timberlandko wrote:There is buzz too about a Democrat plan, already funded to the tune of millioms of dollars, to mount a "Recall Arnold" campaign.
That would be unwise (and I think improbable). At the very least they'd have to wait until Arnold's made some serious mistakes.
I mean, I do think the "recall" logic, now that the genie's out of the bottle, will be repeated (kinda like with the TX redistricting) - now that its been used against (a) Democrat(s) they'll be likely to use it back. So welcome to an age of slightlymore anarchic politics.
But against Arnold, right now, they'd stand little chance yet. The recall succeeded against Davis because he was already so impopular as a person, and resentment had been building up for some time. You gotta give Arnold time to fail, first, and only then start thinking about a recall again, otherwise it'll just look like you're a sore loser. And before he's had the chance to do much wrong, itll be 2004 and the Democrats wont want the trouble of a recall campaign to interfere with the Presidential campaign ... so my bet is that he'll be safe till 2005.
(I'd also wager my own miniprediction against Timber's that there wont be significant legal challenges to the vote from the Democrats - the margin is too wide, and the party-top will squash any attempt within the party to launch such challenges exactly b/c it would only yield negative publicity).