31
   

John Allen Muhammed Executed in VA at 9:22 pm

 
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sun 15 Nov, 2009 07:33 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
Occom Bill wrote:
During the moratorium, the murder stats per capita jumped way up, then returned to pre-moratorium levels after it was lifted. You really don't see that?

I do. I do see that executions and capital crimes generally moved in opposite directions from ca. 1965 to1995, a time period that includes the moratorium. But I also see that a) murder rates started rising even before the moratorium, b) declined in parallel with executions before 1960, c) increased in parallel to executions from ca. 1980 to 1990, and d) decreased in parallel to executions ca. 2000 to 2008. Go ahead, make a scatter plot of execution rates vs. capital crime rates. (That's the conventional, predisposition-free way of checking for correlations.) You will find a cloud of broadly scattered data points with a huge standard deviation from whatever linear regression you may be able to fit through it. And this cloudiness in your data points will tell you that you have a weak correlation.
Eorl
 
  1  
Reply Sun 15 Nov, 2009 08:04 pm
Quote:

Death Penalty Support by Religious Preference (in the USA)

Protestants are somewhat more likely to endorse capital punishment than are Catholics and far more likely than those with no religious preference. More than 7 in 10 Protestants (71%) support the death penalty, while 66% of Catholics support it. Fifty-seven percent of those with no religious preference favor the death penalty for murder.


source: http://www.deathpenaltyinfo.org/gallup-poll-who-supports-death-penalty

Perhaps a lot of people who support the death penalty don't see it as final and permanent. How can anyone even discuss death as a punishment when we can't even agree on what death is?

0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Sun 15 Nov, 2009 09:18 pm
@Thomas,
No one said it wasn't weak. And no one said it was proof of anything. You asked for numbers and I gave them. You go ahead and choose to believe that it's just a bizarre coincidence, and I'll go on believing that despite their being many additional factors, the moratorium probably has something to do with it.

Just going to ignore the part that addressed your peer-countries I see. Nice.
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sun 15 Nov, 2009 10:19 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
Occom Bill wrote:
Just going to ignore the part that addressed your peer-countries I see. Nice.

I suppose you are referring to the following part of your previous post:

Occom Bill wrote:
Further, I originally offered the graph to substantiate my claim that this country's supposed peers were no closer to being our murderous equals during the moratorium, but in fact, were even further away. Surely you'll concede this much?

Although your conclusion may well be true, I don't see how the graph you offered substantiates it. Your graph, after all, shows data from the United States -- only the United States. How could it possibly support any claim about foreign countries?
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 12:27 am

I think it 'd be more fair (to the original victim)
to kill his murderer in the same way that he killed the victim,
if that is reasonably practicable. The idea is to avenge the victim.





David
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 01:06 am
@OCCOM BILL,
Actually, given that it normally takes, I believe an average of ten years from conviction to execution, that graph is quite odd.

If Bill's theory were correct, I'd expect a considerable lag time before the alleged results began to show up.
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 07:41 am
@dlowan,
dlowan wrote:

Actually, given that it normally takes, I believe an average of ten years from conviction to execution, that graph is quite odd.

If Bill's theory were correct, I'd expect a considerable lag time before the alleged results began to show up.
I think the question at issue
is whether execution of the death penalty upon murderers
is effective in reducing the incidence of murder.

It addresses the in terrorem effect of the sentence.
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 08:36 am
@Setanta,
Setanta wrote:

So . . . does this mean that you're never wrong--even when drinking heavily?

I think that's a reasonable presumption.
0 Replies
 
joefromchicago
 
  0  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 08:47 am
@OCCOM BILL,
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Three times you ducked it, Joe; choosing instead to attack me and the phrasing of the question rather than answer in earnest.

You're criticizing me for failing to answer the question you meant to ask? Tell ya' what: next time, ask that question first. It'll make it easier on the both of us.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
This was obvious to all. Your fairytale "better prison" system doesn't seem to be on the horizon, so that's just another copout to avoid answering the question in earnest. There'd be less crime in the Ghetto if parents paid more attention to their kids too, but knowing that doesn't change the real world one iota.

