation with some Christians seem a bit odd - at least to me.

believe that Spendius has - in his own characteristic and cranky way -been arguing for a dimension of reality, that some of his critics sirefuse to acknowledge, but cannot refute or replace.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 10:52 am
blatham wrote:
Re the earlier discussion (sexism), I'll just quickly point out the use of a particular term in the on-going Hillary narrative... "cackle". Men don't 'cackle', witches make that sound.
Quote:
The Cackle joins The Haircut and The Sigh
The media's comical obsession earlier this month with the tone and frequency of Sen. Hillary Clinton's laugh didn't just represent another head-smacking moment in the annals of awful campaign journalism. It also served as a preview of what's likely to come in 2008.

Anybody who thinks that if Clinton wins the Democratic nomination that the Cackle narrative won't be revived has not been paying attention in recent years. That's why it's so important to take a moment to understand the press dynamics that allow a story like The Cackle to flourish, and why pointless stories like that -- and John Edwards' Haircut or Al Gore's Sighs during a 2000 presidential debate -- only affect Democrats.


Well, witches are female, and Hillary is one too....
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 10:56 am
Quote:

Blatham's fidelity to the prescripts of a certain secular convention of thought has itself a certain evangelical quality that makes his preoccupation with some Christians seem a bit odd - at least to me.


With the difference being, environmentalism has at least a basis in science and is ostensibly is open to changes based upon new scientific studies. On the other hand, religion has exactly zero basis in any test-able or verifiable science.

Therefore it can easily be stated that one convention of thought is infinitely superior to the other, from a basis of logic.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 11:03 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
[
With the difference being, environmentalism has at least a basis in science and is ostensibly is open to changes based upon new scientific studies. On the other hand, religion has exactly zero basis in any test-able or verifiable science.


An interesting bit of rank sophistry. Religion and philosophy are not subsets of science. To say that religion cannot be supported by science is to say exactly nothing.

Do you consider "environmentalism" an equivalent to or substitute for religion? If you will take the trouble to learn, I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity. I find no particular fault with Environmentalism because of this - it reflects only the flaws of the humans who support it. The remarkable part here is that somehow you find it inherently superior.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 11:17 am
So, george, would you be pleased if that 50%+ went up to 75%? An honest answer of yes or no seems hardly too much to ask.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 11:23 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
[
With the difference being, environmentalism has at least a basis in science and is ostensibly is open to changes based upon new scientific studies. On the other hand, religion has exactly zero basis in any test-able or verifiable science.


An interesting bit of rank sophistry. Religion and philosophy are not subsets of science. To say that religion cannot be supported by science is to say exactly nothing.

Do you consider "environmentalism" an equivalent to or substitute for religion? If you will take the trouble to learn, I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity. I find no particular fault with Environmentalism because of this - it reflects only the flaws of the humans who support it. The remarkable part here is that somehow you find it inherently superior.


This line -

"I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity."

Is completely false, and nothing more then your opinion. I can at least show some of the logic which goes into environmental calculations. We can do empirical testing of many of the tenets of environmentalism.

With respect to religion, there is no basis of logic whatsoever backing up anyone's belief; indeed, it is the exact opposite of logic, Faith, which supports the religious system. There is exactly zero empirical testing which can be done to prove or disprove the theory.

Even if you are against the environmentalists' conclusions, you could show scientifically how they are incorrect. This is impossible WRT religion. Therefore, it is impossible to say that environmentalism is inferior to religion in any way, or not superior. One has a basis in science and the other does not.

I will go with theories which can be proven or disproven over those which must be accepted on faith and zero evidence each and every time. The fact that you can't understand this places you right about on the level of the 45% in question.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 11:35 am
blatham wrote:
So, george, would you be pleased if that 50%+ went up to 75%? An honest answer of yes or no seems hardly too much to ask.


The honest answer is that I wouldn't care one way or the other. Human nature is what it is. Most of the accepted 'immutable truths' of any age or culture are subsequently found to be defective in one way or another. The really dangerous elements of ideas occur when someone chooses to force them on others and somehow accumulates enough power to actually do so. The harm involved is not particularly dependent on the fixed idea or system of belief itself. (There is an important qualification here - if the belief system itself acknowledges no constraints on its action, then its proclivity for mischief is likely to be greater.)

Therefore I am more preoccupied with the preservation of my own freedom to think and do as I choose than I am about the beliefs of others - except for those who actually have the power to coerce me.

I don't believe that (say) Europeans who answer polls in a way suggesting less belief in the mythology of literal interpretation of Christian texts, are any more or less intelligent than those who answer otherwise. Moreover I don't think the coercion of (say) evangelicals attempting to codify Christian morality in civil law is any better or worse than the coercion of well intentioned environmentalists bent on protecting the earth from carbon dioxide.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:03 pm
georgeob wrote:
"I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity."
Best line I have read in at least a week.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:11 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
I don't believe that (say) Europeans who answer polls in a way suggesting less belief in the mythology of literal interpretation of Christian texts, are any more or less intelligent than those who answer otherwise.

