4
   

Oil Vs. Alternative Energy

 
 
DontTreadOnMe
 
  1  
Reply Fri 25 Jul, 2008 08:49 pm
gungasnake wrote:
DontTreadOnMe wrote:


i fail to see how phasing out an old technology and replacing it, and the jobs and revenue it generates, with newer technologies and jobs etc. would hurt the economy.....



Happy to explain it for you...


no, let me explain it to you.


Quote:
phase·out : a gradual stopping (as in operations or production) : a closing down by phases


i have not heard a single sane person say that all oil use must end today. or even tomorrow.

so even if it takes the 30 years that you estimate (which i don't think it would), that's thirty years of job growth, and if we are smart, domestic investment.

seriously bro, put aside your dislike of al gore and demokkkrats for a moment at think about it.

it could be a no lose situation for the country.
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  1  
Reply Fri 25 Jul, 2008 09:10 pm
DontTreadOnMe wrote:

i have not heard a single sane person say that all oil use must end today. or even tomorrow...




What we've been getting for the last 35 years is a lot of INsane people demanding that we can't drill for oil, build refineries, build nuclear plants, or even build windmills believe it or not because they kill birds and Gaia would be displeased.

People are dying from this elitist malthusian **** and that appears to be the plan.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 25 Jul, 2008 09:22 pm
DontTreadOnMe wrote:

i have not heard a single sane person say that all oil use must end today. or even tomorrow.

so even if it takes the 30 years that you estimate (which i don't think it would), that's thirty years of job growth, and if we are smart, domestic investment.

seriously bro, put aside your dislike of al gore and demokkkrats for a moment at think about it.

it could be a no lose situation for the country.

We are seeing the natural progression of technology, as the most efficient determines the best path. What we don't need are a bunch of hypocritical elitists that preach a message of oil is evil, and elitists that don't even practice what they preach, to muck up the works, which is what they have been doing for the past few decades.
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 10:10 am
Okie (and/or someone else who favors the drilling at issue), could you please give me a rough approximation of how much the price of gasoline will decrease once we are fully into the drilling?

I would guess that the decrease would be pennies.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 10:11 am
Advocate wrote:
Okie (and/or someone else who favors the drilling at issue), could you please give me a rough approximation of how much the price of gasoline will decrease once we are fully into the drilling?

I would guess that the decrease would be pennies.


Even if it is only pennies, are you objecting to keeping more of your money and paying less?

BTW, gas has dropped 15 cents here since yesterday.
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 10:26 am
mysteryman wrote:
Advocate wrote:
Okie (and/or someone else who favors the drilling at issue), could you please give me a rough approximation of how much the price of gasoline will decrease once we are fully into the drilling?

I would guess that the decrease would be pennies.


Even if it is only pennies, are you objecting to keeping more of your money and paying less?

BTW, gas has dropped 15 cents here since yesterday.


So you think it is OK to dissolve another 20 billion barrels of oil into the atmosphere and endanger our precious coastlines to save pennies. Wow, what a patriot!
0 Replies
 
DontTreadOnMe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 02:19 pm
okie wrote:

We are seeing the natural progression of technology, as the most efficient determines the best path. What we don't need are a bunch of hypocritical elitists that preach a message of oil is evil, and elitists that don't even practice what they preach, to muck up the works, which is what they have been doing for the past few decades.


i sort of agree with you on some of this.

while there is a natural progression of tech, it's at what seems like a truncated pace. it took far less time for the auto to replace the carriage.

some may preach that oil is evil, some preach that oil is no longer efficient compared to nuclear, some preach that oil is god.

could you give a couple of examples how you think hypocritical anti-oil elitists have spent the last few decades mucking things up?
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 02:36 pm
0 Replies
 
rabel22
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 06:35 pm
Laying it on a little thick aren't you CJ. I am from the midwest and all the stations have ethnol laced gas and the pure stuff. Your choice.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sat 26 Jul, 2008 10:12 pm
DontTreadOnMe wrote:
okie wrote:

We are seeing the natural progression of technology, as the most efficient determines the best path. What we don't need are a bunch of hypocritical elitists that preach a message of oil is evil, and elitists that don't even practice what they preach, to muck up the works, which is what they have been doing for the past few decades.


i sort of agree with you on some of this.

while there is a natural progression of tech, it's at what seems like a truncated pace. it took far less time for the auto to replace the carriage.

