@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:There should be a quorum requirement and runoffs. There's no reason abandoning the electoral college can't come with the protections other countries use for this kind of scenario.
Runoff systems have their own set of problems. Take the French presidential electoral system. Under that system, if no candidate wins a majority of the votes in the first round, then a second round of voting takes place with the top two candidates from the first round facing off against each other (that, btw, is the same system currently in place for the Georgia senate race between Chambliss and Martin, and has been a feature of Louisiana electoral politics for a while). The goal in such a system is to finish in
second place. The first round typically attracts numerous candidates who hope that, with a highly splintered electorate, they can somehow manage to win enough votes to advance to the second round. Such a system favors small fringe parties with highly concentrated followings -- voters who aren't likely to be attracted to bigger but more centrist parties.
That's what happened in 2002, when the first round of the French presidential election ended up with neo-fascist Jean-Marie le Pen finishing second to the corrupt and unpopular incumbent president Jacques Chirac. Voters grudgingly threw their support behind Chirac in the second round, just to avoid the prospect of a le Pen presidency. Think of Pat Buchanan running against George Bush and you have some idea of what sort of choice that was like.
That's not to say that runoff systems give voters undesirable choices -- any system can do that. It's just that runoff systems have, I think, a greater potential for giving voters
unacceptable choices, since those systems have a greater potential for producing results like the one France faced in 2002 (btw, we don't see the same sort of dynamic in American runoff systems, such as in Louisiana, but that's because there's a two-party system in place -- something that might be destroyed if the electoral college is eliminated).
Robert Gentel wrote:Quote:Americans are not very good about voting in even one election: there is some doubt that they will be more enthusiastic about voting in two.
I don't see turnout as an inherently good thing, though I know others do, so I'm not concerned with this.
I don't think a high turnout is, in itself, a good thing either; so long as good candidates are elected, it really doesn't matter how many people vote. Smaller turnouts, however, favor small parties with highly motivated followings rather than centrist "big tent" parties. Again, that might be seen as a positive for some people. I take no sides.
Robert Gentel wrote:Quote:Another good thing about the EC is that it magnifies small popular vote majorities, which lends an added degree of legitimacy to the result.
I think this is a matter of opinion.
Indeed. But then opinion matters.
Robert Gentel wrote:I, for one, don't see Bush as any more legitimate for having won while losing the popular vote and, in fact, see him as having less of a mandate for having done so.
Well, that's the point, isn't it? If the system doesn't have a good chance of producing a "legitimate" winner, then voters lose faith in both the system and the results it produces. And that's not confined to the American electoral college system.
For instance, Mexico has a "first past the post" system for presidential elections: i.e. the candidate with the most votes wins, regardless of how many votes he or she receives. In 2006, the top two candidates won 35.89% and 35.31% of the national vote, a difference of about 240,000 votes out of over 41 million cast. The second-place finisher, Lopez Obrador, claimed that fraud and other electoral shenanigans invalidated the totals and protested the decision to give the election to his opponent, Calderon. In fact, Lopez Obrador
still hasn't recognized the 2006 election as legitimate, which just shows that popular vote systems aren't immune to these types of controversies.
Robert Gentel wrote:For those who put stock in the electoral college system, the mandate it serves is being touted as an advantage. Of course, for those who find it less than ideal, those are the cases that naturally best demonstrate it's own illegitimacy in their eyes.
The 2000 election was, without question, a disaster, but it's worth noting that it would have been a disaster under a popular vote system as well -- it just would have been a nationwide disaster, as the recount in Florida would have been duplicated in every other state as well.
Robert Gentel wrote:This is a good example, and I can see why some might find this desirable. But I don't. I don't think the disproportionate power should be viewed as a mandate. If he won by such a slim margin his mandate should be reflected by it in my opinion.
Mandate? I care nothing for that. I'm talking about
legitimacy.
Robert Gentel wrote:Do you think those details can be adequately addressed without the electoral college?
Every system has its problems. No system, for instance, can adequately address
Arrow's paradox. The electoral college and popular vote systems have problems, they just have
different problems.
For better or worse, the electoral college has shaped the American political system. If you don't have much interest in preserving that system, then you should have no problem in advocating the end of the electoral college. If, on the other hand, you want to keep all the good aspects of the system but get rid of this one part of it, don't be surprised if pulling that one card out of the structure sends the whole thing tumbling down.