@JamesMorrison,
Quote:You essentially admit that this, along with Griffin’s is validated only by some kind of right of self presevation. If so, given the context, this conclusion implies a right to hold congressional office
A 'right to office?' I certainly don't believe that exists. I think Griffin was acting in the interests of self-preservation, and nothing else. It is up to his constituents to decide whether or not to reward this move with re-election; but consider the alternative. Primarying Griffin with a more Conservative candidate is a viable option but runs the danger of splitting the local party and vote machine; this runs a high possibility of allowing the opposing Dem to win, such as we have seen in NY-23 and several other districts.
Quote: Indeed on the other side of the aisle should liberals trust Spector?
As far as we can throw him. He has been a reliable vote since the switch, however, in large part because the party bosses have promised to protect him from the upstart primary challenger Sestak. I can understand why they did (60th vote is too tempting to pass up) but we'll see how it will work out in the end. I think that Pat Toomey has a large chance of getting elected, not based on anything having to do with him at all.
Quote:aSo we MACs must present our case intelligently and clearly and in a focused manner that choses a select few issues.
2010 is a few days away and campaigns will begin in earnest very quickly; who is going to present this clear and focused argument for your side? Surely you understand that your side completely and totally lacks a unified leadership, which is key to having a unified message. Newt's 1994 revolution would never have happened without a forceful leader, someone who could present a valid ideological difference to the majority Democrats.
Thanks to some poor planning on the part of the Republican party last year, your leadership options are really limited and have been polluted by the toxic Palin, a lady who excites a tiny majority and incites disgust in the rest of the electorate. I know that in a few years Marc Rubio will be a strong voice and force for your party but I don't believe he is there yet.
You guys better get in gear. Polling still shows that the country favors the Dems over the Republicans (though not by much). You know that the signing of the health-care bill will give Obama and the Dems a boost, and that is extremely likely to happen at this point. Obama will also campaign for many Dems which will help.
Quote:A good example is the governor’s race in Virginia where the victor defined and hammered on two issues the electorate was concerned about: expanding government intrusion into their lives and its ever increasing deficit spending. Interestingly, the loser in that race, unlike Corzine in Jersey (property taxes), tried to distance himself from the Obama Admin. They still both lost.
In this case, you definitely had two loser Dem candidates running. Corzine had failed to deliver on many campaign promises and Deeds ran a terrible campaign, one in which he ran away from many of the very things that Virginians voted for.
Quote:I believe that rigid adherence to those conservative economic principles that concern the electorate is the key to success in the upcoming midterms.
And I believe that you are absolutely incorrect, for the vast majority of Americans are either actively hostile towards that economic belief or skeptical of it. This is compounded by the fact that voters know that they have been lied to by this same group before; the same Republican Senators and Congressmen who crow daily about the deficit voted for hundreds of billions of dollars of unfunded spending under Bush, and consistently took action AGAINST regulating the insurance and investment markets over the last several years. There simply isn't a lot of trust out there that putting the same group back in charge will lead to a substantially different result than last time. And why would there be?
Every Republican I know hates the current Republican leadership for various reasons, and most of them - like yourself- pretend that they aren't even members of the party any longer, though much like yourself I suspect they will continue to vote for the Republican on a reliable basis.
I predict a Republican gain of 15-20 seats in the House, simply because the Dems have expanded as far as reasonably possible, have a lot of ground to defend, and also due to historical patterns and traditions. In the Senate, I predict a Republican gain of 2-4 seats for the same reasons; both houses will remain solidly under Democratic control.
Obama will have to abandon the ACES bill passed in the House, because the Senate will not pass it this year. He may be able to move a smaller and more focused climate change bill in the Senate. I think there is a good chance that they can pass an aggressive financial sector regulation bill in the face of populist anger at that group. I wouldn't bet on anything else until after the election next year.
Cycloptichorn