Well, I think the problem is oil is still a very efficient energy source, compared to others, in terms of powering vehicles. I simply do not see any technology to replace gasoline / diesel for large vehicles, trucks, and cars, etc. to come out better. Very very small cars can be battery powered, but we still don't know the ramifications of converting tens of millions of cars to electrical / battery, in terms of the manufacturing and recycling of that many batteries, plus the power to recharge them. To propose to switch from the current energy mix to something drastically different overnight would be a sure recipe to bankrupt the country, with many unintended consequences environmentally, economically, and in many ways. It is far better to allow th market to phase the process gradually, as this works out the bugs as we go, perfects the technologies, and reduces the unintended consequences to a minimal or more tolerable level. Hydrogen is simply not feasible at this point, on a large scale.

Quote:
some may preach that oil is evil, some preach that oil is no longer efficient compared to nuclear, some preach that oil is god.

Oil isn't god, but the reality is that it has fueled our way of life, no denying that, would you? I like my car better than riding a horse to town, does that mean my car is a god, no, it is a luxury, a nice invention, just like a refrigerator is not god, but it sure was a beautiful invention that helped us enjoy all kinds of foods every single day of our life.
I don't see nuclear as being practical immediately, it will take decades, at least one or two, to ramp up electrical production through nuclear, even if we became aggessive with the program. We could have been further in this area if the environmentalists had not killed the expansion of this industry 25 years ago.

I just don't see the practicality of an attempt to immediately switch from our energy mix overnight. It must be gradual, as the free market shows the most efficient and correct path as it goes.

Quote:
could you give a couple of examples how you think hypocritical anti-oil elitists have spent the last few decades mucking things up?
Actually, anti-capitalists, not just anti-oil. The libs have created an adversarial relationship, a hostile relationship toward industry, which is simply the wrong way to go. I admit to being biased and soured toward these people because I worked in the minerals business, and many of the regs and opposition were nothing more than purposeful roadblocking of industrial activity more than it was to clean things up. Also, all these so called citizen groups must have time on their hands to sue any plan to mine or produce natural resources. I do not believe the general public is altogether tuned into how serious this problem is, and how much it is costing them in the long run. We have companies that produce necessary products, but the public seems not to have a clue where all of the things they use come from, they must think they are produced out of thin air. And the NIMBY's are everywhere. I don't know where all the blame lies, but one big one is an absolutely pathetic educational system that has been more interested in the rain forest and bambi than the realities of what makes this society prosper.

The Dems must think we can continue this economy without producing the energy that makes it run, and I think there is a huge wake up call in the making right now.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 01:52 am
I'm afraid I haven't read through this thread and so the following may be redundant. If so, I apologize.

Recently I did some research on alternative energy sources to determine if any of them met the exacting standards of Eco-Warriors.

None did.

Nuke power? Well we all have seen or heard about The China Syndrome.

Wind farms kill migratory birds (not to mention ruining Walter Cronkite's view).

Tidal power turbines suck a myriad of marine species to their deaths.

Geo-thermic power presents a risk of infusing our water supplies with toxic chemicals.

Solar power is fairly benign until one realizes that to fully harness this source of energy we will need incredibly large arrays of solar panels either across miles of surface space or miles of near orbit space. With that sort of scale does anyone think there won't be protestations from Eco-Warriors?

Hydrogen cell cars offer such great promise, but has anyone considered the environmental impact of shooting as much H2O in to the atmosphere as we now shoot CO2?

Fie on the modern day Luddites. Although their credo is classic conservatism, few if any would be caught dead accepting such an association. Instead they identify with Progressive politics while their notions are all about retarding progress. Reactionary to the max.

The idea of some bucolic utopia is idiotic and dangerous. It is from these yearnings that an affinity for communism arise. The notion that we can all be equal, happy and restrained. We are never going to be a herd of reindeer, a flock of swallows, or a school of herring.

