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Interesting characters on a2k

 
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 02:11 pm
@Ragman,
What harm do you believe the elder Bush caused?
Setanta
 
  2  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 02:13 pm
You mentioned Calgary. Harper had a coalition of conservative prairie province fringe parties, but no national base. The Progressive Conservatives had a national party structure, but had all but lost their electoral base. Harper blended the two to create the Conservative Party of Canada. Born in Toronto, he dropped out of university in this first year and moved to Edmonton. There, he got a job in the mail room at Imperial Oil. He later worked in their computer center. He gave up on the Liberal Party because of Trudeau's national energy program. He joined the PC (the Tories), but gave up on them because Mulrooney didn't move fast enough (in Harper's opinion) to repeal the NEP. Studying economics at Calgary University, he was recommended to Preston Manning and got in on the ground floor of the Reform Party. That lead to the Canadian Alliance, and then the merger with the PCs to form the Conservative Party of Canada. Harper's roots in the oil industry go deep.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 02:29 pm
@georgeob1,
From Wikipedia "social democracy" first graph...
Quote:
It is often used in this manner to refer to the social models and economic policies prominent in Western and Northern Europe during the later half of the 20th century.


We are talking about constitutional democracies but that fact doesn't exempt them from being described as I've done. What citizens may vote for or what the reigning politcal regimes might wish to do is constrained. The proper breadth of those constraints is indeed the area of divergence, necessarily.

Quote:
Progressives tend to prefer government-managed "solutions" to social issues and to count the lack of them as no solution at all.

That's such an odd claim, george. It's completely generalized for starters, so let's take a look at some social issues that have plagued us. Workplace safety, for example. Such regs came into place as a consequence of the profit-taking dynamic, by itself, having little regard for what happened to workers or what age they might be. Pollution another with the same factors in place. Suffrage, gender or racial, required government intervention. The inequality of blacks, instantiated broadly in law and local society, needed and still needs intervention by government. Etc. Where a progressive/liberal like myself seek government action is where existing social and economic dynamics produce outcomes profoundly disastrous for large portions of the community while benefiting some small portion. But that is precisely the sort of rationale and ethos which guides the constitution and bill of rights.

Quote:
Conservatives tend to focus on the, usually unforeseen, side effects of government-managed "solutions" and to prefer others based on either local government action or the voluntary action of people and communities.

George Wallace would surely agree. The local volunteers who kicked the crap out of marching blacks probably would too (lets call this the side effects of the absence of "solution"). I think we all want decision-making as local as possible but as national entities as well as communities and states/provinces, one of those "complexities" you reference arises. There's a tension in this, of course, and universal satisfaction won't be achieved.

Quote:
I believe the world provides ample evidence of the superior economic productivity of capitalism and freer markets, compared to their socialist or extreme social democratic alternatives. How do you account for the economic and social transformation of China over the past 30 years? How about the continuing slower growth and financial difficulties of the EU economies compared to those in North America? You are rather categorical on this point, and appear to insist that there are no examples (exemplars) that contradict your point, but you are obviously wrong.

We're talkiing about mixed economices, yes? Social democracies as defined up top running along with somewhat fettered capitalism and providing social programs via progressive taxation. That is how the free world fundamentally works to the great benefit of citizens. As regards China, I don't know why you might bring up that example as I'm pretty certain you aren't planning to move there any time soon and I don't know of any progressives who see that corrupt authoritarian model as an instance of anything of much value. I won't say much about the EU as my knowledge here is not adequate but I think we both get that the region has been operating on a set of economic ideas which are closer to the Chicago school than to those which other economists like Stiglitz or Krugman etc would recommend.

But can you point to any nation, past or present, functioning without constraints on business, without progressive taxation, without large social programs or without national governmental address to social and economic inequality which is prosperous and free?
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 03:08 pm
@blatham,
With respect to China, I think you may be missing the central point. The transformation from near universal poverty under a highly centralized and tyrannical top-down socialist system occurred primarily as a result of its replacement by an increasingly decentralized and increasingly entrepreneurial one. Vestiges of the corruption of the earlier socialist system remain, now enriched by free market economics, but it does appear the (still authoritarian) government is trying hard to suppress that. Certainly the Chinese people appear to be enthusiastic about the transformation and to be embracing their relative freedom and prosperity under an increasingly entrepreneurial free market system. That China still retains an authoritarian political structure and that corruption, largely involving the party hierarchy remains, doesn't dilute the point of dramatic economic and social effects of the transition from a centrally planned socialist system to one involving (relatively ) free markets and individual entrepreneurial activity. You can't logically dismiss the example as irrelevant.

This sentence needs careful reading.
blatham wrote:
But can you point to any nation, past or present, functioning without constraints on business, without progressive taxation, without large social programs or without national governmental address to social and economic inequality which is prosperous and free?


I think we will agree that there probably no nations anywhere in the world that fully meet the conditions you have included here, so it is safe to assume you are right. However the resulting point lacks meaning because of that.

The real question is what is the optimal degree of application of government action to ensure the welfare of various "groups" as defined by it. My point made earlier is that the European model involving more of these progressive elements appears to be doing a lot less well than those in North America with less of them. We've had this debate before, and I don't suppose we will find agreement now.