Of course there's no realistic chance for prison reform today in the US, largely because states can get by with killing their problems instead of solving them. But then you advocate fixing the capital punishment system despite admitting that the system is inherently flawed, so I guess we're both just a couple of hopeless dreamers.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
People are imperfect... including Judges, Parole board members, guards, etc. I've already shown you a case where a fellow who had been condemned, was booted off of Death Row per the moratorium, then got released and commited several more senseless murders. Execution would have prevented this. A naive belief that we could just manage murderers "better" will not.

That's simply an argument for killing all inmates.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
I'm now forced to oppose the Death Penalty because it keeps open the possibility of releasing an innocent man. The unfortunate side effect is that it also keeps open the possibility that conviced killers will kill again. Historically, the latter appears to have happened considerably more often than the former.

And yet you're willing to live with that? How can you reconcile that with your statement that "I value the life of the murder's next victim more than that of the murderer"? Why do you not care for innocent lives?
gungasnake
 
  2  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 05:21 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
Quote:
Sounds crazy... but I agree with Gunga on this. Juries can't be counted on for even the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard, any more than D.A.'s can be counted on to seek justice over mere victory or Judges can be counted on to be impartial. They're all human beings and I suspect too frequently just go with their guts, prejudices and all. I think the only way I could resume advocating a death penalty is if it were a second panel of professionals who were charged with the sole responsibility of looking for any doubt. FWIW, I think 7 career military officers, as close to 10 years in as possible, should have to unanimously agree that there can be NO doubt about guilt or the sentence should be commuted to life. Ideally, they should be 10 years in, and face dishonorable discharge if any doubt is ever established. That would satisfy me, anyway.


That would probably work. I didn't say it would be easy to figure out a way to do it but it wouldn't be impossible. You've got the one basic idea straight in that there has to be some sort of personal consequence involved for anybody getting the "guilty beyond any doubt whatsoever" thing wrong.
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 06:55 pm
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:

Occom Bill wrote:
Just going to ignore the part that addressed your peer-countries I see. Nice.

I suppose you are referring to the following part of your previous post:

Occom Bill wrote:
Further, I originally offered the graph to substantiate my claim that this country's supposed peers were no closer to being our murderous equals during the moratorium, but in fact, were even further away. Surely you'll concede this much?

Although your conclusion may well be true, I don't see how the graph you offered substantiates it. Your graph, after all, shows data from the United States -- only the United States. How could it possibly support any claim about foreign countries?
You'll notice I accepted your original contention that the U.S. breeds more murderers per capita than similarly attributed countries, without a demand for evidence. Stipulating the obvious improves the flow of discussion, and is appropriate when something is common knowledge. It so follows that this phenomenon would remain true during periods of higher murder rates in the U.S., no? Returning the courtesy would be better for discussion's sake than JoeFromChicago-style gotcha games. Considering we agreed that the U.S has higher murder rates during a relatively low murder rate period; is it really necessary to prove that the U.S. had higher murder rates than these same supposed peers when internally our murder rates were at their highest?
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 07:10 pm
@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:

OCCOM BILL wrote:
Three times you ducked it, Joe; choosing instead to attack me and the phrasing of the question rather than answer in earnest.

You're criticizing me for failing to answer the question you meant to ask? Tell ya' what: next time, ask that question first. It'll make it easier on the both of us.
Who do you think you're fooling with this foolishness, Joe? I think I'll borrow from OmSig's style to clarify this FACT for you. I asked you:
Previously, OCCOM BILL wrote:

joefromchicago wrote:

OCCOM BILL wrote:
We've been here too many times, Joe. This is where I list examples of murderers sentenced to life who've killed again...

You've posted lists before, but not of murderers sentenced to life without parole who have killed anyone outside the prison walls. And that's the only list that has any kind of relevance where the options being discussed are capital punishment and life without parole.
What is important about the distinction between inside and out? Guards don't matter? Fellow inmates? How do you reconcile it's not okay to kill inmates, but it doesn't matter if convicted killers do?

Then:
After Joe's silly bob & weave, OCCOM BILL wrote:

joefromchicago wrote:

OCCOM BILL wrote:
What is important about the distinction between inside and out? Guards don't matter? Fellow inmates? How do you reconcile it's not okay to kill inmates, but it doesn't matter if convicted killers do?

