blatham wrote:You are getting me mixed up with some other handsome devil. I made no comment here regarding oil. I could, but that wasn't me.
Yes I am. My apologies.
blatham wrote:But as regards how a decline in international regard might harm US interests...that seems really quite obvious. Compare, for instance, the support and cooperation (including financial) the US received during the first gulf war to what it has received in Iraq. Future coalition building, with this administration, will be far more difficult and unfruitful because of the way this administration has proceded. It would be impossible to measure what consequences will follow from disregard of international treaties and laws, but to assume none seems foolish in the extreme.
I don't necessarily disagree with you on this point, but the contention I questioned was that a loss of international esteem has hurt our efforts in the War on Terrorism (ex-Iraq).
blatham wrote:This is confused because of the earlier mis-attribution. I would guess that financial interest informs all parties, to some degree. For example, I think it rather certain that the campaign to find 'coalition partners' involved monetary (or effectively monetary) rewards. All western nations depend upon oil, so no one is off the hook there. But one ought to note the predominance of oil interests in this particular administration, that's not irrelevant. However, the US would almost certainly NOT have begun this Iraq project were it not for the neoconservative people on board, so that's a factor unique to America.
Clearly, oil is relevant to the situation in Iraq, but for many more reasons that the possibility that some members of the Bush administration stand to, personally, gain from the advancement of Oil Industry interests. In the absence of oil, the world might be a very different place, but there is no question that the status of the Middle East in terms of world and American affairs would be extremely different (unless of course dates or camel dung proved to be an efficient fuel alternative to oil).
If by "neoconservative" you mean of the opinion that establishing a beachfront of democracy in Iraq to combat radical Islamists is strategically sound, I don't know that I agree with it being a factor unique to America. Tony Blair seems to have heavily bought in on the notion.
blatham wrote:I have not seen polls from Israel, and there are obvious reasons why polls there might show significantly different outcomes than polls elsewhere. But I have seen polls from European countries, from Britain, from Canada, from Australia, and they all reflect very high levels of disapproval for Bush and for Bush policies regarding Iraq (and unilateralism). This data isn't hard to find.
But you will agree, won't you, that even if all of the polls you cite exist (and I don't argue that they do not) this doesn't lead to your conclusion that there are no polls in any other country (save perhaps Israel) that do not reflect opposition to Bush and his policies? Some European countries, Canada and Australia do not the whole world make.
Quote:In any case, there is at least one country that is not part of this alleged wave of disapproval, and that is The United States of America. I know this is likely to seem jingoistic of me, but in matters of the US administration and its policies, I find US polls of more importance that those in other countries - even Israel.
blatham wrote:"Important" in the sense of American elections only.
No, in matters of the US administration and its policies. For reasons of elections or not, the approval or disapproval of Americans for the American administration and its policies has a far greater bearing on the power of the administration and the continuance of its policies than all of the international polls put together.
blatham wrote:Polls never tell us what is 'true', just what people believe. But what people believe can be very important, and the US can't go it alone. So there's the real or pragmatic issue as regards everybody else having come to despise this administration and its policies. But there's also the issue here of arrogance and pridefulness. It is not an axiom that when most everybody else disagrees, you therefore have even more evidence that you are correct. Unless, of course, one is very prideful and arrogant, in which case that axiom might well be functioning.
Nor is it axiomatic that when everyone disagrees with you, you must be wrong.
There are pragmatic issues involved with having the rest of the world despise our President (see my reply to McGentrix), but they need not be critical. Arrogance and pridefulness as an issue is really quite a minor one, or at least it should be. Again, it can sometimes get in the way of smoothly executing policy and it, most definitely, is the real reason for much of the world's disdain for Bush, but if the policies are sound, it really is sort of petty to get caught up in personalities.