You also still ignore the unplanned side effects of even well-intended government intervention. I find this remarkable in view of the many obvious examples out there now.

Frank Apisa
 
  3  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 03:37 pm
It appears China is going to pass us on the economic well-being continuum (probably soon)...and it may well be attributable to the fact that they are approaching the "optimum" from the socialistic side than from the capitalistic side.

Socialism (in China) has indeed made adjustments that derive from capitalism (free enterprise)...to its great advantage. While capitalism (particularly as practiced in the United States) seems more reluctant to make adjustments that derive from the socialistic side...to its great disadvantage.

I think unfettered, un-adjusted capitalism will lose this battle...and lose it big time. I think the makings of 18th Century France are in place and may soon begin to play out...if the start has not already happened.
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 05:25 pm
@georgeob1,
China is functioning better than in the prior period? Sure. Likewise Russia and the countries previously in its domain. But my understanding (and apparently yours as well) of the process of change in both is that the minority who held power previously have instituted changes in a manner that does not threaten their well-being and advantage.

But what is your "central point"? That the prior systems were inefficient and not terribly productive of wealth-generation? Sure. Who'd argue that? What seems implicit here is a smuggled-in inference that capitalism is some species of holy grail of social/economic organization and therefore deserves to be exempt from criticism. "Russia doesn't work! Capitalism wins the argument!" That false dichotomy has a robust presence in modern conservative rhetoric. Which is precisely why I bring in the example of the western nations which are mixed economies.

Quote:
The real question is what is the optimal degree of application of government action to ensure the welfare of various "groups" as defined by it. My point made earlier is that the European model involving more of these progressive elements appears to be doing a lot less well than those in North America with less of them.


In very many ways, the US is not doing better than those nations. Not in health, not in education, not in civil liberties, not in gender equality, not in wealth equality, etc. But again, the implicit argument which seems to be lurking in what you write and think is that the US would be more successful and more enjoying of liberty and prosperity for its citizens IF it were to move even further towards a "libertarian" model. And if you think that, then you really ought to be able to point to exemplar experiments that validate the thesis, and there are none. The positive exemplars are in the other direction exclusively. Mind you, we can continue to watch what happens with Brownback's "experiment" in Kansas, that ought to be fun.

Quote:
You also still ignore the unplanned side effects of even well-intended government intervention. I find this remarkable in view of the many obvious examples out there now.

You don't discuss any. You just make the charge. You also refuse to examine the specifics I've noted above regarding why citizen government has had to evolve controls over the evils that can and have arisen from unrestricted profit-taking.
blatham
 
  4  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 05:34 pm
@Frank Apisa,
Quote:
I think unfettered, un-adjusted capitalism will lose this battle...and lose it big time. I think the makings of 18th Century France are in place and may soon begin to play out...if the start has not already happened.


Shhh! Don't bring that up, Frank. The ghost of Burke will rise up in our very midst. We can't have the rabble presuming they ought to have any voice in how society is organized. Those in power are there because they deserve to be in power. Their very presence in that position is proof of the thesis, not to mention that they are the most noble and brave examples of humanity
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  5  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 06:34 pm
@Frank Apisa,
Frank Apisa wrote:
It appears China is going to pass us on the economic well-being continuum (probably soon)...and it may well be attributable to the fact that they are approaching the "optimum" from the socialistic side than from the capitalistic side.

Nah. It's attributable to the two boring facts that ---
  1. China has four to five times as many people in it as America does. Person for person, then, the Chinese only have to become one-fifth to one-fourth as productive as Americans. That's enough for China to overtake America as an economic power.

  2. To achieve one-fourth of America's per-capita productivity, the Chinese economy does not have to do anything original. It merely has to copy what North America, Europe, and Japan are already doing. The countries so copied, by contrast, need to research and innovate their own way towards productivity growth.
Beyond these two trivial effects, China's success at reaching one-fourth of Western per-capita productivity requires no further explanation. In particular, it proves nothing about the merits or demerits of Socialism.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 06:44 pm
@Thomas,
True; most of China's success depends on their logistics and education.

It's also true China will also have many levels of economic success and failure of their 1.3 billion people.

China's economy still depends on world consumerism.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 06:53 pm
@Thomas,
Was hoping my go-to guy on economics might show up. Hi, thomas. Nice to see you.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  2  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 07:01 pm
@Frank Apisa,
Where is "unfettered capitalism" practiced Frank?
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 07:18 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Quote:
Where is "unfettered capitalism" practiced Frank?

I'm not sure it is anywhere. Perhaps someone more knowledgeable than me could give instances if there are any. But clearly, the push we see from key corners of the US right has been to move further or much further in that direction.

Of course, Frank isn't alone in that phrasing even if it might suggest a false dichotomy (how false is dependent on whether one is attending to, say, Michael Gerson or the Koch/John Birch crowd). Here's the Pope...

