Walter Hinteler wrote:
Finn d'Abuzz wrote:
We are on the verge of a crisis in Europe centered around the fact that it has, for year, been importing Islamic labor to do the jobs Europeans scorn.
Any source for that?
I can understand the desire to require sources for claims made in this forum, but usually, my claims are made based on what I have learned from a wide array of sources and I rarely am able to cite the particular piece from which I learned something.
As it so happens, since writing my posting, I picked up the Jan/Feb edition of the The Atlantic, and lo and behold there I found an article entitle "A Muslim Europe?" by Russ Douthat.
I have no idea as to whether or not there is an online link to this excellent article, but you can always pick up a copy of the magazine.
Douthat cites 2000 UN projections which contend that the EU states will need 949,000
immigrants a year to maintain their 1995 population, 1,588,000
a year to maintain their 1995 working age population, and 13,480,000
a year to maintain the 1995 ratio of working age to retired residents. In other words - The Euro-Welfare State is in jeopardy.
Of course, all of these immigrants do not have to come from Islamic nations. Perhaps we will all luck out and Eastern European immigrants will overwhelm Old Europe.
According to Douthart though, while the EU population will decrease by 3.5% by 2015, the Muslim population in these countries will double.
The Muslim population in France has doubled since 1982, and more than doubled in Germany, Netherlands, Sweden, Austria and Denmark.
In both Spain and Italy it has increased from 120,000 to 1 million since 1982.
Perhaps 4 or 5 decades does not constitute the "verge," but in relative terms it is a short period of time.
I suspect that between now and then we will see a resurgence of the right wing nationalism in Europe, and if neo-con efforts to spread democracy throughout the Middle East do not reach fruition, there will be hell to pay in 2050.