15
   

ISRAEL - IRAN - SYRIA - HAMAS - HEZBOLLAH - WWWIII?

 
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 07:27 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
On a larger scale you have a passenger liner filled to capacity with commuters and have every reason to believe it will be crashed into a large building occupied by civilians. Do you order your airforce or ground missiles to shoot down the plane? God help the one who has to make that call, but sooner or later it will probably have to be made.


That's actually a good example. Here, the Bundesverfassungsgericht (~ equivalent of your Supreme Court) has ruled that a passenger aircraft cannot be shot down, even if it has been hijacked with the intention to use it as a weapon. The court decided that a proposed law was unconstitutional, because by shooting down a passenger plane, the state would intenionally kill a minority of its citizens in order to protect majority.

I absolutely agree with the underlying principle here.

But maybe we could pick up the conversation where we left off... I was asking you

old europe wrote:
Do you think the Geneva Conventions prohibit a nation from defending itself?


and, later,

old europe wrote:
The Geneva Conventions address the issue of un-uniformed combatants. They address the issue of using innocent civilians as shields. They address the issue of targeting innocent civilians.

Israel is a signatory, too. Why do you think the Geneva Conventions don't apply?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 08:27 pm
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
On a larger scale you have a passenger liner filled to capacity with commuters and have every reason to believe it will be crashed into a large building occupied by civilians. Do you order your airforce or ground missiles to shoot down the plane? God help the one who has to make that call, but sooner or later it will probably have to be made.


That's actually a good example. Here, the Bundesverfassungsgericht (~ equivalent of your Supreme Court) has ruled that a passenger aircraft cannot be shot down, even if it has been hijacked with the intention to use it as a weapon. The court decided that a proposed law was unconstitutional, because by shooting down a passenger plane, the state would intenionally kill a minority of its citizens in order to protect majority.

I absolutely agree with the underlying principle here.

But maybe we could pick up the conversation where we left off... I was asking you

old europe wrote:
Do you think the Geneva Conventions prohibit a nation from defending itself?


and, later,

old europe wrote:
The Geneva Conventions address the issue of un-uniformed combatants. They address the issue of using innocent civilians as shields. They address the issue of targeting innocent civilians.

Israel is a signatory, too. Why do you think the Geneva Conventions don't apply?


The ruling of your Supreme Court would sentence everybody to death instead of saving as many as they could? I would have to think long and hard about the morality of that.

I honestly don't know enough of the intricities of the Geneva Convention to answer your question intelligently. I only know that it is not immoral to protect innocent men, women, and children from murderers who intend to murder them. That is the principle I start with. And I think any rules that apply should follow once that principle is addressed.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 08:52 pm
pachelbel wrote:
ican:
...
The Arabs may not have 'owned it' but they sure lived there. Just because they were conquered doesn't mean they evaporated.

I agree that Arabs lived in Palestine before and after the UN's 1947 resolution!

Also, Jews lived in Palestine before and after the UN's 1947 resolution!


Just because a bunch of Americans took over Texas doesn't mean the Mexicans disappeared, does it?

I agree that Mexicans lived in Texas both before and after Americans conquered Texas.

Moslems (Muslim/Islam) can be other than Arab. Assyrians are an ancient people. The majority of Saladin's troops, generals, and advisors were Arabic. They liberated the holy land from the European Crusaders brief conquest. The people who benefitted from that were indigenous Arab Christians, Arab Moslems, and Arab Jews who all lived in peace even after the Turks took over Syria and the holy land. Saladin forced a stalemate on England's Richard I (1192) during the third Crusade leaving the Muslims masters of Palestine.
The Muslims want their independence like anyone else. You can't seem to extrapolate and understand that.

I disagree that Arab Moslems, and Arab Jews ... all lived in peace after 1919. I also disagree that the Arabs want their independence like everyone else. What the Arabs want is for the Jews in Palestine not to have their independence like everyone else.

