80
   

When will Hillary Clinton give up her candidacy ?

 
 
georgeob1
 
  -1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 10:43 am
@Blickers,
Blickers wrote:

That almost sounds OK, george, but the facts are that life expectancy at birth is a pretty fair indicator both of a health care system and standard of living generally, and we rank 43rd. Granted that many of the "countries" ahead of us are little more than the size of counties or cities, we are still behind a huge portion of the wealthy countries in this statistic, most of which have tens of millions of people. Not to mention we are behind the entire EU taken as a whole, which illustrates that we are slipping, since much of the EU is composed of nations newly freed from the Soviet tether. Yet the EU is ahead of us, and even the Czech Republic, former Soviet vassal state, is not far behind us. Almost all these countries ahead of us, large or small, have a centralized health care system designed to give roughly equal health care to all.

This is a standard canard for those obsessed with government managed health care . It is mostly nonsense and propaganda, and it indicates a treatment of statistical data that is laughably inept and stupid.

If you want to make this case you must first recognize that the signifiucant information is not in the ranking, but in the numerical values of the data and the size of the populations involved, (which you did not include). Furthermore you must consider other factors which may apply, and which are suggested by the data,

About 18 of the 60 countries on your list have fewer than 10 million in their populations and distort the rankings. The first pace country on your list, Monaco, has a life expectancy 5 years greater than the 2nd place one immediately behind it - by far the biggest, one step difference on your list. Stepping down the next 5 years takes you all the way to #43, the United States. Monaco is hardly a model for social welfare - rather an ecample of private wealth. What "lesson" does that have for us?

Sweden's life expectancy is listed as 81.98, that is 2.9% greater than the U.S., but note that neighboring Denmark, also a Scandanavian country with a universal health care system and very restrictive immigration rules like Sweden has a life expectancy of 79.25 years, 3.3% less than Sweden and 0.5% less than the US. What accounts for that???

A telling point can be made by comparing the data for four of the most advanced countries in Europe, Italy, France, Germany and the UK. All have government mandated health care systems and modern standards comparable to those in the U.S. Italy, a country with systems and infrastructure generally regarded as less well run than those of the others leads lin life expectancy with 81.17 years. France in 0.5% behind; Germany 1.9% behind; and the UK, with a much vaunted health care system often held up as a model for us, lags by 2%. That's twice the relative difference between the U.S. and the UK.

All this tells us there are other variables at work here including culture, lifestyle, diet and very likely the levels of immigration involved - factors that don't appear at all in your data or apparently your "analysis".

Your claim about the EU and the data for the frormer Soviet states is misleading. Usuing your data EU life expectancy is 80.2 years. That's 0.7% or three weeks greater than in this country - a difference dwarfed by those within the EU (and about one quarter the difference between neighboring Sweden and Denmark) and simply not statistically significant given all the other variables obviously operating here. The Czech Republic is 1.5% behind us, and Poland, Lithuania, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria, Slvakia, and Slovenia are not on your list and presumably farther behind. Shall I conclude from that that Socialism had adverse efffects on health and life expectancy that linger even a generation after it is abandoned?

There's more to this subject than looking stuff on the internet. It is also necessary to measure, compare and (gasp!) think about what you find.
ehBeth
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 10:45 am
@Blickers,
I hope we can agree to disagree.
0 Replies
 
revelette2
 
  4  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 10:49 am
@Blickers,
Well, I get that, but I think the point could be made on a different thread, but I am not the boss, just curious as to why he picked this one. It makes it hard to carry on a dialogue between posters shifting through the post of various articles or blurbs of articles, interesting though quite a few of them are.

As a totally frivolous side note, my fingernails have grown out for the first time since I started on these blogs so many years ago, makes it more difficult to type. I think it is my thyroid pills. Oh, well, it is just kind of annoying.
Blickers
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 10:56 am
@revelette2,
As an aside, what do you mean your fingernails have "grown out"? I started on Levothyroxin a couple of years ago, so I'm wondering what the effects may be.
georgeob1
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:14 am
@blatham,
blatham wrote:

Quote:
A little central control and socialism does a little harm. More does more harm.

