@georgeob1,
Who was it that said something like: "I never do predictions, especially about the future”?
But seriously, what will be interesting to see in November of 2010 is the stripe of both Republican and Democrat winning candidates. I've seen the argument that Corzine (NJ) and Deeds (VA) were weak candidates and that is why the conservatives won those elections. However, if the losers were the weaker candidates that would make the winners the stronger (obvious, I know). But this begs the obvious question: Why were they stronger? In VA the conservative slate swept the state (
http://www.politicsdaily.com/2009/11/04/mcdonnell-republicans-sweep-virginia/ ). Could it be possible that those same VA voters who helped sweep Obama into the presidency see something they don't like represented in the party and its candidates that the President leads?
If so, and given some of the grassroots movements tending towards traditional conservative thought, perhaps state voters in 2010 may choose congressional candidates that lean rightward. Conservative movements such as Red State have had success in FL with Marco Rubio against those who have support of the Republican establishment like FL Gov. Crist who is a Moderate Republican, at best. So successful have the grassroots conservatives been that we see Erick Erickson of Red State predicting Crist will probably drop out of the Senate race and settle for a shot at a second gubernatorial term.
Simply put, the increase/decrease in the Republican/Democratic congressional balance is only one side of the coin. The other is whether the Republican party establishment will see value in promoting true conservatives for election with those winning candidates more dedicated to true conservative principles and, depending on this result, whether those new and incumbent Dems in congress see the wisdom (or political survival advantage) of voting with those with true conservative views. As I said before if the voters decide to move right so will congress and thereby actually increase President Obama's chance of having a more successful presidency, at least in the eyes of the majority of Americans.
Oh! Happy New Year to All!!
JM