When I said:
FreeDuck wrote:Ticomaya wrote:Wrong, but I might not consider your argument for anything more than what it was. And what it wouldn't be doing is persuading me. That's not my goal here, as I think I've mentioned a couple of times now.
Ok, so why respond to a post that wasn't directed to you?
I was talking about this:
Ticomaya wrote:FreeDuck wrote:I'm still not seeing Iraq as a catalyst. The assassination was a catalyst. Israel's withdrawal from southern Lebanon was a catalyst (removing any legitimate reason for Syrian troops to be there). I'm just not seeing a direct connection with Iraq.
I don't expect you ever will, FD. Many people do, though.
Tico wrote:Lebanese people marching in defiance of Syrian seeking "freedom, independence and sovereignty"; democratic election reforms in Saudi Arabia; kifaya movement in Egypt (real elections).
Here's an editorial you might find interesting:
<editorial snipped>
See, now we're getting somewhere. Was that so hard?
You already know why I don't think what's happening in Lebanon was caused by Iraq (though it's possible there was influence, I'm just not seeing any). I'll reserve judgment on Egypt, and this is the first I've heard about reforms in Saudi Arabia. There's also Israel and Palestine which, if successful, I'd attribute to 1)change of Palestinian leadership and 2) both sides getting tired of the violence (again) and 3) US pressure on both parties.
I will say that by voicing a commitment to democracy in the ME, setting aside whether those words mean anything, Bush sent the right signal. Over the last several decades I think we contributed to the lack of democracy in those areas by supporting dictators and monarchies. So I think that yes, if we ceased doing that then and even actively encouraged democratic reforms, democracy could indeed be on the march. Maybe that's what is happening now. I'll reserve judgment until more data is in.