Britannica wrote:

...
1918 AD: Ottoman Empire Ends Control of Palestine.
................British Protectorate of Palestine Begins.
1920 AD: 5 Jews killed 200 wounded in anti-zionist riots
................in Palestine.
1921 AD: 46 Jews killed 146 wounded in anti-zionist riots
................in Palestine.
1929 AD: 133 Jews killed 339 wounded
................116 Arabs killed 232 wounded.
1936 thru 39 AD: 329 Jews killed 857 wounded
.........................3,112 Arabs killed 1,775 wounded
............................135 Brits killed 386 wounded.
............................110 Arabs hanged 5,679 jailed.

1947 AD: UN resolution partitions Palestine into a Jewish
................State and into an Arab State.
1948 AD: Jews declare independence and establish the
................State of Israel.
................War breaks out between Jews defending Israel
................and Arabs attempting to invade Israel.
................State of Israel successfully defends itself and
................conquers part of Arab Palestine.


Except for some Mexican and American gangsters, Mexicans and Americans did in fact all live in peace after Americans conquered Texas. The Mexicans did not deliberately kill American non-combatants, and the Americans did not deliberately kill Mexican non-combatants.[/color]

Arabs that live in Palestine have no right to govern all of Palestine just because they live in Palestine.

Jews that live in Palestine have no right to govern all of Palestine just because they live in Palestine.

But the UN 's 1947 resolution granted the Arabs the right to govern a part of Palestine, and granted the Jews the right to govern a different part of Palestine.

So, the Arabs should stop deliberately killing Jewish non-combatants and complaining about the Jews deliberately killing Arab non-combatants in retaliation. The Arabs simply do not have the right to continue to do that.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 08:58 pm
Foxfyre wrote:

...

I honestly don't know enough of the intricities of the Geneva Convention to answer your question intelligently. I only know that it is not immoral to protect innocent men, women, and children from murderers who intend to murder them. That is the principle I start with. And I think any rules that apply should follow once that principle is addressed.


Maybe this is relevant:

Quote:
UN CHARTER Article 51
Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defense if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations, until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security. Measures taken by Members in the exercise of this right of self-defense shall be immediately reported to the Security Council and shall not in any way affect the authority and responsibility of the Security Council under the present Charter to take at any time such action as it deems necessary in order to maintain or restore international peace and security.
0 Replies
 
pachelbel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 11:26 pm
ican quote:
But the UN 's 1947 resolution granted the Arabs the right to govern a part of Palestine, and granted the Jews the right to govern a different part of Palestine


That is the problem: the UN decided that the Arabs WOULD NOT be allowed 'to govern'. No one bothered to ask the Arabs what THEY thought about this decision.

The Arabs were kicked out of part of their country (partitioned) and told to go live in another. Would you like to be kicked out of your homeland by a bunch of displaced immigrants who were not welcomed anywhere else?

Would you give up some of Texas so the Jews could live there?

Would you like your home bulldozed and 'settlements' built in what is Palestinian land? They continue to invade/encroach with no one to hinder them. In fact, the US helps them. You have a very effective Zionist propaganda machine in the US. Learn the truth.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Nov, 2006 11:28 pm
ican711nm wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:

...

I honestly don't know enough of the intricities of the Geneva Convention to answer your question intelligently. I only know that it is not immoral to protect innocent men, women, and children from murderers who intend to murder them. That is the principle I start with. And I think any rules that apply should follow once that principle is addressed.


Maybe this is relevant:

Quote:
UN CHARTER Article 51
Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defense if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations, until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security. Measures taken by Members in the exercise of this right of self-defense shall be immediately reported to the Security Council and shall not in any way affect the authority and responsibility of the Security Council under the present Charter to take at any time such action as it deems necessary in order to maintain or restore international peace and security.


Thanks Ican. But I think several here will interpret this to mean that the authority of the UN supercedes and can override the right to self-defense and once the UN steps in, they are to be in the driver's seat. From time to time don't you see undercurrents of a notion (from some) that the UN is seen as sort of the government of the New World Order? That's a real scary thought to me.
0 Replies
 
pachelbel
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 12:09 am
Palestine
Here, ican...chew on this: MORE PALESTINIANS, INCLUDING WOMEN AND CHILDREN, HAVE BEEN KILLED BY ISRAELIS THAN THE OTHER WAY AROUND.

