Here's an idea. Get a friend (several friends, if you can swing it) to go to the restaurant and hang out a bit. As in, they get a coffee and they linger, or even have a full meal. What you want is someone to be there near or at closing time.
They need to do this several days in any given week. Hence it's easier if it's several people.
You might need to sweeten the pot and offer something for their troubles.
Anyway, the concept I've got (and I am not in your line of work) is to get a look at the demand for your products. Is the restaurant sold out of cupcakes by noon? Are they throwing half of the lemon meringue pie out at the end of the day? Is Sunday a great day for croissants? You get the idea.
The reasons for this are: (1) you want to get an idea of demand so you know what to bake on any given day. If Sunday is croissant day and you supply twice as many croissants as on the other 6 days of the week, then you might be able to sell that much product.
(2) You want to really see what they're tossing at the end of day. If you supply, say, 100 items per day (to have a round number), then currently you are making $50 (e. g. 50 cents per item), and you are making that irrespective of how many items of those 100 are sold. If you take this deal and start making 75 cents per item but are only selling 50 items, your take would be $37.50. As it stands now, you're paid whether an item sells or not. Under the newer system, you're stuck if you can't move product.
Hence this is why I am suggesting what is essentially an analysis. You want to know if you're just going to flush all of your bear claw money down the can if no one buys them.
(3) I am suggesting you bring in friends, etc. to observe so that you get an honest assessment.
But you also need to contact the restaurant and ask them if they have any records of sales, broken down by day, if they have data that's that granular. If they don't have data, at least have a conversation with them, but not just with the owner. Talk to the hostess or cashier, whoever is the one to take the desserts out for someone who requests them. Find out from them what moves, and when.
Do this (or something like it) before agreeing to anything.