OCCOM BILL wrote:Craven de Kere wrote:
I think it's emotionally satisfying for many in our domestic audience, and that some think that it was due to our being a "paper tiger" under Clinton.
Is it unreasonable to believe some outside of the US thought this way as well?
Not at all. But I think this is a more common opinion for persons sympathetic to the US. In First World countries I bet this is a common (if not popular) opinion.
I think the people who dislike the US are less inclined to ever perceive the US this way. There's the occasional bravado about how the US is "weak" but this exists regardless of what the US does, kinda like how many groups predict that we will be "destroyed" regardless of the improbability of that.
I think the people who dislike the US are inclined to view the US as a bully, and will have grievances real and/or imagined against the US, and will rarely if ever think we are a "paper tiger".
I am sure there are exceptions, but I sincerely doubt that any show of force will do anything significant to reduce our risks unless
said exhibit directly targets persons who are about to attack us.
I'd look at Isreal for a comparison. When they disrupt the very networks of those about to attack them they are able to temporarily suspend attacks.
Their reciprocal demonstrations of power usually do not do this. When they retaliate against attacks in alleatory ways (e.g. attacking police outposts) it usually results in more attacks, not less.
Isreal is a good case to study for this. I really don't think military might is very useful today as a
show. A smarter way of doing things is to engage in usefull pursuits against real threats.
So when they disrupt a cell, destroy a bomb factory or interdict areas from which an attack is looming they usually stave off attacks.
When they phone in a bombing raid (literally, by calling the PA police and telling them to vacate the building they randomly chose to bomb) it usually is met by attacks.
They have the show of force down to a fine science. Heck look what they do to Arafat. Imprisoning the "enemy's" leader is a hell of a show of force, he had to eat and drink what the Israelis gave him.
These shows never really do much unless there is a strategic objective that is also reached. I've yet to see a mere show of force result in greater securit there.
So yeah, I'm sure that some people think that way, but I think those who are sympathetic to us are far more inclined to do so, and I think the individuals who are a danger to us do not subsribe to your brand of reasoning.
Quote:Can I get a toke off that peace pipe?
Certainly! Hell you can even Bogart this one, there's plenty more.