History in Brief:

For more than 7,000 years the Canaanites (Palestinians) lived continuously uninterrupted on the land of Palestine. During the 7,000 years more than 20 invading powers including the Jews occupied parts of Palestine but they were all defeated by the Palestinians or other invading powers the Palestinians never left the land through out history. The Jews came in 1186 BC and the last Jews left in 135 AD after being defeated by the Romans.

By the early 1900s illegal Jewish immigrants started arriving at the shores of Palestine and immediately they formed armed Jewish gangs terrorizing Palestinian citizens. In 1920, Palestine came under British mandate and more illegal Jewish immigrants were allowed in Palestine and more gangs were formed. May 15, 1948: The British rule in Palestine ended and Britain handed control over to Jewish gangs who attacked Palestinian towns and massacred whole families and they massacred all the inhabitants of the town of Deir Yasin in a clear attempt at ethnic cleansing*.

By 1949 more than 400 Palestinian towns were destroyed, thousands of Palestinians were massacred and 750,000 Palestinians fled to safety in neighboring countries. The Jews occupied 77% of the total land of Palestine. They changed the name of the country from Palestine to Israel. They refused to allow the Palestinians and their children to return to their towns and homes in Palestine. In 1967 Israel attacked and occupied the remaining 23% of Palestine. More Jews from all over the world came to occupy the land and homes of the Palestinians.

Despite the UN Resolution giving the right of return to the Palestinian refugees, Israel continues to deny them that right. In the 1990s Israel brought in more than 1 million soviet Jews to occupy the homes and land of the Palestinian refugees it took in 1948 and 1967.

*The first attempt at ethnic cleansing in Palestine was in 1186 BC when the Hebrews (Jews) attacked Jericho and killed all the people living in the city, they went as far as killing the live stock in Jericho.

The Following is historical brief: *Note the battles LOST by the Jews:

"Through out the following years the Canaanites/Palestinians never left the land they lived on"

6000 BC Arabian people settle Canaan (Palestine)

3600 BC The "Amori" Canaanite origin settle the land

1805 BC Prophet Abraham moves from Iraq to Canaan

1656 BC Descendents of Prophet Abraham move to Egypt

1570 BC Egyptians occupy parts of Canaan

1479 BC Solomon occupies parts of Canaan

1186 BC Hebrews attack city of Jericho in Canaan and massacre all of it's people and live stock

1184 BC "Palest" people arrive to southern and northern shores of Canaan

1016-936 BC David occupies Jerusalem and other areas with exception of the northern and southern parts that were Canaanite inhabited

732 BC Canaan came under Assyrian control

722 BC Israelite (Jews) kingdom ended

608 BC Egyptian rule comes back to Canaan

586 BC The Jewish kingdom ends

538 BC The Persians occupy Canaan

484-425 BC The Greeks rename Canaan to Palestine (the name sticks)

332 BC Alexander the Great occupies Palestine

63 BC The Romans occupy Palestine

40 BC The Persians retake Palestine

Birth of Jesus Christ

70 The Romans destroy Jerusalem

135 Jews revolt against the Romans and loose the battle and leave Palestine

395 Break up of the Roman Empire and Palestine came under the Byzantine rule

272 The Romans retake Palestine

614 Persians retake Palestine

636 Muslims take over Palestine

1099 Crusader take Palestine

1517 The Ottomans take over Palestine

1917 Great Britain takes over Palestine and Promises the Jews to give them the land of the Palestinians

1922 The League of Nations conspired with Britain against the Palestinian People by giving Britain a mandate to rule Palestine and to implement the [Belfour Declaration].

