...ROYAL DUTCH SHELL BETTING OIL/GAS PRICES WILL STAY HIGH...
FORBES reports (link above) :
"Royal Dutch Shell effectively told the world on Monday that it does not think that oil prices will decline from current levels. The energy company said it would pay $6.8 billion to buy the 22% of Shell Canada that it does not already own, giving it access to the subsidiary's growing oil-sands division.
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"The oil sands are profitable when the price of crude is above about $40 a barrel, so Shell's interest is a sign it does not think prices will fall below that level.
Oil has risen about 80% since 2003, making Canadian sands projects competitive. The price of a barrel of oil peaked in July of this year at $78.40 and traded Monday morning on the New York Mercantile Exchange at $58.58, a decline of 25.3% from that level. The recent drop has led the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to institute a production cutback, although oil traders seem unconvinced that it will be able to increase prices from the current level."
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so , should i bet AGAINST shell ?
the petroleum producing cartell seems to think that prices are not going to hold up - therefore they want to see production cuts .
listening to canadian news , there is no consensus what will happen in the oilsands .
companies in the oilsands business think they can't go wrong - in the long run anyway - say 10 - 20 years down the road .
environmentalists see it as "pillaging the earth" .
i'm wondering what will happen when push comes to shove ?
there are some scientists that claim that oilsands exploration can be done "gently" , without causing an environmental disaster .
i'll stay tuned .
hbg