@Brand WTF,
Brand WTF wrote:
Firstly I don't think this dude is any less partisan than you or Krugman, or that you, or me for that matter, use 'facts' in any less like manner.
Also you and 'dude' are at least partially wrong about F/F and CRA and their contribution to the crisis. Considering the timeline of all the components... they can't be unrelated IMO.
I agree with you that 'dude' has his summation out of phase.
Subprime loans began to accel in the 90's, and in that period F/F was buying loans...and CRA was in place (since 1977). CRA required banks make loans to 'low and moderate income neighborhoods'. If they didn't the gov't would give them a 'rating' such that the bank would be prohibited and/or limited from performing other functions such as mergers and acquisitions.
That mandated practice alone placed their banking efforts in subprime territories.
Full stop. What do you base this on? What data? I ask, because this is untrue. Subprime mortgages were not typically given to recipients of loans under the CRA program and loans under that program were MUCH less likely to go into default under the last decade. This is in large part because the government performed
greater scrutiny of loans which qualified for this, thanks to... the CRA.
The vast majority of loans under the CRA were FAR below 'subprime.' Banks only made them because they had to, which we all understand; they had to be forced to start doing it in the first place and as late as the 90's there were still banks being prosecuted for Red lining. Loans given out under the CRA guidelines were far less likely to go into default then the more expensive Subprime and Alt-A loans.
Here:
http://www.businessweek.com/investing/insights/blog/archives/2008/09/community_reinvestment_act_had_nothing_to_do_with_subprime_crisis.html
Quote: Credit Default Swaps came into being in 1997 followed by deregulation in 1999...that's when greed and kicking the can down the road(like the gov't is doing now) began to inflate the 'bubble'.
This is a little fuzzy but mostly true. What was inflating the 'bubble' was
tremendous profits for Wall Street based not on Credit Default Swaps themselves, but instead on the CDO (Collateralized Debt Obligation) market, in this case with the collateral being mortgages. It opened up our investment markets to tremendous amounts of risk, risk that was THEN mitigated - supposedly - by the CDSwaps, sold in large amounts by AIG. Nobody knew AIG was completely and totally insolvent - or so they say.
It was a variety of factors that lead to our market crash, but they can all be traced back to a combination of greed on the part of Wall Street - and large parts of California, as well, the subprime was practically invented here - and a complete failure on the part of Government to identify problems in our investment markets and regulate them properly. This is due in large part to the hands-off attitude that found its' way into our government in the 90's; the 'let them self-regulate' argument. It was equally the fault of Republicans and Conservative, big-business Democrats like Clinton. Total idiots, all of them.
Quote:As far as F/F, by the mere fact they were buying loans all along they were buying subprime loans and it begin showing as a problem in 2001, and it was in 2004 that they were directed by HUD to purchase more loans made to subprime borrowers.
Once again, this is completely untrue. I'd love to see where you got this info.
F/F were subject to intense pressure in 2003 and 2004 to start matching the returns that Wall Street was making. And they started taking riskier and riskier loans on their books in order to do so. A lot of this probably has to do with that asshat Raines who used to run the place.
I highly suggest you read this article:
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2008/10/12/53802/private-sector-loans-not-fannie.html
Quote:Krugman portrays this crisis paper to be one sided but we both know in these investigations, like the 9/11 commission report, the two parties conspire to save their asses at the same time throw blame to the other party.
So far this news about the omitted terms is coming second/third hand. I don't doubt that it happened...but I definitely don't doubt there's a lot more to it.
ANY discussion of the crisis that doesn't use the words 'Wall Street' or 'Shadow banking System' is a total and complete farce. It would be like a 9/11 commission report that didn't ever use the words 'Al Qaeda' or 'airplanes.' It's so unbelievable as to be completely and totally crazy.
And it's not second-hand, either. The Republicans on the committee released their own version of the report. Read it if ya like.
Regarding 'blaming the other party,' we're talking about a group of Dems and a group of Republicans. But the Dems aren't trying to pin this on the Republicans - they are blaming those who actually caused the crisis: Wall street and greed on the part of investment houses and banks. Is that the Republican party? Is that their job, to defend shitty and totally terrible decisions, ones that have seriously hurt all of us?
To the point where they ban certain words from the report. Not even a greater emphasis on F/F being the cause, if that's what they believe; they blame ONLY the government.
I wish I could say I was surprised, but this is totally par for the course for a political party which is completely intellectually and morally bankrupt.
Regarding the 2008 crash and recession, I'm more than happy to discuss any aspect of this you feel needs further explanation or attribution of fact. I've spent hundreds of hours researching this subject over the last two years and have an extensive set of links to research and data which backs up my argument. I did not set out to blame Republicans or anyone in particular for the crash, but instead to try and figure out exactly what happened, because it's pretty complex. Based on this research I feel completely and totally comfortable saying that the guy at the link you presented has no ******* clue what he is talking about. Not even a little. He just repeats talking points over and over.
Quote:Also you and 'dude' are at least partially wrong about F/F and CRA and their contribution to the crisis. Considering the timeline of all the components... they can't be unrelated IMO.
The CRA is unrelated - truly - but F/F isn't. They didn't cause the problem but they were a giant part of the problem, in large part because they were ran like a PRIVATE COMPANY just like Wall Street was. The guys at the top were greedy as hell and took home huge paychecks for it - just like Wall Street.
And none of this even begins to discuss the effects of extremely low interest rates under Greenspan. There are just so many facets of this problem. And the problems are far from over. Feel free to head over to my 'The real foreclosure crisis has just begun' thread to see more about how the fallout from this hasn't even begun to reveal itself yet, and how the problems have not truly been addressed.
Cycloptichorn