1948 The Jews take over 77% of Palestine and kick the Palestinians out of their homes and land

1967 The Jews (Israel) attacks remaining 23% of Palestinian land and occupies it, this puts the whole territory of Palestine under Israeli occupation

1967-2003 More than 6 million Palestinians are refugees living away from their homes, the rest which is about 2 million Palestinians live under Israeli Military occupation on the land of Palestine. *In the past two years the Israeli occupation forces have killed more than 2,000 Palestinians, about 700 of them are children, and they wounded more than 48,000 Palestinians, more than 15,000 of them are children.
******************
Rationalize that. Jews lost the battles (see above timeline) to keep the land and subsequently left. When you lose a battle you typically lose the right to that land.

Who gave the UN the right to 'give' these people- the 'Israelites'- a home with no thought whatsoever to the rights of the resident Palestinians, hmmm?
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 12:48 am
Foxfyre wrote:
The ruling of your Supreme Court would sentence everybody to death instead of saving as many as they could? I would have to think long and hard about the morality of that.


Actually it's not just the ruling but what our constitution says, the state is not allowed to kill it's citizens (we don't have capital punishment).
Besides that, our forces are restricted re military actions inside the federal republic as well by the constitution.

It might be that the our governemt might have the right to give order for such, if they decide it a "justified state of emergency above restrictions of the basic laws".

Since courts can't decide in advance, the Federal Court of Constitution would have to do decide afterwards if they acted accoding to our constitution ...
0 Replies
 
xingu
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 06:47 am
Like Bush and Blair, Olmert seems to be out of touch with reality.

From Juan Cole;

Quote:
Haaretz is outraged and a little amused that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert came to Washington and said this to Bush about Iraq:
SOURCE

' "We in the Middle East have followed the American policy in Iraq for a long time, and we are very much impressed and encouraged by the stability which the great operation of America in Iraq brought to the Middle East. We pray and hope that this policy will be fully successful so that this stability which was created for all the moderate countries in the Middle East will continue." '

There is no mystery here. Olmert has already proved that he does not understand asymmetrical warfare or the Arab world, and that he has a mystical faith in tanks. Saddam had a tank army, of which the Israeli military was always mysteriously afraid, and it is gone. Iraq has 78 tanks, last I knew. If you equate a big tank army in the hands of an enemy of Israel as "instability," then now you have "stability."

It seems to me in contrast that Hamas is picking up Ramadi and Falluja as hinterland support, and Hizbullah now has the opportunity for backing from the ruling Iraqi Shiite parties of Da'wa, SCIRI, and the Sadr Movement, which in turn have the prospect of getting rich off Iraqi petroleum. But if Olmert and Bush understood these sorts of things, they wouldn't have adopted such disastrous policies.

Olmert's predecessor was trying openly to goad the United States into a war with Iran. Most of the time you can't listen to Israeli hawks about Middle East policy. They are like carpenters with a hammer to whom every problem looks like a nail. Every political issue looks to them like a good little war would solve it. They don't seem to be able to notice that nearly 60 years of such war-at-the-drop-of-a-hat has not gotten them anywhere in the region and if anything, as Bashar al-Asad said last summer, every generation of Arabs hates them more. The hawks don't fear the hatred of the masses because they only understand tanks, not asymmetrical or geopolitical struggles. And that is where we came in.
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 07:41 am
Considering Germany's history, I can understand the need for that kind of law. I am sure they could call Ramstein Air Base though, and have a couple of American fighters take it down. One of those extra perks of having an American presence in Germany.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 07:46 am
McGentrix wrote:
Considering Germany's history, I can understand the need for that kind of law. I am sure they could call Ramstein Air Base though, and have a couple of American fighters take it down. One of those extra perks of having an American presence in Germany.


Question
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:00 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Thanks Ican. But I think several here will interpret this to mean that the authority of the UN supercedes and can override the right to self-defense and once the UN steps in, they are to be in the driver's seat. From time to time don't you see undercurrents of a notion (from some) that the UN is seen as sort of the government of the New World Order? That's a real scary thought to me.


Well..... I think I have not made any statement about the authority of the United Nations. Furthermore, the UN was founded in 1945, whereas the history of the Geneva Conventions goes back to the year 1864.