Our progress is outstripping the restraints of our home planet. The answer, however, is not to restrain our progress but to expand our home.

The best thing that could happen for Planet Earth is that every penny spent on reconciling humanity and an earthly eco-system be diverted to space exploration.

Earth cannot contain a vital humanity. We are, in so many ways, breaking free of the constraints of Mother Nature; before too long we will need to break free of the constraints of our planet.

The future of mankind is not all that clouded: If we remain attached to this planet we will decline and fall. As Alfred Bester wrote, our destiny is in the stars.
0 Replies
 
kuvasz
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 05:37 am
FYI

New tech company called KONARKA that produces flexible solar panels whose nobel prize winner in chemistry board member said that they expect that they will soon be able to produce the flexible solar cells that produce energy as low as $0.10/kw.

Note the current average cost levels of residential electricity was $0.0986/kwh in the US in March 2006.

http://michaelbluejay.com/electricity/cost.html

http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/brochure/electricity/electricity.html

http://www.konarka.com/index.php/site/Company_aboutus/

The ability to produce the panels on flexible polymer film allows for new innovative approaches to portable energy supplies. Their technology is printed on the nanoscale and applied to a plastic energy conducting polymer material, it is flexible, lightweight, inexpensive.

http://konarka.com/images/uploads/custom_solution1.gif

http://konarka.com/images/uploads/custom_solution2.gif

http://i.treehugger.com/files/PowerPlastic.jpg

Quote:

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2005/05/konarka_technol.php

http://konarka.com/images/uploads/custom_solution3.gif

http://i.treehugger.com/files/Shelter_camoflage.jpg

ANOTHER ITEM FOR FISHIN'

http://www.power-save1200.com/solar.html

btw; Finn, Bester's The Stars My Destination is #2 on my list of SF after Olaf Stapledon's Star Maker.

go here for 50's free radio SF X MINUS ONE shows to download on MP3 i have downloaded the entire set of 76 programs @

http://xmone.libsyn.com/

But, You might not like Ted Sturgeon's send up on fear mongering Macarthyism in Mr Costello- Hero
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 07:59 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
I'm afraid I haven't read through this thread and so the following may be redundant. If so, I apologize.

Recently I did some research on alternative energy sources to determine if any of them met the exacting standards of Eco-Warriors.

None did.

All confirming what I told DTOM, that alternatives to oil are still in their infancy, in terms of practically replacing oil, thus we must just move ahead by allowing the market to best determine the best and most efficient path. We simply do not have the technological knowhow, or the luxury of saying "no more oil." It will be a gradual process of research, discovery, inventions, trial and error, and a gradational process from one energy source to another, probably a mix of others. Let us hope and pray that there are actually feasible methods that will work sufficiently to avoid widespread economic and human suffering. Also, we may be overestimating how short the fuse is in terms of the time we have for the conversion. It has always been surprising how much oil has been discovered, and how much more there might be.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 08:20 pm
okie wrote:
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
I'm afraid I haven't read through this thread and so the following may be redundant. If so, I apologize.

Recently I did some research on alternative energy sources to determine if any of them met the exacting standards of Eco-Warriors.

None did.

All confirming what I told DTOM, that alternatives to oil are still in their infancy, in terms of practically replacing oil, thus we must just move ahead by allowing the market to best determine the best and most efficient path. We simply do not have the technological knowhow, or the luxury of saying "no more oil." It will be a gradual process of research, discovery, inventions, trial and error, and a gradational process from one energy source to another, probably a mix of others. Let us hope and pray that there are actually feasible methods that will work sufficiently to avoid widespread economic and human suffering. Also, we may be overestimating how short the fuse is in terms of the time we have for the conversion. It has always been surprising how much oil has been discovered, and how much more there might be.


It's a straw-man argument on Finn's part. Very few environmentalists believe the things he says about the various forms of renewable energy; when presented with a choice, for example, I think the wind power is preferable to coal or other fossil fuel plants every time for 99% of them.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 09:08 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:


Our progress is outstripping the restraints of our home planet. The answer, however, is not to restrain our progress but to expand our home....