I would argue against that, but I don't want to overwork your dim-witted American mind.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:26 pm
Lol, just to be clear, I would also argue that.

Those who literally interpret the bible and other Christian texts are, in my opinion, less intelligent then those who answer otherwise. At the very least they are displaying extremely poor judgment.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:31 pm
Thomas wrote:
georgeob1 wrote:
I don't believe that (say) Europeans who answer polls in a way suggesting less belief in the mythology of literal interpretation of Christian texts, are any more or less intelligent than those who answer otherwise.

I would argue against that, but I don't want to overwork your dim-witted American mind.

Thank you. It is always good to be the subject of a little Bavarian condescension. :wink:
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:42 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
[This line -

"I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity."

Is completely false, and nothing more then your opinion. I can at least show some of the logic which goes into environmental calculations. We can do empirical testing of many of the tenets of environmentalism.

With respect to religion, there is no basis of logic whatsoever backing up anyone's belief; indeed, it is the exact opposite of logic, Faith, which supports the religious system. There is exactly zero empirical testing which can be done to prove or disprove the theory.

Even if you are against the environmentalists' conclusions, you could show scientifically how they are incorrect. This is impossible WRT religion. Therefore, it is impossible to say that environmentalism is inferior to religion in any way, or not superior. One has a basis in science and the other does not.

I will go with theories which can be proven or disproven over those which must be accepted on faith and zero evidence each and every time. The fact that you can't understand this places you right about on the level of the 45% in question.

Cycloptichorn


Well, once again you are cherry picking pieces of the fabric as the basis for counter attack.

And just what is "the level of the 45%" ? Do you consider yourself to be superior to them? On what basis?

I have no argument wirh empiricism - except when the malinformed attempt to presume there is no other basis for thought or deduction.

I am CEO of an Environmental company. We make lost of money performing EPA mandated human health risk assessments and in designing & constructing remedial solutions, large and small. I routinely observe the environmental regulators deliberately ignoring the scientific results of these risk analyses in the pursuit of their social and bureaucratic goals. Does that make me (or any of them) "Environmentalists"? Is it "Environmentalism" when they (regulators and advocacy groups) mandate huge expenditures for remedial action when the science of the matter demonstrates that there will be no measurable public benefit? This happens routinely - if that is environmentalism then you should beware of it.

I submit there is much more to these questions than you appear to be willing to acknowledge.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 12:51 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
[This line -

"I think you will find that, in its human application, it is even more replete with error, misplaced priorities and half-assed analysis than even Protestant Christianity."

Is completely false, and nothing more then your opinion. I can at least show some of the logic which goes into environmental calculations. We can do empirical testing of many of the tenets of environmentalism.

With respect to religion, there is no basis of logic whatsoever backing up anyone's belief; indeed, it is the exact opposite of logic, Faith, which supports the religious system. There is exactly zero empirical testing which can be done to prove or disprove the theory.

Even if you are against the environmentalists' conclusions, you could show scientifically how they are incorrect. This is impossible WRT religion. Therefore, it is impossible to say that environmentalism is inferior to religion in any way, or not superior. One has a basis in science and the other does not.

I will go with theories which can be proven or disproven over those which must be accepted on faith and zero evidence each and every time. The fact that you can't understand this places you right about on the level of the 45% in question.

Cycloptichorn


Well, once again you are cherry picking pieces of the fabric as the basis for counter attack.

And just what is "the level of the 45%" ? Do you consider yourself to be superior to them? On what basis?

I have no argument wirh empiricism - except when the malinformed attempt to presume there is no other basis for thought or deduction.

I am CEO of an Environmental company. We make lost of money performing EPA mandated human health risk assessments and in designing & constructing remedial solutions, large and small. I routinely observe the environmental regulators deliberately ignoring the scientific results of these risk analyses in the pursuit of their social and bureaucratic goals. Does that make me (or any of them) "Environmentalists"? Is it "Environmentalism" when they (regulators and advocacy groups) mandate huge expenditures for remedial action when the science of the matter demonstrates that there will be no measurable public benefit? This happens routinely - if that is environmentalism then you should beware of it.

I submit there is much more to these questions than you appear to be willing to acknowledge.


I disagree with your biased definition of 'environmentalism.' You should be able to do better then to attack straw men.

Quote:

And just what is "the level of the 45%" ? Do you consider yourself to be superior to them? On what basis?


Naturally. Logical thought is superior to illogical faith. Even if logical thought is incorrect, it can be shown to be incorrect. It is not possible to show that faith is incorrect. One type of thought is provably superior then the other.

Just ask one question: what advances for society has faith wrought? What advances has logic wrought? The two are hardly comparable, in that religion and faith have not materially advanced the cause of humanity in any real way, whereas science and logic have done so.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 01:05 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Naturally. Logical thought is superior to illogical faith. Even if logical thought is incorrect, it can be shown to be incorrect. It is not possible to show that faith is incorrect. One type of thought is provably superior then the other.

