@Frank Apisa,
Quote:The true non-believers are people who do not believe or guess in either direction. The more firm the guess is in one direction or the other...the closer each is getting to "belief."
Frank, I think you and I are pretty much in agreement about these issues, but, as I have touched on before, I'm really not crazy about your constant stress on the word "guess." To me a "guess" is something that is made without any particular basis at all. It is not an "estimate" (which is far more respectable). It certainly is not a "considered opinion." It is just some willy-nilly conclusion offered without thought or basis. Like if I flipped a coin to see whether I would answer "true" or "false" on a true/false test question, that would be what a "guess" is.
To me calling every conclusion a "guess" just levels all attempts at knowledge to the same "equal plane," which I think is wrong. I just don't like the categorical suggestion that: "one answer is as good as another," or, more generally, that "every answer is just as valid as any other."
In response to another post, I made a brief comment about "deism." Although I'm no deist, it is a position which seems to be much more about reason than "guessing" (or faith, or obedience to convention).
Some very brilliant have, based on long observation and considerable reflective thought, concluded that "nature suggests that there is a god." Others, equally brilliant, say "nature suggests that there is not a god." Right or wrong, provable or not, these are not mere "guesses." The arguments put forth for either position are deserving of consideration and respect.
Every conclusion we draw about anything is just based on the (always limited) information available. It can't be called "knowledge" in any absolute, platonic sense. But there is no need to make absolute certainty the only possible measure of "knowledge." Some "guesses" are simply much better than others, best we can tell.
Of course "reason" is not always what it seems to be, either. As Hume once said:
Quote:“Reason is, and ought only to be, the slave of the passions, and can never pretend to any other office than to serve and obey them.”
I think I know exactly what he's suggesting, but I also think he's going a little too far, there.