Foxfyre wrote:Nimh, while you normally give a very good argument, this one is baloney. At the time of the invasion, David Kay was saying unequivocably that the WMD were there. So was (almost) everybody else. I really don't want to have to post all those quote from people that have already been posted. It was only AFTER the invasion when the inspectors could get back in there that the missing WMDs were ever an issue.
<sigh>
That (the bold part) is not true, Fox, and we've already shown you example after example here.
The doubts
did arise BEFORE the invasion. Doubts about whether we really knew for sure about the WMD were expressed before we went to war. They were voiced by the German government, the French government, the Canadian government, the Head of the UN weapon inspections team, etc. You have seen a quote here of the German counterpart of Powell, a reference to what the Canadian PM said, all
before the war started, right in this thread. Those doubts were one of the main reasons a majority of SC members did not want to approve the UN resolution the US were pushing for, which would authorise it to go to war.
You cant rewrite this part of history no matter how much you would like to. Not "(almost) everybody else" agreed that we knew Saddam still had WMD. Of the SC states, only the US, UK, Spain and Bulgaria were sufficiently convinced.
Now about Kay. Here you are just plainly misreading my post. I know that
Kay at that time was still convinced the WMD would be there. Thats why the Republicans were so glad when he was assigned to the last full-out effort to find evidence of WMD in post-war Iraq:
he would surely find them - he wanted to enough!
My point about that, if you read my post again, was that the fact that
even he did not find them in the end, proves that the Canadian PM, when
before the invasion started he already doubted the Iraq WMD case, was pretty much right! Apparently, he was probably not so much
ignoring the (purported) evidence, as you said, but
assessing it better than the US government.
I mean, come on. Even Kay now knows that there were probably no WMD anymore. We point out to you that some people (the Canadian PM, the German foreign minister) already said that they werent convinced there were any,
back then. And you retort that the only way they could have said so was by "ignoring all the evidence"? Weren't they proven right? Didn't the Senate commission just conclude that it was the
US government apparatus that totally misread the evidence?
So let me summarise this again for you.
1. A number of foreign governments - BEFORE the war started - publicly expressed their doubt about the US assertion that it had convincing evidence of Iraqi WMD and the threat they posed.
2. We already mentioned two explicit examples - the German government and the Canadian PM.
3. You claimed that the only reason they could have said, BEFORE the war started, that there was no convincing case about Iraqi WMD threat, must have been that they "no doubt ignored all the pre-war evidence"
4. But LATER missions like Kay's did indeed show that Iraq probably
didn't have WMD anymore by the time the war started. Kay is on record saying so. And the Senate commission has just concluded that the purported "evidence" was indeed (as many abroad back then already suspected)
flawed and exaggerated.
5. Considering what
even Kay and the US Senate know NOW, the assertions Germany, Canada etc. already made BACK THEN about the lack of convincing evidence turn out to have been pretty much on-target, no?
6. I.e., you blame us for retroactively demanding some kind of impossible "foresight" from Bush - namely, that he should have realised back then already that the intel was too weak. But that foresight apparently WAS shown back then already by a number of other governments - US allies, in fact. So it wasnt all
that impossible, apparently, was it?