I'm totally willing to discuss the role of the United Nations, too. But for the moment, could we maybe limit the discussion to the topic to the Geneva Conventions?

Here's something about the history of the "Laws of War ":

Quote:
A Brief History of the Laws of War

Attempts to put limits on wartime behavior have been around since the beginning of recorded history and there have been numerous attempts to codify the rules of appropriate military conduct.

In the sixth century BCE, Chinese warrior Sun Tzu suggested putting limits on the way that wars were conducted.

Around 200 BCE, the notion of war crimes as such appeared in the Hindu code of Manu.

In 1305, the Scottish national hero Sir William Wallace was tried for the wartime murder of civilians.

Hugo Grotius wrote "On the Law of War and Peace" in 1625, focusing on the humanitarian treatment of civilians.

In 1865, Confederate officer Henry Wirz was executed for murdering Federal prisoners of war at the Andersonville prisoner of war camp. He was only one of several people who were tried for similar offenses.

In fact, it's been the past century and a half that has really seen a qualitative jump in the degree to which constraints have been placed on warring parties, and only this century that an international body has been formed to police the nations of the world.

The first Geneva Convention was signed in 1864 to protect the sick and wounded in war time. This first Geneva Convention was inspired by Henri Dunant, founder of the Red Cross. Ever since then, the Red Cross has played an integral part in the drafting and enforcement of the Geneva Conventions.

These included the 1899 treaties, concerning asphyxiating gases and expanding bullets. In 1907, 13 separate treaties were signed, followed in 1925 by the Geneva Gas Protocol, which prohibited the use of poison gas and the practice of bacteriological warfare.

In 1929, two more Geneva Conventions dealt with the treatment of the wounded and prisoners of war. In 1949, four Geneva Conventions extended protections to those shipwrecked at sea and to civilians.

The Hague Convention on the Protection of Cultural Property was signed in 1954, the United Nations Convention on Military or Any Other Hostile Use of Environmental Techniques followed in 1977, together with two Additional Protocols to the Geneva Conventions of 1949, extending their protections to civil wars.

There is no one "Geneva Convention." Like any other body of law, the laws of war have been assembled piecemeal, and are, in fact, still under construction.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:11 am
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Thanks Ican. But I think several here will interpret this to mean that the authority of the UN supercedes and can override the right to self-defense and once the UN steps in, they are to be in the driver's seat. From time to time don't you see undercurrents of a notion (from some) that the UN is seen as sort of the government of the New World Order? That's a real scary thought to me.


Well..... I think I have not made any statement about the authority of the United Nations. Furthermore, the UN was founded in 1945, whereas the history of the Geneva Conventions goes back to the year 1864.

I'm totally willing to discuss the role of the United Nations, too. But for the moment, could we maybe limit the discussion to the topic to the Geneva Conventions?

Here's something about the history of the "Laws of War ":

Quote:
A Brief History of the Laws of War

Attempts to put limits on wartime behavior have been around since the beginning of recorded history and there have been numerous attempts to codify the rules of appropriate military conduct.

In the sixth century BCE, Chinese warrior Sun Tzu suggested putting limits on the way that wars were conducted.

Around 200 BCE, the notion of war crimes as such appeared in the Hindu code of Manu.

In 1305, the Scottish national hero Sir William Wallace was tried for the wartime murder of civilians.

Hugo Grotius wrote "On the Law of War and Peace" in 1625, focusing on the humanitarian treatment of civilians.

In 1865, Confederate officer Henry Wirz was executed for murdering Federal prisoners of war at the Andersonville prisoner of war camp. He was only one of several people who were tried for similar offenses.

In fact, it's been the past century and a half that has really seen a qualitative jump in the degree to which constraints have been placed on warring parties, and only this century that an international body has been formed to police the nations of the world.

The first Geneva Convention was signed in 1864 to protect the sick and wounded in war time. This first Geneva Convention was inspired by Henri Dunant, founder of the Red Cross. Ever since then, the Red Cross has played an integral part in the drafting and enforcement of the Geneva Conventions.

