An update by Krugman on the upcoming election.
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January 2, 2004
By PAUL KRUGMAN
In the 2000 election, in a campaign that seemed driven more
by vanity than by any realistic political vision, Ralph
Nader did all he could to undermine Al Gore - even though
Mr. Gore, however unsatisfying to the Naderites, was
clearly a better choice than the current occupant of the
White House.
Now the Democratic Party has its own internal spoilers:
candidates lagging far behind in the race for the
nomination who seem more interested in tearing down Howard
Dean than in defeating George Bush.
The truth - which one hopes voters will remember, whoever
gets the nomination - is that the leading Democratic
contenders share a lot of common ground. Their domestic
policy proposals are similar, and very different from those
of Mr. Bush.
Even on foreign policy, the differences are less stark than
they may appear. Wesley Clark's critiques of the Iraq war
are every bit as stinging as Mr. Dean's. And looking
forward, I don't believe that even the pro-war candidates
would pursue the neocon vision of two, three, many
Iraq-style wars. Mr. Bush, who has made preemptive war the
core of his foreign policy doctrine, might do just that.
Yet some of Mr. Dean's rivals have launched vitriolic
attacks that might as well have been scripted by Karl Rove.
And I don't buy the excuse that it's all about ensuring
that the party chooses an electable candidate.
It's true that if Mr. Dean gets the nomination, the
Republicans will attack him as a wild-eyed liberal who is
weak on national security. But they would do the same to
any Democrat - even Joseph Lieberman. Facts, or the lack
thereof, will prove no obstacle: remember the successful
attacks on the patriotism of Max Cleland, who lost three
limbs in Vietnam, or the Saddam-Daschle ads.
Mr. Dean's character will also come under attack. But this,
too, will happen to any Democrat. If we've learned anything
in this past decade, it's that the right-wing scandal
machine will find a way to smear anyone, and that a lot of
the media will play along. A year ago, when John Kerry was
the presumptive front-runner, he came under assault - I am
not making this up - over the supposed price of his
haircuts. Sure enough, a CNN host solemnly declared him in
"denial mode."
That's not to say that a candidate's qualifications don't
matter: it would be nice if Mr. Dean were a decorated war
hero. But there's nothing in the polling data suggesting
that Mr. Dean is less electable than his Democratic rivals,
with the possible exception of General Clark. Mr. Dean's
rivals may well believe that he will lose the election if
he is nominated. But it's inexcusable when they try to turn
that belief into a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Let me suggest a couple of ground rules. First, while it's
O.K. for a candidate to say he's more electable than his
rival, someone who really cares about ousting Mr. Bush
shouldn't pre-emptively surrender the cause by claiming
that his rival has no chance. Yet Mr. Lieberman and Mr.
Kerry have done just that. To be fair, Mr. Dean's warning
that his ardent supporters might not vote for a
"conventional Washington politician" was a bit close to the
line, but it appeared to be a careless rather than a
vindictive remark.
More important, a Democrat shouldn't say anything that
could be construed as a statement that Mr. Bush is
preferable to his rival. Yet after Mr. Dean declared that
Saddam's capture hadn't made us safer - a statement that
seems more justified with each passing day - Mr. Lieberman
and, to a lesser extent, Mr. Kerry launched attacks that
could, and quite possibly will, be used verbatim in Bush
campaign ads. (Mr. Lieberman's remark about Mr. Dean's
"spider hole" was completely beyond the pale.)
The irony is that by seeking to undermine the election
prospects of a man who may well be their party's nominee,
Mr. Lieberman and Mr. Kerry have reminded us of why their
once-promising campaigns imploded. Most Democrats feel,
with justification, that we're facing a national crisis -
that the right, ruthlessly exploiting 9/11, is making a
grab for total political dominance. The party's rank and
file want a candidate who is running, as the Dean slogan
puts it, to take our country back. This is no time for a
candidate who is running just because he thinks he deserves
to be president.
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/02/opinion/02KRUG.html?ex=1074050398&ei=1&en=de6e7d96bbf8ee97