55
   

AMERICAN CONSERVATISM IN 2008 AND BEYOND

 
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 12:56 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Well history is on my side/point of view. Not yours.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:03 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

Well history is on my side/point of view. Not yours.


Uh - no. It most certainly is not. I think history pretty conclusively shows that allowing your financial and major manufacturing centers to fail at the same time, while laying off hundreds of thousands more from the government, is generally considered a Bad Move.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:21 pm
Rebut it with a credible source if you can:

Quote:
Despite the bipartisan stimulus effort being hailed by many in Washington, in the financial markets, and in various industries, Hoover research fellow Russell Roberts is skeptical of a package that injects $145 billion into a $14-trillion economy, stating that “stimulus schemes based on giving people money have a poor track record of energizing the economy. Usually, the only thing that gets stimulated is a politician's approval rating.”
http://www.hoover.org/research/focusonissues/focus/14776626.html


Quote:
Fiscal Policy: Fidelity Investments' CEO calls President Obama's economic plan "New Deal II" and says it won't work any better than it did for FDR. We fear he may be right on both counts.

"During the '30s, Congress " with guidance from the president and the same kind of good intentions " shifted the country's cash flow away from productive business to government make-work projects, which most likely prolonged the Great Depression," Fidelity's Ned Johnson said.

In fact, many economists agree that the New Deal was a formula for institutionalizing unemployment, not reducing it.

Seventy-five years later, with unemployment heading to 10%, government has prescribed a similar formula.
http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/03/obama_gives_us_the_same_old_ne.html
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:25 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

Rebut it with a credible source if you can:

Quote:
Despite the bipartisan stimulus effort being hailed by many in Washington, in the financial markets, and in various industries, Hoover research fellow Russell Roberts is skeptical of a package that injects $145 billion into a $14-trillion economy, stating that “stimulus schemes based on giving people money have a poor track record of energizing the economy. Usually, the only thing that gets stimulated is a politician's approval rating.”
http://www.hoover.org/research/focusonissues/focus/14776626.html


Quote:
Fiscal Policy: Fidelity Investments' CEO calls President Obama's economic plan "New Deal II" and says it won't work any better than it did for FDR. We fear he may be right on both counts.

"During the '30s, Congress " with guidance from the president and the same kind of good intentions " shifted the country's cash flow away from productive business to government make-work projects, which most likely prolonged the Great Depression," Fidelity's Ned Johnson said.

In fact, many economists agree that the New Deal was a formula for institutionalizing unemployment, not reducing it.

Seventy-five years later, with unemployment heading to 10%, government has prescribed a similar formula.
http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/03/obama_gives_us_the_same_old_ne.html



Neither of what you posted are 'credible sources.' They are opinions of right-wingers. So, no. I won't.

Fox, without Appealing to Authority (which you constantly do) are you telling us that letting the financial industry collapse, letting the automakers collapse, and laying off hundreds of thousands from gov't jobs would improve the economic situation over what we see today? Yes or no.

Cycloptichorn
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:26 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I'll take that as a common response from you that says 'I'm pretty sure I won't be able to so I'm not going to try.' (I do wonder how amused Edward C. Johnson would be knowing that he was just described as a 'right wing source' Smile)
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:27 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

I'll take that as a common response from you that says 'I'm pretty sure I won't be able to so I'm not going to try.'


There's no point. No matter what evidence I post, you'll just claim that it is either biased or doesn't disprove the opinions of said right-wingers. It's a dodge away from the actual topic, which you are afraid to discuss head-on.

Answer the question. It's a simple question. Or should I take this as your admission that you were talking out your ass earlier, and that you don't really believe what you wrote would actually have made our situation better?

Cycloptichorn
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:29 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I provided links on what I consider to be expert opinion for my post. Where are your links for your so far unsupported opinion? Or do y0u just intend to be personally insulting and claim that you know something that you can't support? We can get into specific illustrations and anecdotal stuff later, but I choose not to be diverted from the central principle right now.
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:31 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

There's no point. No matter what evidence I post, you'll just claim that it is either biased or doesn't disprove the opinions of said right-wingers. It's a dodge away from the actual topic, which you are afraid to discuss head-on.

Cycloptichorn


You mean like you just did?
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:32 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

I provided links on what I consider to be expert opinion for my post. Where are your links for your so far unsupported opinion? Or do y0u just intend to be personally insulting and claim that you know something that you can't support?


You are Appealing to Authority instead of answering the question. That's a logical fallacy. Surely you realize this.

I did not claim that my opinion relies upon that of experts, but instead on base logic. What you have proposed is highly illogical and doesn't follow, and what's worse is that you know it. You like to talk a big game, but when questioned, you can't follow it up with affirmative statements. Just look how you've been hedging here.

It is exceedingly easy to say yes or no to the question I asked, why can't you just do so?

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:33 pm
@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

There's no point. No matter what evidence I post, you'll just claim that it is either biased or doesn't disprove the opinions of said right-wingers. It's a dodge away from the actual topic, which you are afraid to discuss head-on.

Cycloptichorn


You mean like you just did?


Like I did in what way? The discussion isn't about the opinion of right-wing think tanks, it's about what Fox believes to be true.

Surely you, McG, won't suggest that we should have followed Fox's plan, of cutting government spending, no bailouts, and cutting taxes on the rich and big business? And surely you wouldn't suggest the economy would be better off today if we had done this. Actually, I'd love to see if you have the stones to make as big a fool out of yourself as Fox has been here; why don't you give it a try?

Cycloptichorn
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:36 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
You have a huge misunderstanding of what appealing to authority is versus informal logic that utilizes authority to support ones own opinions. It is a logical fallacy only if I claim that the statement is true because the authority says it is true. I didn't say or infer that. I offered you opportunity to rebut their and my opinion. It very definitely would be a logical fallacy to say that the statements are untrue because they are right wing sources.