These included the 1899 treaties, concerning asphyxiating gases and expanding bullets. In 1907, 13 separate treaties were signed, followed in 1925 by the Geneva Gas Protocol, which prohibited the use of poison gas and the practice of bacteriological warfare.

In 1929, two more Geneva Conventions dealt with the treatment of the wounded and prisoners of war. In 1949, four Geneva Conventions extended protections to those shipwrecked at sea and to civilians.

The Hague Convention on the Protection of Cultural Property was signed in 1954, the United Nations Convention on Military or Any Other Hostile Use of Environmental Techniques followed in 1977, together with two Additional Protocols to the Geneva Conventions of 1949, extending their protections to civil wars.

There is no one "Geneva Convention." Like any other body of law, the laws of war have been assembled piecemeal, and are, in fact, still under construction.[/[/b]quote]


Well good then. So there is hope that better rules will be devised for conduct of a war against terrorists who play by nobody's rules but their own and who IMO consider any talk of peace, compromise, or rules of war to be a weakness they can exploit. Any law is only as good as its reasonableness in a given situation. Walter's post was dead on accurate I think. Sometimes you have to do what you have to do and then be at the mercy of the criticis and judges in the aftermath.

You really can't leave the UN out of this discussion, however, as some do seem to defer to them to judge issues of violations of the 'rules of war'. But how many of us give credibility to judges who regularly condemn choices we consider to be what we have to do while giving our opponents a pass in comparison?
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:23 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Well good then. So there is hope that better rules will be devised for conduct of a war against terrorists who play by nobody's rules but their own and who consider any talk of peace, compromise, or rules of war to be a weakness they can exploit. Any law is only as good as its reasonableness in a given situation. Walter's post was dead on accurate I think. Sometimes you have to do what you have to do and then be at the mercy of the criticis and judges in the aftermath.

You really can't leave the UN out of this discussion, however, as how many of us give credibility to judges who regularly condemn choices we consider to be what we have to do while giving our opponents a pass in comparison?


As I have said before, the Geneva Conventions address the issue of un-uniformed combatants, they address the issue of using innocent civilians as shields, and they address the issue of targeting innocent civilians.

You're saying that the GC are not good enough in a "war against terrorists". Why do you think so? How, exactly, does following the GC harm a nation's ability to defend itself?
0 Replies
 
xingu
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:32 am
An interview that deals with Iraq and Iran.

FYI

Quote:
SPIEGEL INTERVIEW WITH RICHARD HAASS
"Iraq Is Not Winnable"
What happens next in the Middle East? SPIEGEL spoke to Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, to find out. A widely respected foreign policy expert, Haass warns that the Middle East could become dangerous for years to come.

SPIEGEL: Mr. Haass, were the election results a message from the voters to President George W. Bush that it's time for US troops to be pulled out of Iraq?

Haass: The mid-term election is a signal of widespread popular dissatisfaction with the course of the Iraq war. But it should not be read as a signal of support for a particular alternative. Nor will it lead most Democrats in Congress to call for a quick and complete withdrawal of US forces. Instead, it will reinforce the likelihood that American policy will be adjusted. We can anticipate force reductions and redeployments and possibly a greater emphasis on diplomacy, both within Iraq and with Iraq's neighbors, including Iran and Syria.

SPIEGEL: Meaning that the Bush Era has come to an end?

Haass: There is something to what you say, in that Iraq was a war of choice that proved to be much more difficult and expensive than Americans bargained for. As a result, the public is pushing back. However, it is not just premature but wrong to say the Bush era is over. The president will be president for another 800 days. He will be able to take initiatives, especially in foreign policy given that our system favors executive leadership. He also may have a better chance to fashion a consensus on immigration reform. And unanticipated crises almost always provide a president with the opportunity to do dramatic things.

SPIEGEL: Can you remember a time when US foreign policy was confronted with so many challenges and difficulties?

