@ican711nm,
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:What about that situation says to you that the Republicans will have any success in these elections?
Whether or not a majority of the Republicans have any success in the 2010 elections is irrelevant. What is relevant is whether or not a majority of the Democrats will have any success in the 2010 elections. THEY WILL NOT!
You're wrong about that. The vast majority of Democrats are in very safe seats and are in no danger from your rag-tag groups at all.
There probably will be some Dem losses this cycle - we've expanded into more than 60 new seats over the last few years and some of them are untenable to hold in the long run. However, incumbents have a BIG advantage, and passing the Health Care bill will be a major motivator for our base to come out and support the team.
Quote:Independents, conservatives, constitutionalists, and TEA Party members will have a tremendous success. Only those Republicans who behave like Conservatives and/or TEA Party members will have success, too!
You couldn't be more wrong, as usual. There is no infrastructure in place to support the candidates of those groups you mentioned, and there is no broad base of support amongst the populace. You don't seem to realize that people who think the way you do make up a very small part of the electorate, and without a party machine to back them, they have a very difficult time getting any candidates elected.
In short, you have no real data with which to make these predictions on, it's just your emotions talking. I wouldn't bet on any meaningful gains in the House or Senate if I were you; in fact, the Senate is going to be a struggle on your part not to lose MORE seats this cycle.
Cycloptichorn