My logic is based on an extensive reading and understanding of history. I posted opinion of those with better credentials than I have to support my opinion. Who do you have to support yours? Or what credentials do you claim in lieu of that?
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:42 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

You have a huge misunderstanding of what appealing to authority is versus informal logic that utilizes authority to support ones own opinions. It is a logical fallacy only if I claim that the statement is true because the authority says it is true. I didn't say or infer that. I offered you opportunity to rebut their and my opinion.

My logic is based on an extensive reading and understanding of history. I posted opinion of those with better credentials than I have to support my opinion. Who do you have to support yours? Or what credentials do you claim in lieu of that?


I'm merely asking you to re-state your opinion formally, Fox. Do you have a problem with doing this? If so, what does that say about your opinion?

I'm not interested in the 'credentials' of those you linked to, or their opinion on the matter. Just yours. I'd love to hear you detail exactly how things would be better under your plan. Are you willing to do so? It is a trivial matter.

I don't need to appeal to the expertise of others in order to explain my opinions; it's strange that you feel the need to do so. In what ways would the economy improve under your plan? How would things have gotten better after the financial and auto industries failed? You should be able to answer these basic questions without deferring to so-called 'experts,' who in reality are nothing but right-wingers putting out another opinion.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  -1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:47 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

McGentrix wrote:

Cycloptichorn wrote:

There's no point. No matter what evidence I post, you'll just claim that it is either biased or doesn't disprove the opinions of said right-wingers. It's a dodge away from the actual topic, which you are afraid to discuss head-on.

Cycloptichorn


You mean like you just did?


Like I did in what way? The discussion isn't about the opinion of right-wing think tanks, it's about what Fox believes to be true.

Cycloptichorn


like this way:

Cycloptichorn wrote:


Neither of what you posted are 'credible sources.' They are opinions of right-wingers. So, no. I won't.

Fox, without Appealing to Authority (which you constantly do) are you telling us that letting the financial industry collapse, letting the automakers collapse, and laying off hundreds of thousands from gov't jobs would improve the economic situation over what we see today? Yes or no.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  3  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:49 pm
@McGentrix,
You are incorrect. Instead of appealing to authority myself, I instead turned the conversation back to the initial question I asked Fox, which she has still refused to answer.

Cycloptichorn
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 01:54 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
You are incorrect.


So what's new?
0 Replies
 
DontTreadOnMe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 02:39 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Neither you nor any other Conservative has detailed how cutting taxes for the Rich and businesses will actually lead to new jobs...


we just did that for 8 years straight. and here we are.
Lightwizard
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 02:57 pm
@DontTreadOnMe,
That's because they did a bunch of risky speculation with the extra money, figuring Bush was on his way out and would probably drag the Republican party and soft regulation with it. They didn't use it to trickle-down to anybody below them, they used it for the oxymoron trickle-up. The same thing eventually happened to the theory with voodoo Reagan economics, and that also dumped it onto the next guy, turning out to be a VP he didn't especially care for to begin with. It's a theory that's entirely speculative and fits into the time for risky business.
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 03:21 pm
@Lightwizard,
Quote:
they used it for the oxymoron trickle-up.


http://www.joe-ks.com/archives_jan2005/ViagraFalls.jpg
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 03:22 pm
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

Rebut it with a credible source if you can:

Quote:
Despite the bipartisan stimulus effort being hailed by many in Washington, in the financial markets, and in various industries, Hoover research fellow Russell Roberts is skeptical of a package that injects $145 billion into a $14-trillion economy, stating that “stimulus schemes based on giving people money have a poor track record of energizing the economy. Usually, the only thing that gets stimulated is a politician's approval rating.”
http://www.hoover.org/research/focusonissues/focus/14776626.html
Lets start with this piece, published in Jan of 2008. The credibility of the authors is put to the test when they state this.
Quote:
the jury is still out over whether or not the United States is in, or will enter, a recession soon.
The US did enter recession starting in the January this article was written. Yet one very real thing happened because of the stimulus checks. GDP growth continued unlike in most recessions. The interesting thing is how after the rebate checks stopped consumer spending dropped from .263 million. I would say that is very real evidence that the stimulus increased consumer spending above what it would have been for the 2 quarters they were sent out. Did it stop the recession? No. Did it move the drop in consumer spending out a couple of quarters? I would say "yes." That would be rather clear evidence that the stimulus checks worked to energize the economy above what it would have been without them.
http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm

Quote:
Fiscal Policy: Fidelity Investments' CEO calls President Obama's economic plan "New Deal II" and says it won't work any better than it did for FDR. We fear he may be right on both counts.
The CEO of fidelity is what? An economist? Or a historian? Without credentials as either, why is his opinion worth anything?
I see no reason to rebut what someone with no credentials other than he is a CEO said. Why do you think his opinion has validity?
If you want to do dueling CEO's, here is a rebuttal
Quote:
CINCINNATI (AP) - The chief executive of General Electric Co. thinks President Barack Obama's economic stimulus efforts will pay off eventually in fighting the recession.

CEO Jeffrey Immelt also says he sees some signs that things are stabilizing in a difficult economy. He told The Cincinnati Enquirer in an interview published Wednesday that his sense is that over time, Obama's programs "will work."
By the way GE has a much larger market cap than Fidelity so I would say Immelt's word carries more economic weight than a CEO of Fidelity's investments.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 19 May, 2009 03:24 pm
@parados,
This is all great counter-evidence, but all it really does is let Fox off the hook for backing up an idiotic statement she made - one which I note neither she nor McG are willing to restate. She will now shift to an attack on your sources and claim that there is 'conflicting opinion' on the matter and therefore all opinions are in fact valid.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
 

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