Because it must, inevitably. This is not a matter of an axiomatic conservative formulation, you see. Just a reflection of reality.

And there's a converse here. A little free enterprise does a little good while a lot of free enterprise does a lot of good.

But this two-part formulation is not binary. It's not a belief system. It's just common sense and natural law. Really nothing at all to do with ideology.

You are grossly distorting my words. I was not stating a rule or anything that is necessarily invariable - as we both know there are more variables involved than were being discussed. This description of yours;
"This is not a matter of an axiomatic conservative formulation, you see. Just a reflection of reality."
is an obvious and deliberate reductio ad absurdum - a straw man.

Axiomatic abstract formulations appear to be a far more significant part of your analyses than mine.

You can do better than that.
0 Replies
 
revelette2
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:17 am
@Blickers,
I'm just guessing, in fact I know nothing about the effects on medicine, I just always assumed thyroid had something to do with hair and fingernail growth. Guess I'll have to look it up.

Hypothyroidism

I looked it up, above is what I found.

I take the medicine you indicated too.

(sorry for the side note)
Blickers
 
  3  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:26 am
@georgeob1,
Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
About 18 of the 60 countries on your list have fewer than 10 million in their populations and distort the rankings.

Stop complaining. I pointed out that many of the countries ahead of us on the list were no bigger than counties or cities. Don't bring this up like you found something I was trying to hide. The fact is that still leaves a huge percentage of the advanced world well ahead of us in life expectancy, which is a general measure of health care and standard of living.

Quote george:
Quote:
If you want to make this case you must first recognize that the signifiucant information is not in the ranking, but in the numerical values of the data and the size of the populations involved, (which you did not include). Furthermore you must consider other factors which may apply, and which are suggested by the data,


So, in other words you can post short posts saying that socialism is bad, and the more socialism the worse it gets. That's supposed to be legit, according to you. I post a generally recognized measure of both health care and standard of living for the countries showing that most of the countries ahead of us have this socialized health care, and that is TOTALLY out of bounds. According to you. What a laugh, george.

Yes, george, there are differences in life expectancy between countries with socialized medicine, but the thing is, countries with high GDP per capita rankings who have socialized medicine all rank well ahead of us. Our GDP per capita is ranked between 5th and 12th in the world, and if you eliminate the tiny countries, we rank even higher. Yet, even if we eliminate the tiny countries from the list, we rank nowhere NEAR as high in life expectancy. Instead of demanding explanations why there are differences between countries with socialized medicine, you would be more honest to address the issue of why we have such a high GDP per capita and such a mediocre life expectancy, which is a measure of health care systems and general living conditions.

Blickers
 
  3  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:31 am
@revelette2,
Much thanks for the info. I already was checked for a thyroid tumor a couple of years ago, and it was negative. Otherwise I feel alright on the medicine.
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:36 am
@Blickers,
Blickers wrote:

Yes, george, there are differences in life expectancy between countries with socialized medicine, but the thing is, countries with high GDP per capita rankings who have socialized medicine all rank well ahead of us.

This statement is simply not true and. your own list confirms that fact..

It appears you are merely trying to rationalize the obviously foolish argument you made, and simply retreating to a prefabricated opinion. It's OK with me if you do.
0 Replies
 
glitterbag
 
  3  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 11:59 am
@Blickers,
I've been watching the conversation between you and georgeob, and it reminds me of the old 'Monty Python film - The Life of Brian'.

In the movie a man approaches John Cheese and asks "Are you the Judean People's Front" and an enraged Cheese spits out the words "We are not the Judean Peoples Front, we are the Peoples Front of Judea" words dripping with disdain and outrage.

