@okie,
Yes after further reading I must agree that Ryan's Roadmap has some major flaws that I, as a conservative with a libertarian bent, have some problems with. Overall, it’s a start and politically I think most Americans in the present climate would agree with. I think though that if that political realities turn towards conservative's favor after Nov 2010 there is no reason the GOP cannot use the Roadmap in a more conservatively Beefed-Up way. Longer term, if after the 2012 elections with a conservative majority in both houses and, perhaps, even a GOP Executive conservatives may take even bolder steps:
Quote:"The prospect of a tough 2012 for Democratic senators illustrates an additional peril of the nuclear option. A Republican Senate majority after this year's election, while possible, is unlikely. But the large number of Democratic seats up two years later makes a GOP majority in 2013 a considerably stronger possibility. A Republican president is also quite possible, albeit far from a sure thing. Like Republicans in 2009, Democrats then may be glad that they did not abolish the filibuster when they had the opportunity."*
(This comes in Taranto's argument as to why Obama/Pelosi/Reid efforts to force legislation through the 2010 lame duck session of congress might be futile--an interesting read in itself)
Generally speaking the Roadmap was written before Obamacare was passed so some of Ryan's assumptions must be reworked. Also, Ryan is in the "repeal and replace" school as opposed to our "repeal and start over with more targeted changes (tort reform, etc)" camp. After Nov I feel the latter will resonate better with Americans. Even if we cannot repeal we may be able to tie it up by blocking funding, perhaps, until 2013. But specifically, I have some concerns first being his 'consumption tax' on corporations. Ryan might counter that this would replace the present corporate tax but it is really a VAT. I know you prefer this tax but there are some problems:
1. This tax is too easily concealed from those that pay the tax
2. And, therefore, it is too easily increased, especially in the context of 200 years of increased government intervention in American's lives.
3. Erick Erickson has pointed out, correctly, that should Pelosi et al push for a VAT the GOP would be hard pressed to argue against it with one in their own proposal (Roadmap).
I must agree with Ican here:
1. The 16th Amendment must be repealed then and only then:
2. Ryan’s flat tax can be enabled. I disagree with Ryan's 2 tiers of 10 or 25% or a choice of the old system. If Americans are in tune with Ryan’s efforts towards a simpler more fair tax why not eliminate the old system altogether and go for a top rate of 7-8%? What American in his right mind would rather pay 10% or 25% as opposed to a flat 7%?
I would go further and require that the Feds would not be able to pass a budget (conservatives, unlike this Democratically controlled congress, would pass an actual budget) greater than the amount of federal revenues taken in the year before and perhaps a mandated cap might require tax payers getting money back. Also, Defense spending should be first in line.
On Social Security reform Ryan's private accounts contribution limits should be higher than an upper limit of 6%, if possible. I am for a more aggressive rate and implementation should politics allow and for the eventual elimination of SS altogether that still takes care of those who have planed their retirement around it with Ryan's phase-out. Here Ryan has the right idea but, perhaps, we may be more aggressive regarding conservative goals. Further I would need a clarification on what part of the personal account would be guaranteed and how this would be done (think Fannie and Freddie). This could just be switching one entitlement for another here.
Generally Medicare, Medicaid, and health insurance should have a heavy market influence to lower costs. I think Ryan recognizes this when he notes the disconnect between those that purchase insurance and those that consume it. Until the consumer pays for what he consumes, price signals will be ignored and costs will continue to climb. (Subsidize something and you get more of it. Question to all: If the government gave you a voucher for a car and a college education with you to pay only $500 would you buy a Chevy or Mercedes, go to State U or Harvard? Actually the government has done both hasn't it? What happened to those prices? To those who might argue the prices of the cars did not rise--What would have happened to their prices if the government had not handed out free money for their purchase?)
As to your general thoughts on decreased taxation, you are correct. This is a Win-Win for Americans. Essentially put more in the economy (less given to the government middlemen) has the effect of stimulating the economy plus gives less money to those in government and breaks the statist cycle and the influence of government on the economy by decreasing its ability to pick special interest 'favorites'. Capital used by those who legitimately earned it is more efficiently used.
As to education reform, this is another area where price signals and quality of the product is circumvented by, mainly, teachers' unions by way of their political influence over politicians (special interests again). Michelle Rhee of the D.C. public schools and the schools in New Orleans have benefited from common sense applications by short circuiting some union influence. Mayor Fenty a, Democrat, deserves accolades for his support of Rhee over the years. Sen. Durbin deserves to be panned here for his successful efforts to cancel the D.C. poor kids scholarship program to magnet charter schools in the D.C. school district. His actions here were purely a sop to the unions.
Ideally, I thought federal standards could be used to improve education but this hope of mine has been dashed by the politicization of just about everything in memory since the Vietnam War (think the left here) and M. Steel’s publicized comments (think RNC chairman’s private remarks about Afghanistan here) and, maybe even earlier (think Federal highway funds). These events argue in your favor regarding education reform that endorses local control. After all, if my argument insists that prices must be informed by those consuming the product are valid, then there is no reason why said prices should not inform the prices of education and its quality with the individuals locally consuming such. The added danger of leftist influence here is lessened by local control of school curriculums.
Overall, I am in agreement with you about kinks in Ryan's vision for conservative reform. But we must temper our criticisms with the fact of his (and conservatives' in general) immersion in a political climate that, in the past, has only allowed limited, at best, conservative principles of government to be entertained by our politicians. I hope the American political climate has changed. But, if it has changed, I would venture to say that that change of the American attitude might be more attributable to Democratic executive and legislative excesses as an exhibition of Madison's "tyranny of the majority" than anything the GOP has done since the Shrub's election.
Hey, be a happy conservative warrior!
JM
*
http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB10001424052748704518904575365121771999434.html