Polarstar:
I had promised to see what i could dig up for you, and so i had better live up to my engagement. Before proceeding, i'll point out again the issue of statements from authority. I make them myself often. I am prepared to provide a source for my statements. The uncomfortable situation in which you found yourself arose from making a statment from authority, but not having sources to cite for your statement's support. The individual who contradicted you, however, was also making statements from authority. Unless and until she provides her sources, her word is no better than your own. Even then, the matter of the reliability of the source arises. She may well be citing one of the many, many rivisionists who have made a tidy sum writing books about the "Pearl Harbor conspiracy." So, even as you ask for her sources, the simple ability on her part to provide a source does not mean that she has established the authority which she claims. Such authority needs to be vetted. The source which i will use here is
At Dawn We Slept, Gordon W. Prange, with Donald M. Goldstein and Katherine V. Dillon. Mr. Prange served in the Second World War, and after the war, he was MacArthur's Chief of the G2 Historical Section, in Japan. He personally interviewed almost every surviving Japanese officer with knowledge of the Pearl Harbor attack. He interviewed dozens of American civilians and military officers who participated in the decision-making processes before the attack. He spent the period from 1944 to the publication of his book in 1981, 37 years, amassing his material. Mr. Goldstein is an associate professor (or was at the time of publication) in public and international affairs at the University of Pittsburgh. Miss Dillon is a Chief Warrant Officer, United States Air Force (Retired). When first i read this work, and considered the credentials of the authors, i abandoned any other accounts i had read which may have contradicted it. While at university, and during a few years, ten years after leaving university, i had read many of the revisionists. While sceptical of their material, many of the questions they raised, and gaps in data to which they pointed had not been answered in other accounts i had read. Mr. Prange's work has laid all of my doubts to rest. The book is still in print, and a paperbound edition was released in 2001, as a 60th anniversary edition (60th anniversary of the Pearl Harbor attack).
Isoroku Yamamoto was the most highly-respected military man in Japan in 1940. So much so, that his threat to resign as Commander in Chief, Combined Fleet, was used by his Chief of Staff, Captain Kameto Kuroshima, to force the Imperial Navy's Chief, Operations Section, Captain Sadatoshi Tomioka, to drop his opposition to the Pearl Harbor Plan. (Prange cites his interview with Captain Kuroshima, May 12, 1948; he had also interviewed Captain Tomioka in July, 1947.) Yamamoto had studied at Harvard, and had been the Naval attaché in Washington in the mid-1920's. (This is a matter of public record, so i provide no citation.) He was quite well aware of the fact that the United States Navy was larger than the Imperial Navy, and the industrial capacity of the United States far exceeded that of Japan. He was also suspicious of and disgusted by the alliance with Germany and Italy. Appointed Commander in Chief, Combined Fleet in August, 1939, he wrote to a naval academy classmate, Vice Admiral Shigetaro Shimada, in September, 1939, about his mistrust of "the machinatons of Ribbentrop and Hitler." He went on to say: "I shudder as I think of the problem of Japan's relations with Germany and Italy in the face of the tremendous changes now taking place in Europe." (Prange states that this correspondence was provided to him by Rear Admiral Teikichi Hori, both Yamamoto and Shimada being dead at the time he conducted his interviews.) More than this, Yamamoto told Prince Fumimaro Konoye (then the Japanese Premier), in September, 1940: "If I am told to fight regardless of the consequences, I shall run wild for the first six months or a year, but I have utterly no confidence for the second or third year. The Tripartite Pact [Japan-Germany-Italy] has been concluded, and we cannot help it. Now that the situation has come to this pass, I hope you will endeavor to avoid a Japanese-American war." (Prange cites Prince Konoye's memoirs, as well as noting that this same information appears in an interview transcript in
Reports of General MacArthur: Japanese Operations in the Southwest Pacific Area, Vol. II, Part I.) Again writing to his old friend Shimada, in December, 1940, he stated: ". . . the present Government appears to be in complete confusion. Its action in showing surprise at America's economic pressure and fuming and complaining against it reminds me of the aimless action of a schoolboy which has no more consistent motive than the immediate need or whim of the moment. . . . It would be extremely dangerous for the Navy to make any move in the belief that such men as Prince Konoye and Foreign Minister Matsuoka can be relied upon . . . Nomura [Admiral Kichisaburo Nomura was sent to Washington as a special negotiator, largely because of his good relations with the Americans, and his reputation for opposing war with the United States--it was a bluff on the part of the Japanese government, however. He had not yet sailed for the United States, but his mission had been well publicized.] . . . Nomura has no confidence that he will succeed in his mission, and besides, it is expecting too much to adjust our relations with America through diplomacy at this late stage . . . " (Prange again cites correspondence provided to him by Rear Admiral Hori.)
Finally, the most notorious of Yamamoto's letters: In January, 1941, he wrote to a friend of his, Ryoichi Sasakawa, who was a rabid and jingoistic nationalist, as follows:
Isoroku Yamamoto wrote:Should hostilities break out between Japan and the United States, it would not be enough that we take Guam and the Philippines, nor even Hawaii and San Francisco. To make victory certain, we would have to march into Washington and dictate terms of peace in the White Hosue. I wonder if our politicians, among whom armchair arguments about war are being glibly bandied about in the name of state politics, have confidence as to the final outcome and are prepared to make the necessary sacrifices. (Prange states that this correspondence was provided him through the courtesy of Juji Enomoto, legal advisor to the Japanese Navy in the late 1940's; it is also a matter of public record in several Japanese newspapers of that era.)
Unfortunately, this "friend" seized upon this as evidence of Yamamoto's bellicose attitude, and published the letter. That was more than bad form, it was a betrayal of the confidence of a friend. Revisionist "historians," eager to make their point, have been so blind as to use this as evidence of Yamamoto's attitude toward war in the same manner as the Japanese nationalists did when it was published in 1941. Just a reading of that passage throws doubt onto such a contention; taken in concert with the other portions of Yamamoto's correspondence which i have cited, and the undoubted knowledge of the United States which Yamamoto possessed, this passage clearly shows that Yamamoto had no illusions that war with the United States would be "war to the knife," and a war Japan could not win. One of the most telling pieces of evidence for his attitude, however, comes from the memoirs of Prince Konoye cited above. Konoye stood to gain nothing by providing that information, and might well have mitigated the sense of his own guilt by having painted Yamamoto as a war monger. Instead, he honestly described Yamamoto's opposition to war with the United States.
When you will have discussed this with your friend, ask her for the source of her statements. Please write it down. I was in such a ludicrous discussion with a pigheaded young man (the young are often more set in their views and more conservative than their elders), and i posted a thread here on the Pearl Harbor revisionists and the official reports, which can be found
here. Please note that the passage i have written before the bibliography is contemptuous sarcasm, and not to be taken seriously. It would be interesting to see if your friend's source appears in the list of revisionists.