When and how the US will exit Iraq - indeed,
whether they will - probably depends not just on the political landscape but also on why they actually went there in the first place. We'll recall that about one month in, a US general involved in the campaign revealed that the intention was to maintain military bases there.
Claims that the US went in specifically for moral reasons (to stop murder and oppression and to bring freedom) ring hollow given a history of ignoring civil and human rights tragedies in the past and in the present. The predictor for US military involvement is NOT moral issues, but rather issues related to strategic visions and access to resources deemed essential for the US economy.
Folks do lie about this stuff. Iran/Contra for example. So we simply cannot trust an administration's PR statements regarding motive. Information that turns up, usually later, through government investigations, reporters' legwork, historians' research, the belated admissions of principals involved, whistleblowers' revelations, etc give us a more accurate understanding. One key element certain to gain the attention of analysts will be Iraq's oil.
Yesterday, a WH document turned up which demonstrated that the major oil company execs who testified before Congress last week and who denied meeting with Cheney's energy task force in 2001 had lied through their sparkley white caps in their testimony.
Quote: WASHINGTON -- A White House document shows that executives from big oil companies met with Vice President Dick Cheney's energy task force in 2001 -- something long suspected by environmentalists but denied as recently as last week by industry officials testifying before Congress.
The document, obtained this week by The Washington Post, shows that officials from Exxon Mobil Corp., Conoco (before its merger with Phillips), Shell Oil Co., and BP America Inc. met in the White House complex with the Cheney aides who were developing a national energy policy, parts of which became law and parts of which are still being debated.
In a joint hearing last week of the Senate Energy and Commerce committees, the chief executives of Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp., and ConocoPhillips said their firms did not participate in the 2001 task force. The president of Shell Oil said his company did not participate ''to my knowledge," and the chief of BP America Inc. said he did not know.
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2005/11/16/record_oil_leaders_energy_panel_met/