Just ask one question: what advances for society has faith wrought? What advances has logic wrought? The two are hardly comparable, in that religion and faith have not materially advanced the cause of humanity in any real way, whereas science and logic have done so.

Cycloptichorn


You are a nice, likeable guy, but you have a lot to learn.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 01:09 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Naturally. Logical thought is superior to illogical faith. Even if logical thought is incorrect, it can be shown to be incorrect. It is not possible to show that faith is incorrect. One type of thought is provably superior then the other.

Just ask one question: what advances for society has faith wrought? What advances has logic wrought? The two are hardly comparable, in that religion and faith have not materially advanced the cause of humanity in any real way, whereas science and logic have done so.

Cycloptichorn


You are a nice, likeable guy, but you have a lot to learn.


Probably. But it won't be Faith which teaches me, but logic.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 01:09 pm
Thomas wrote:
okie wrote:
Well, I just looked at the poll you cited and if you look at the numbers, it is obviously a flawed poll. 53% definitely or probably believe man evolved over a long period of time from lower forms of life, but 66% definitely or probably believe man was created in the last 10,000 years. So almost 20% of the people directly contradict themselves with their answers, probably because of the questions not being answerable with exactly what they might believe.

That doesn't mean the poll was flawed. It only means the pollsters interviewed flawed people.

Well, you didn't address the possibility where people might not believe either of the ideas that man was either created less than 10,000 years ago or he evolved over a very long period of time. I find the combination of the two questions somewhat ignorant in and of itself because what if man was created more than 10,000 years ago, which is not an option given by the pollsters? If you don't ask the right questions, your poll will be flawed. You can't blame the people polled entirely for the answers if the questions are flawed in the first place. I only bring up one flaw, but another one is what if the creation of man incorporated some evolvement, in other words a combination of both mechanisms, which I would venture to guess a significant number of people might agree with. Maybe the pollsters are more stupid than the people being polled?
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 02:03 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
blatham wrote:
So, george, would you be pleased if that 50%+ went up to 75%? An honest answer of yes or no seems hardly too much to ask.


The honest answer is that I wouldn't care one way or the other. Human nature is what it is. Most of the accepted 'immutable truths' of any age or culture are subsequently found to be defective in one way or another.

Therefore I am more preoccupied with the preservation of my own freedom to think and do as I choose than I am about the beliefs of others - except for those who actually have the power to coerce me.


Fine. Consistency in reasoning (which we know you value) would now have you making the claim that you wouldn't care one way or the other if 75% or even 100% of Americans came to believe that 'environmentalist ideas' were correct/immutable.

Yes or no? Take your pick. Or you could just chicken out again.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 03:01 pm
okie wrote:
Maybe the pollsters are more stupid than the people being polled?

In that case, respondents would have given substantially different answers when pollsters put the question differently. And they didn't.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 11 Oct, 2007 03:05 pm
blatham wrote:
georgeob1 wrote:
blatham wrote:
So, george, would you be pleased if that 50%+ went up to 75%? An honest answer of yes or no seems hardly too much to ask.


The honest answer is that I wouldn't care one way or the other. Human nature is what it is. Most of the accepted 'immutable truths' of any age or culture are subsequently found to be defective in one way or another.

Therefore I am more preoccupied with the preservation of my own freedom to think and do as I choose than I am about the beliefs of others - except for those who actually have the power to coerce me.


Fine. Consistency in reasoning (which we know you value) would now have you making the claim that you wouldn't care one way or the other if 75% or even 100% of Americans came to believe that 'environmentalist ideas' were correct/immutable.

Yes or no? Take your pick. Or you could just chicken out again.


Well it is nearly a fact now. There is widespread public support for most of the agenda of organized Environmentalists. I deal every day with the consequences of that. We get lots of contact with the often loose relationship between public environmental outrage and the real risks presented by the alternatives as science is able to determine them. I am mindful of the fact that in the main there is a good deal of public good that comes out of it all, but that there are also serious misconceptions that prevail and which stand in the way of available, real solutions (nuclear power is an example), as well as the probably inevitable bureaucratic venality and waste that infects all public programs (the EPA mandated cleanup of PCBs in the Hudson River by GE is a good example).

I support many issues popular among those who style themselves as "Environmentalists", and I oppose others. I am as bemused by those who regard "Environmentalism" as a substitute for, or equivalent to, religion as I am by the bible-thumping evangelicals who so excite your ire.

Most interesting to me is the observable fact that both groups are too often animated by exactly the same dogmatic certainty and zeal to impose their will on others. They are indeed brothers and sisters under the skin, and I can see little reason to prefer one to the other. In neither case do I see any dark conspiracy afoot - they are merely manifestations of the follies of human nature. However, I am particularly suspicious of those who see a dark conspiracy in one, but credulously accept all that flows from the other.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Fri 12 Oct, 2007 08:58 am
Option two taken.
0 Replies
 
 

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