Quote:
In an 84-page document, he called for global leaders to fight poverty and inequality, attacked unfettered capitalism as "a new tyranny" and called upon politicians to share their wealth and guarantee all members of the public "dignified work, education and healthcare".
http://ind.pn/1pyvNFP
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 15 Aug, 2014 09:56 pm
@blatham,
blatham wrote:

In very many ways, the US is not doing better than those nations. Not in health, not in education, not in civil liberties, not in gender equality, not in wealth equality, etc. But again, the implicit argument which seems to be lurking in what you write and think is that the US would be more successful and more enjoying of liberty and prosperity for its citizens IF it were to move even further towards a "libertarian" model. And if you think that, then you really ought to be able to point to exemplar experiments that validate the thesis, and there are none. The positive exemplars are in the other direction exclusively. Mind you, we can continue to watch what happens with Brownback's "experiment" in Kansas, that ought to be fun.


How do you measure the differences between Europe and the US in those rather abstract qualities? You are very quick and vague with your assertions, but I doubt that you can back them up with meaningful comparisons adjusted for the large differences in demographics and other conditions such as immigration rates, etc. For example Infant mortality is lower in Europe than the US, but that is a likely result of the fact that on a per capita basis they produce not much more than half of what we produce here. Survival rates for those diagnosed with serious diseases are much higher in the USA than in nearly all European nations. "Health" is a very broad subject and the particular measures you use are very significant. It is very easy to reduce the cost of health care while minimizing the reduction of life expectancy: simply reduce the access of old and sick people to health care - as is done in public health care systems. The large differences in external conditions between the US and Europe, including population growth rates and immigration strongly affect these statistics, and you have not begun to address them. Europe is depopulating at an accelerating rate. How does that reflect in your comparisons? Instead you merely repeat the shopworn rationalizations of the credulous advocated of ever more intrusive government.

You blithely cite "education, gender equality, wealth equality" but fail to cite how these are measured or the relative importance of various statistics involving them, or the tradeoffs between one and another. What is the more meaningful measure of wealth or standard of living - mean income or average deviation? These are complex matters, but ones which are frequently cited in self serving ways by you and others. I doubt seriously that "gender equality", as I infer you measure it, is higher in Italy, Spain, Greece or France than it is here (not that I think it is really all that important - there are many other factors equally relevant to the health of a society than merely the average wages of men and women and there are many objective reasons why they might be different).

djjd62
 
  6  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 05:26 am
@Finn dAbuzz,
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
What harm do you believe the elder Bush caused?


well there was that whole procreation thing he and the missus engaged in
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 06:09 am
@djjd62,
djjd62 wrote:

Finn dAbuzz wrote:
What harm do you believe the elder Bush caused?


well there was that whole procreation thing he and the missus engaged in


Thank you, djjd. I needed that laugh this morning.

And so very correct!
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  4  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 06:53 am
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:
For example Infant mortality is lower in Europe than the US, but that is a likely result of the fact that on a per capita basis they produce not much more than half of what we produce here.

I've read this about a dozen times and I still can't make any sense of it.
Ragman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 07:16 am
@joefromchicago,
I would think (hope) it was an attempt at dry humor.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 08:28 am
@joefromchicago,
Female fertility (births/female) in Europe is generally about 60% of what it is here.
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 08:36 am
Jesus!
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  3  
Reply Sat 16 Aug, 2014 08:51 am
@georgeob1,
Infant mortality rates are calculated as a percentage, they are not raw numbers.

The lower European mortality rates reflect the level of health care, not the lower number of total births.

Quote:
Infant mortality rate: The number of children dying at less than 1 year of age, divided by the number of live births that year.

http://www.medterms.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=3967

of course if you're a National Review reader, you think you've got an argument against this. Regrettably for those NR readers, most of their arguments can be (and have been) debunked - and the US infant mortality rate remains high in comparison to first world countries.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/276952/infant-mortality-deceptive-statistic-scott-w-atlas

http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/mdg/Metadata.aspx?IndicatorId=0&SeriesId=562

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/health21a-eng.htm

http://www.ehib.org/page.jsp?page_key=133

this is likely the most helpful
the CDC tried to find ways to adjust/improve the numbers but it didn't work out as they'd hoped

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db23.htm

Quote:
The primary reason for the United States’ higher infant mortality rate when compared with Europe is the United States’ much higher percentage of preterm births. In 2004, 1 in 8 infants born in the United States were born preterm, compared with 1 in 18 in Ireland and Finland. Preterm infants have much higher rates of death or disability than infants born at 37 weeks of gestation or more (2-4, 6), so the United States’ higher percentage of preterm births has a large effect on infant mortality rates. If the United States had the same gestational age distribution of births as Sweden, the U.S. infant mortality rate (excluding births at less than 22 weeks of gestation) would go from 5.8 to 3.9 infant deaths per 1,000 live births, a 33% decline. These data suggest that preterm birth prevention is crucial to lowering the U.S. infant mortality rate.


One of the questions this CDC reports brings to mind is why there are significantly more preterm births in the US than in first world European countries. Again, health care quality, affordability and availability may be factors. I'm sure the CDC's trying to figure it out.

There is certainly money in the US. Whether it's spent appropriately is something its citizens need to consider.
0 Replies
 
 

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