Haass: The short answer is: No. During the Cold War, the United States faced a single challenge that was greater than any we face now. But I can't think of a time when the United States has faced so many difficult challenges at once. What makes it worse is we are facing them at a time when we are increasingly stretched militarily. We are divided politically. We are stretched also economically, and there is a good deal of anti-Americanism in the world. It's a very bad combination.

SPIEGEL: Almost five years ago Bush grouped Iraq, North Korea and Iran together in the now-notorious "Axis of Evil." Now the US is faced with considerable crises in all three countries. What to do?

Haass: We have allowed ourselves to get into three very difficult situations. As the United States has learned to its great cost in Iraq, military force is no panacea. Any option that would be heavily reliant on the Army is not a realistic option, because the only Army we have is busy right now.

SPIEGEL: But diplomacy is still an underused tool.

Haass: In the case of Iran and North Korea, I would be willing to have the United States engage in diplomacy directly with them, essentially offering them whatever mix of political and economic and security benefits in exchange for demanding a package of behavior changes. We need to get away from the idea that diplomatic interaction is a value judgment. History suggests that isolation reinforces hardliners.

SPIEGEL: But it seems as if the Bush administration is still debating whether regime change or diplomacy is the best way to deal with them.

Haass: For quite a few years, there was very little diplomacy, and the emphasis was on regime change which, in my view, was never going to happen. Now you are seeing a bit more diplomacy, but not as much as I would like there to be. I'm not sitting here confident that diplomacy will work, but I think it is worth trying, simply because the alternatives are not terribly attractive. Diplomacy may work; if not, we should demonstrate that we did everything possible to reach a fair and reasonable diplomatic outcome and we couldn't, not because of our policy, but because of theirs. The Bush administration will learn that that puts them in a better position to manage the domestic and international politics of escalation.

SPIEGEL: You just invited Iran's President Ahmadinejad for a discussion in New York. Did you get the impression that he is interested in any kind of deal?

Haass: There was very little, if anything, in that two-hour meeting that was reassuring about his interest in finding any common ground on reasonable terms with the United States. His tactic is to answer questions with questions. At one point, someone raised questions about Iran's internal situation, democracy and human rights, and within 30 seconds, he was talking about what he saw as the imperfections of American democracy. His argument was that Iran was more democratic because it had more candidates for president than the United States.

SPIEGEL: The Israeli ambassador criticized you heavily, saying this was worse then inviting Adolf Hitler for talks.

Haass: I disagree. Meeting with somebody like Mr. Ahmadinejad doesn't mean we approve or endorse him. It's nothing else than accepting that he is the President of Iran and in that position, he matters.

SPIEGEL: Bush's comments on North Korea's nuclear tests seem to indicate that it is no longer the possession of nuclear weapons, but the passing along of nuclear technology to terrorists or hostile states that America is opposed to. Is this a new nuclear doctrine?

Haass: Here, at least, the administration has moved from what you might call non-proliferation to managing proliferation. But I would hope that doesn't become the new status quo. I'm not comfortable living in a world in which an aggressive, hostile, poor and potentially desperate North Korea is sitting on a mountain of nuclear material. That does not fill me with anything except extraordinary alarm.

SPIEGEL: And then there are Iraq and the Middle East. You just published an article in the journal Foreign Affairs in which you say that the situation is enough "to make one nostalgic for the old Middle East."

Haass: The old Middle East -- an era which I believe has only recently ended -- was one in which the United States enjoyed tremendous dominance and freedom of maneuver. Oil was available at fairly low prices, the region was largely at peace. I believe largely because of the American decision to go to war in Iraq and how it has been carried out, as well as the emphasis on promoting democracy and a lack of any serious energy policy, the Middle East has considerably grown worse. It's one of history's ironies that the first war in Iraq, a war of necessity, marked the beginning of the American era in the Middle East and the second Iraq war, a war of choice, has precipitated its end.

SPIEGEL: So what will become of the region?

