Pauligirl wrote:
Why would anybody consider Pascal's Wager?
You can't sincerely believe something just to "be on the safe side." Without the sincerity, you are just a hypocrite. If there is a god, which do you think he/she/it would prefer? Honest disbelief, or hypocritical belief? And which god you pick? To be really safe, you'd have to believe in them all. Christian or a Moslem? A Zoroastrian or a Hindu? If you choose Christianity, what flavor? If you are Methodist, how about the possibility that Catholicism may be the true religion? To really be on the safe side, you'd have to become a believer in all religions in the world, and this would be utterly impossible, since many religions forbid beliefs in others.
So, all things considered, I have a 50/50 chance of being right-god vs no god. You, on the other hand have a ...somebody help me out here..how many gods are there? Well, ok, lets say a thousand, that's a nice round number. So you have 999 chances of being wrong. So, I'll keep my 50/50 and raise ya two small gods.
P
Pascals Wager has to do with the idea of a god-creator to whom we are accountable in some way -- not any particular religion. Pascal was aware that he could neither prove nor disprove the existence of such a being, but that, without one, he was at a loss to understand the origin or meaning of his existence. He recognized that he was confronted with a choice betweeen unprovable but exclusive alternatives -- a blind leap to either belief or disbelief. As you say, he argued for the safe and self- fulfilling alternative.
Clearly, from a purely logical perspective, there is no difference in "merit" between these alternatives, in that each involves the acceptance of an unprovable hypothesis.
I'm not particularly interested in the distinctions between and among various religions in that they all evoke the same god (or an equivalent superstition if you are a non-believer).
Your argument about the odds is, of course, specious - as you undoubtedly already know.