Icann, I can (hee hee) find a few things to discuss in your post below. Sorry I chopped it up so much.
Quote:My Theory is they are far more afraid of each other than they are of us. Turning down an insurgency recruiter risks immediate death at the hands of the recruiter. Failure to comply with any insurgent's demand risks the same. Cooperation with the current provisional government or the US also risks the same. In brief the insurgents are bound together by their mutual fear of their comrads in arms.
That's Bullsh*t. The insurgents are bound together by a mutual hate of Americans and mutual following of religion. Perhaps you have a hard time understanding this because you haven't tried to imagine your favorite relative with a big piece of shrapenel sticking out of his/her head.
The insurgents may harrass and kill those who do not agree with them, but I don't believe the kind of environment you are describing exists within the insurgency whatsoever. Don't attempt to marginalize the enemy by presenting them as unorganized or incompetent, for they are neither.
Not to mention the fact that you don't have an iota of proof to hold up your position, other than the fact you consider the insurgents to be some sort of bloodthirsty animal instead of people....
Quote:Why their unwillingness to let Democracy take hold merely because they don't want democracy? It would be a less risky and more rapid way to get rid of us. Once democracy takes hold, we will leave and they can then vote or corrupt their democracy into anything they want including a theocracy, an aristocracy, a bureaucracy, a secular-ocracy, or even a demon-ocracy.
Do you
really believe that is true? You seem to forget a simple fact: we are
never going to leave Iraq in their minds. The military bases we have built there will be stocked with American troops for quite some time. They find this to be quite unacceptable. And they are willing to die to kick us off their land. I'm surprised that you don't understand this fact; would you act any differently in their place, if you thought your country was invaded and conquered by a truly evil force?
And do you really think that we would allow them to slip into whatever form of government they want 'after' the elections? Seriously, now, we invaded them once already because we found their government acceptable, you think we're just going to say 'oh, well, we tried.' Get realistic, Iraqis have no choice between being in a permanent democracy or in kicking us out.
Quote:No rejection of democracy is not what is driving them. What is driving them is mutual fear of each other combined with an impatient obsession to maintain and/or obtain the power to continually generate fear in others.
Incorrect, for the reasons listed above.
Quote:Killing as many of them as it takes to convince them elections are a less risky and a quicker way for them to get what they want, is a workable tactic. Yes, we've been doing that for about a year now. Yes, we have not convinced them yet. Hell, I expect our current approach to look worse before it begins to look better. We just need to continue killing them for the next several years until it finally occurs to them that they can get all they want in less than a year after democracy takes hold and we leave.
This is the craziest thing I have ever heard. "We just need to continue killing them for several years.' I'm really starting to think that you don't understand the first thing about psychology or guerrila warfare.
Quote:What do you think is motivating them?
The dream of Dar al-Islaam, and/or the dream of an Iraq without Saddam OR the Americans.
That, and Revenge. Many of the insurgents have dead relatives from US bombs and bullets. Amazing what that will do to a man's psyche.
Quote:What tactic or tactics do you recommend we adopt?
We have to turn the people of Iraq against the insurgents and terrorists by showing them that we are more concerned with their welfare than we are with their oil. We need to start paying THEM to rebuild their country, instead of paying AMERICANS to do it, even if it takes longer.
WE, the Americans, will never be able to defeat the insurgency. Only the Iraqi people can do that....
Cycloptichorn