There may or may not be any shot at making anything else in our own system habitable. Mars was once inhabited and might possibly be made habitable again but it would be a lot of work.

The kicker is that the nearest other star is just over four light years away and most people have no real conception of what that means or how far away that is. We're probably at least a hundred years away from thinking about getting to Alpha Centauri, much less anything else out there.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 11:30 pm
Harnessing alternative energies to fuel modern societies right here on earth seems alot more feasible than suggesting we have outgrown earth and will have to move onto some other planetary body in order to survive.
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Sun 27 Jul, 2008 11:34 pm
There is no evidence that Mars was ever inhabited. I. e., unless you believe in Flash Gordon.
0 Replies
 
fishin
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Jul, 2008 06:58 am
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
Recently I did some research on alternative energy sources to determine if any of them met the exacting standards of Eco-Warriors.

None did.

Nuke power? Well we all have seen or heard about The China Syndrome.

Wind farms kill migratory birds (not to mention ruining Walter Cronkite's view).

Tidal power turbines suck a myriad of marine species to their deaths.

Geo-thermic power presents a risk of infusing our water supplies with toxic chemicals.

Solar power is fairly benign until one realizes that to fully harness this source of energy we will need incredibly large arrays of solar panels either across miles of surface space or miles of near orbit space. With that sort of scale does anyone think there won't be protestations from Eco-Warriors?

Hydrogen cell cars offer such great promise, but has anyone considered the environmental impact of shooting as much H2O in to the atmosphere as we now shoot CO2?


I suspect that you did no such thing. To begin with there is no concensus amongst the "eco-warriors" as to any "exacting standards" for you to have "researched".

Secondly, every item you list as a fault for these alternatives applies almost entirely to large scale implementations only. A household doesn't need a windfarm - it needs one wind turbine.

Third, how many birds and how much marine life has been killed by current energy production methods? How many billions of tons of toxins does your average open pit coal mine release? How many millions of tons of toxins in the form of oil and coal products are released into the environment every day?

There are risks to everything - there is no free lunch. The risks you've listed however, are much less likely to occur with these other forms of energy and much less likely to be catostrophic then out CURRENT dependence on oil, natural gas and coal.

A typical 2,200 sq ft home can be built with solar panels on the roof, a small windturbine in the back yard and with a geo-thermal heat/cooling pump for heat and A/C to take care of all of the home's energy needs and still provide excess generated power back into the grid with considerably less risks to the environment than having heating oil delivered via truck every month as many do now.

No one proposes that such a move to that sort of situation would liberate us entirely from coal or oil. It would however, cut into out dependence on coal/oil siginificantly and leave it for circumstances where it is necessary.
0 Replies
 
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Jul, 2008 07:09 am
My company does consulting for geothermal systems for schools and shopping centers etc. The technology is quite mature and the environmental risks are waay down the list as they dont use anything more toxic than an edible form of antifreeze in the closed system loops. The energy savings for such large installations are not even a matter of debate. Most all environmental groups stipulate to the effectiveness and long term economies realized by large geothermal installations.

One of the largest residential PV and other solar apps are in Lancaster County Pa.That industry was an outgrowth of providingthe AMsih with solar powered light systems for their buggies and lights for their milkhouses and such.
0 Replies
 
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Mon 28 Jul, 2008 07:16 am
The view about the uneconomic results from tapping our oil shales or the Canadian tar sands have been erroneous and full of half truths that have been piled on by a whole bunch of web sites that repeat the same old crap that its economically and technically infeasible to develop these resources. Thats bullshit, as the Canadians are rapidly developing their tar sands to produce a nice energy dense diesel fuel.
It used to be considered an impediment to the gasoline economy that the tar sands and the oil shales were not really petroleum , but were keragen type hemistries. This is like a 400 square mile plot of "biodiesel" avail;able for in ground retorting and refining. Its already relatively sulfur free so , unless there is some real technical impediment, then we should be making diesel NOW.
0 Replies
 
 

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