My, but you do leap to some rather outrageous conclusions, don't you. I never said that it doesn't matter if convicted killers murder fellow inmates or guards.
Sure you did. Irrelevant= Doesn't matter... and you apparently consider the murders of fellow prisoners and guards irrelevant:
joefromchicago wrote:
You've posted lists before, but not of murderers sentenced to life without parole who have killed anyone outside the prison walls. And that's the only list that has any kind of relevance where the options being discussed are capital punishment and life without parole.
Let’s use your word then. Why are the murders of Guards and fellow prisoners irrelevant? If all lives have value; why is the inside/outside distinction relevant?

Then:
After Joe's even sillier bob & weave, OCCOM BILL wrote:

joefromchicago wrote:

It's the list that's irrelevant, you chucklehead. Is English not your native language?
Laughing The list contains people who have been killed by convicted murderers, Joe. Would you prefer a collage? Why are you refusing to explain why murdered guards and inmates have no relevance?

Then:
Again OCCOM BILL wrote:

I see you're still ducking this question, Joe. Why would a list of those murdered outside of prison be relevant, but a list of those murdered inside the prison would not?
Your silly personal attacks don't hide the fact that you're ducking this question at all.

Then:
OCCOM BILL responding to Joe's inanity, wrote:

joefromchicago wrote:

You can't tell the difference between the names of people on a list and the people themselves? I see. Now I'm beginning to gain an insight into your thinking processes. No wonder you support capital punishment.
This is just pathetic. Answer the question, Joe.


Yes Joe. I think it's pretty obvious Joe, you ducked the question.

Moving on...

joefromchicago wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
This was obvious to all. Your fairytale "better prison" system doesn't seem to be on the horizon, so that's just another copout to avoid answering the question in earnest. There'd be less crime in the Ghetto if parents paid more attention to their kids too, but knowing that doesn't change the real world one iota.

Of course there's no realistic chance for prison reform today in the US, largely because states can get by with killing their problems instead of solving them.
Nope. Convicted murderers have killed again before and after the moratorium, in DP States and those without. Perfect it ain't.
joefromchicago wrote:
But then you advocate fixing the capital punishment system despite admitting that the system is inherently flawed, so I guess we're both just a couple of hopeless dreamers.
This is probably true.

joefromchicago wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
People are imperfect... including Judges, Parole board members, guards, etc. I've already shown you a case where a fellow who had been condemned, was booted off of Death Row per the moratorium, then got released and committed several more senseless murders. Execution would have prevented this. A naive belief that we could just manage murderers "better" will not.

That's simply an argument for killing all inmates.
Only in the eyes of a buffoon who is unable or unwilling to offer an honest argument.

joefromchicago wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
I'm now forced to oppose the Death Penalty because it keeps open the possibility of releasing an innocent man. The unfortunate side effect is that it also keeps open the possibility that conviced killers will kill again. Historically, the latter appears to have happened considerably more often than the former.

And yet you're willing to live with that? How can you reconcile that with your statement that "I value the life of the murder's next victim more than that of the murderer"? Why do you not care for innocent lives?
It's not easy, Joe, I'll tell you that. Statistically, a solid argument can be made that even if the State does error occasionally; less innocent Death = More good. But my personal opinion has evolved into believing the State has a much greater responsibility to defend the presumption of innocence.
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 07:12 pm
@dlowan,
dlowan wrote:

Actually, given that it normally takes, I believe an average of ten years from conviction to execution, that graph is quite odd.

If Bill's theory were correct, I'd expect a considerable lag time before the alleged results began to show up.
This is a reasonable point... but I don't think it can be known what percentage (assuming there is some deterrent) of the deterrent is from the executions themselves, as opposed to the knowledge that the ultimate penalty is available. It isn't only mindless barbarians who kill… and it isn’t the mindless barbarians who’d be deterred anyway.

