@Finn dAbuzz,
Finn dAbuzz wrote:Unless we somehow gain intelligence that a nuclear strike by NK is imminent, I don't see the US hitting them first and so everyone is sitting around with their fingers crossed that Kim is not insane enough to put his own fat ass, not to mention his whole nation, in mortal danger by doing something everyone believes is insane. If Seoul, Tokyo or Juno are reduced to lakes of molten slag it will be small consolation that Kim, his flunkies and millions of his oppressed subjects are wiped of the face of the earth. Despite what some folks here would like to see happen, all we can do is hope and pray that the situation and a few major cities don't blow up.
Strike Juno and insert Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Seattle.
North Korea is not going to start the war until they have demonstrated an ability to nuke Los Angeles.
Hope for peace is folly. The war is coming.
It won't be as simple as receiving intelligence that a nuclear strike is imminent. North Korea will launch a large invasion of South Korea, and will tell the world that if anybody acts to stop them, they will launch their nukes at the US.
At that point we'll have to choose between:
a) doing nothing and letting them conquer South Korea,
b) opposing them conventionally and only launching our nukes after they launch theirs, or
c) launching a massive nuclear first strike to try to minimize their ability to harm us.
Finn dAbuzz wrote:In the meantime, every thuggish strongman in the world is even more convinced that it is essential for him to develop or obtain at least two nukes. One to use in a test to prove he has them and the other to enable God knows what acts of aggression. The West couldn't even hold strong and derail Iran's efforts. A great many people in this country and throughout Europe actually believe the absurd notion that Obama's deal with the mullahs is going to keep Iran from becoming a nuclear power and threat.
It hasn't failed yet.
Iran entered into the deal because the entire world used sanctions to force them to do so. They surely realize that, if they end up pursuing nuclear weapons, they will end up with the same level of sanctions that North Korea currently enjoys.
There is a fair chance that they will decide that they prefer not to endure that.