Very interesting question.
Let's see:
Natalie would vote for: Michael
Adria: Michael
Drew: Michael
Diane: Nakomis
Will: Nakomis
Karen: Nakomis
Marvin: Who knows? I think he might lean towards Michael because Nakomis put him on the block and because Michael might seem to need the money more, on account of being a moron and all.
Against Drew, I think Michael would lose. Drew has played pretty shrewdly without really offending anyone. Michael would get the twins' votes and Nakomis', but I think the rest would pick Drew. I think he'd have to really screw Diane over in a big big way for her to vote for Cowboy, who she can't stand.
But I still think it's going to be Drew and Diane. And when he wins, he will kick her to the curb in about three minutes.