"Stop or I'll shoot" works most of the time in apprehending murderers. Tons of cooperation is given insofar as locating bodies of victims as a result of plea bargains for Life instead of Death sentences. Clearly, murderers are not all without an instinct for self preservation.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Nov, 2009 07:13 pm
@gungasnake,
Agreed!
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 12:11 am
@gungasnake,
gungasnake wrote:

Quote:
Sounds crazy... but I agree with Gunga on this. Juries can't be counted on for even the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard, any more than D.A.'s can be counted on to seek justice over mere victory or Judges can be counted on to be impartial. They're all human beings and I suspect too frequently just go with their guts, prejudices and all. I think the only way I could resume advocating a death penalty is if it were a second panel of professionals who were charged with the sole responsibility of looking for any doubt. FWIW, I think 7 career military officers, as close to 10 years in as possible, should have to unanimously agree that there can be NO doubt about guilt or the sentence should be commuted to life. Ideally, they should be 10 years in, and face dishonorable discharge if any doubt is ever established. That would satisfy me, anyway.


Quote:
That would probably work. I didn't say it would be easy to figure out a way to do it but it wouldn't be impossible. You've got the one basic idea straight in that there has to be some sort of personal consequence involved for anybody getting the "guilty beyond any doubt whatsoever" thing wrong.
Nonsense; that creates a conflict of interest between the murderer and the juror.
Its like the direct opposite of bribery.
It is intimdation.
Every judge or juror woud know that for the rest of his life
he was in danger of retribution; its just not worth it.
Serving on a homicide jury woud not be worth it; forget it,
unless the juror is bloodthirsty.

That plan effectively repeals the death penalty.
joefromchicago
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 09:10 am
@OCCOM BILL,
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Who do you think you're fooling with this foolishness, Joe? I think I'll borrow from OmSig's style to clarify this FACT for you.

If you have to borrow from OmSigDavid, you're already admitting you have no argument.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
Yes Joe. I think it's pretty obvious Joe, you ducked the question.

You first asked why killing prison guards was irrelevant. I answered that question. You didn't like my answer, however, so you accused me of ducking the question -- a pretty common rhetorical dodge used by those who have limited arguments and even more limited skills in supporting them. Then you changed your question to the one you should have asked in the first place, i.e. the one that actually addressed my initial point. I answered that question as well.

And next time you go to the trouble of cutting and pasting your questions, you might want to be intellectually honest and cut and paste the responses as well.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
Moving on...

About time.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
Nope. Convicted murderers have killed again before and after the moratorium, in DP States and those without. Perfect it ain't.

I'm glad you're finally seeing that.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
Only in the eyes of a buffoon who is unable or unwilling to offer an honest argument.

I'm glad we can agree that your "execution prevents recidivism" argument is buffoonish.

OCCOM BILL wrote:
It's not easy, Joe, I'll tell you that. Statistically, a solid argument can be made that even if the State does error occasionally; less innocent Death = More good. But my personal opinion has evolved into believing the State has a much greater responsibility to defend the presumption of innocence.

I'm sure you care just as much for the lives of innocent people killed by convicted murderers as I do. I hope you can see, by my ironic use of the same kind of argument that you've used against me, that your position involves some of the same tough moral choices. I guess it's true that you don't realize how much the shoe pinches until it's on the other foot.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 12:12 pm
@OCCOM BILL,
Occom Bill wrote:
Considering we agreed that the U.S has higher murder rates during a relatively low murder rate period; is it really necessary to prove that the U.S. had higher murder rates than these same supposed peers when internally our murder rates were at their highest?

Maybe not -- but then why did you post a graph with the intention of substantiating it, even though it didn't?

Apart from that, a study of murder rates in Britain, France, or Germany may well show similar changes in the murder rate over time as you see in the US. If these peers also encountered an upswing in the 70s, and a downswing in the 90s, that would tell us that the US moratorium probably wasn't the cause of the US downswing. Unfortunately, this data doesn't seem to be available online.
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 02:45 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
The basic idea would be to eliminate the death penalty other than in cases in which nobody in the world has any doubt as to guilt and there is no shortage of such cases, e.g. Charles Manson, John Muhammed, Paul Bernardo, Dahmer, et. al.
Ceili
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 03:00 pm
@gungasnake,
Paul Bernardo will never be put to death. He's in a Canadian jail.
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Nov, 2009 03:56 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
OmSigDavid wrote:
That plan effectively repeals the death penalty.

So?
 

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