I love those films, every personality flaw, vanity or quirk is showcased by the
group.
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 01:23 pm
@glitterbag,
Still smarting from my pointing out to you that neither the Chinese or Russian economies are no longer operating on Communist principles?

That misstatement involved a bit more than just word order.
glitterbag
 
  2  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 02:02 pm
@georgeob1,
Yeah, I'm still curled up in a ball under the bed. You're too smart for me Major Winchester III.
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 03:09 pm
@glitterbag,
I doubt that. Who is Major Winchester?
ehBeth
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 03:12 pm
@georgeob1,
https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/564x/35/fa/1f/35fa1f295ea3114e943c4186954dd155.jpg
Lash
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 03:20 pm
Once again, I direct those who need direction to the name and emphasis of this thread.

Blickers may not have put the two together. Confidence that she will is low.

Blatham is just spamming the thread because he doesn't want us to be able to discuss the topic.

Both are equally pathetic.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 03:29 pm
@ehBeth,
Ahh... I recognize that now! Not me at all, though I can understand the motivation.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  0  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 03:41 pm
@Blickers,
Blickers wrote:

So, in other words you can post short posts saying that socialism is bad, and the more socialism the worse it gets. That's supposed to be legit, according to you. I post a generally recognized measure of both health care and standard of living for the countries showing that most of the countries ahead of us have this socialized health care, and that is TOTALLY out of bounds. According to you. What a laugh, george.


Blatham has already scolded me for the casual reference to socialism, but when I wrote it I was in the grip of my comparison of corrupt and social democratic Greece, and highly corrupt and incompetent Bolivarian socialist Venezuela, and clearly got carried away with the imagry. That said, there is indeed a point there.

I did not say that your analysis was "TOTALLY out of bounds". I merely pointed out the deficiencies in this statistic (the life expectancy ranking alone) as a measure of what you claimed, and the obvious contradictions imbedded in the rankings themselves. They rather clearly point to the existence of other factors, unrelated to health care management, that are larger in their effect than the one claimed. This is a frequently used and fairly lame argument, and I have grown weary of reading it.
Lash
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 04:39 pm
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/25/opinion/hillary-clinton-stumbles.html?WT.mc_id=2016-JANUARY-OUTBRAIN_AUD_DEV-0101-0131&WT.mc_ev=click&ad-keywords=AUDDEVREMARK

Clinton is Slipping.... Everything she throws at Bernie hits her.
0 Replies
 
Blickers
 
  1  
Fri 29 Jan, 2016 10:34 pm
@georgeob1,
Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
I merely pointed out the deficiencies in this statistic (the life expectancy ranking alone) as a measure of what you claimed, and the obvious contradictions imbedded in the rankings themselves.

Oh, nonsense. I re-did the chart to include only those nations that had over 10 Million population. This is what it looks like:

Life Expectancy at Birth Rankings, (countries over 10 Million)
1 Japan 84.74
2 Australia 82.15
3 Italy 82.12 .
4 Canada 81.76
5 France 81.75
6 Spain 81.57 .
7 Netherlands 81.23
8 Belgium 80.88
9 Germany 80.57
10 United Kingdom 80.54
11 Greece 80.43
12 European Union 80.20
13 Korea, South 80.04
14 Taiwan 79.98
15 United States 79.68
16.Portugal 79.16
17 Chile 78.61
18 Czech Republic 78.48
19 Cuba 78.39

All of the countries ahead of the US have socialized medicine. All of them. Yet the United States is ahead of all of them in GDP per capita, according to the IMF. Regardless of whether you rejigger this or that, it all points out that far from being a disaster, socialized medicine produces longer lifetimes than any other system, assuming the countries are anywhere near close in GDP per capita.
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Sat 30 Jan, 2016 12:03 am
@Blickers,
We're visiting Hawaii now, and the life expectancy here is the highest in the US, and 5th in the world.
 

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