Schwarzenegger's Shift to Center Boosts Re-election Bid
Tue Oct 3, 9:15 PM ET
California Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger entered his second campaign for governor this year with sagging approval ratings and uncertain prospects. But a sharp rebound, especially since the June 6 primary, has enabled Schwarzenegger to put a little distance between himself and his Democratic challenger, state Treasurer Phil Angelides ?- just in time for the final sprint toward Election Day. [..]
Political analysts say Schwarzenegger, who took a mainly conservative approach during his first two years as governor, has largely succeeded at recasting himself as a centrist by embracing issues ?- such as battling climate change and increasing the minimum wage ?- designed to reingratiate him with liberal and moderate voters.
Recent independent statewide polls showed the Republican incumbent with leads of double-digit percentages over Angelides, who narrowly prevailed in a tough and expensive June primary battle with state Controller Steve Wesley and has not fully regained his footing since. [..]
Neither Schwarzenegger nor Republican strategists could have been confident of such numbers entering the campaign. Schwarzenegger had taken a mainly confrontational approach toward the Democratic majorities in both state legislative chambers after he became governor, tilting with them over a number of fiscal issues. It was a provocative strategy, given a strong Democratic trend in state politics that has included party victories in each of the past four presidential contests.
The political risks involved in that approach culminated less than a year ago, in November 2005, when a slate of proposed ballot initiatives for which he strongly advocated ?- over the strong dissent of Democratic officials and organized labor ?- failed badly at the polls.
Yet Schwarzenegger pivoted quickly and skillfully to rebuild bridges to independent and Democratic voters. He hired a Democrat, Susan Kennedy, as his chief of staff, worked with Democratic legislators on some of their infrastructure and education funding priorities, and went through a state budget process that was less contentious than in previous years.
And of late, he has turned his attentions to gaining the upper hand on a traditionally Democratic issue that resonates with many Californians: the environment.
Schwarzenegger made national headlines late last month when he signed a wide-ranging global warming bill that included the nation's first cap in greenhouse gas emissions ?- one of several high-profile bill-signing ceremonies the governor has held in recent weeks to trumpet his support for popular legislative measures.
Democrats hope, nonetheless, that the left-leaning tendencies of state voters ultimately will kick in to Angelides' advantage. [..]
The California Democratic Party has been running ads linking Schwarzenegger to Bush. One shows clips of Schwarzenegger campaigning in Ohio for Bush's re-election in 2004.
But [..] the L.A. Times poll found that the incumbent governor's supporters were more committed to him than the challenger's: 77 percent of of Schwarzenegger supporters said they would "definitely" vote for him, compared to 65 percent of respondents who planned to vote for Angelides.
Cain said that Angelides took a rough beating in primary ?- "It was a fairly bitter competition, and I don't think the wounds from that have healed completely." ?- while Schwarzenegger faced no serious primary opposition.
That disparity also contributed to a big advantage in campaign cash resources for the governor coming out of the primary: As of June 30, Schwarzenegger had $4.1 million in cash on hand, more than five times as much as the $726,000 reported for Angelides, according to Around the Capitol, a Web site that tracks California politics and elections.
The two candidates are slated to face off in person Oct. 7 during a live televised debate, in which Schwarzenegger's acting career likely will help him come off as the more polished candidate.
But experts say it is Schwarzenegger's recent record ?- rather than his persona ?- that accounts for the lion's share of the political resurgence he has seen over the past several months.
"It's not just about the fact that he's this bigger-than-life movie star," said Eric Smith, a UC-Santa Barbara political science professor. "It's about the fact that he's doing things that voters like."