Haass: Visions of a new Middle East that is peaceful, prosperous and democratic will not be realized. Much more likely is the emergence of a new Middle East that will cause great harm to itself and the world. Iran will be a powerful state in the region, a classical imperial power. No viable peace process between Israel and the Palestinians is likely for the foreseeable future. Militias will emerge throughout the region, terrorism will grow in sophistication, tensions between Sunni and Shia will increase, causing problems in countries with divided societies, such as Bahrain, Lebanon and Saudi Arabia. Islam will fill the political and intellectual vacuum. Iraq at best will remain messy for years to come, with a weak central government, a divided society and sectarian violence. At worst, it will become a failed state racked by all-out civil war that will draw in its neighbors.

SPIEGEL: How long will this dangerous period last?

Haass: I don't know if this will last for five or 50 years, but it's going to be an incredibly difficult era. Together with managing a dynamic Asia it will be the primary challenge for US foreign policy.

SPIEGEL: But the Bush administration still seems hopeful, seeing in all this violence only the "birth pangs" of this wonderful New Middle East.

Haass: I hope that they are right. I would love to see them right and me wrong. But I'm afraid they are not.

SPIEGEL: Is Iraq still winnable for the United States?

Haass: We've reached a point in Iraq where we've got to get real. And this is not going to be a near-term success for American foreign policy. The Iraq situation is not winnable in any meaningful sense of the word "winnable." So what we need to do now is look for a way to limit the losses and costs, try to advance on other fronts in the region and try to limit the fallout of Iraq. That's what you have to do sometimes when you're a global power.

SPIEGEL: A special commission headed by former Secretary of State James Baker will soon present a study on how to go forward in Iraq. Will this be the excuse for Bush to withdraw the troops?

Haass: The commission gives him something of an opportunity to change course. Historically, commissions have often played an important role when the traditional body politic was unable or unwilling to come up with politically controversial but necessary proposals. We see a tipping point not only on the ground in Iraq but also in the political debate in the United States. I believe more and more people in and around the administration are coming to the conclusion that six or nine more months of the same will not bring us anywhere.

SPIEGEL: The disaster of the last years leads many Americans to doubt the military strength and moral superiority of the nation. Is this country on the verge of a new isolationist phase?

Haass: The danger is an Iraq syndrome. The war is one the American people weren't quite prepared for: They had not been told it was going to be that difficult and expensive. After the military battlefield phase, they thought it was going to be easy. So this has proven shocking. Nearly 3,000 Americans have lost their lives. Maybe 15,000 - 20,000 Americans have been wounded. Hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars have been spent. It has been disruptive on many levels. The danger is that the United States now will be weary of intervening elsewhere, like the cat that once sat on a hot stove and will never sit on any stove again.

SPIEGEL: How long could such a period last?

Haass: It is quite possible that this generation of Americans will be as affected by Iraq as the previous generation was by Vietnam.

SPIEGEL: The world doesn't need the "little sheriff," but it needs a strong America.

Haass: Exactly right. There is no doubt that the world needs the United States. We need to stay active in the world, not as a favor to others, but as a favor to ourselves. We cannot turn inward in an age of globalization. Bad things will happen in the world if we are not trying to manage them. The balance of power in Asia, human issues like Darfur, global climate change -- these are problems that are not going to get solved if the United States doesn't participate actively.

SPIEGEL: Isolationism would be quite a legacy for someone like Bush.

Haass: It would be somewhere between ironic and tragic because this administration has in some ways, like Iraq, been extraordinarily interventionist.

SPIEGEL: What could Europe do?

Haass: The one-word answer is: More. One wants Europe to have more capacity, so it could do more in Afghanistan, or maybe in places like Darfur. One wants Europe to be more internationally oriented. If you could make a criticism that the United States has under-used the diplomatic tool, Europeans often under-use other tools. In many cases, even if anti-Americanism were to fade, there is still a certain lack of preparedness and capability to act. What Europeans have control over is not American foreign policy. What they have control over is their own capacity and willingness to act -- and that is what they ought to focus on.

SPIEGEL: Will Bush leave the world with more problems than he found when he came into office?

Haass: Most likely. That said, the administration still has two years to go, so it is too early to judge. All you can say is that it's sobering where we are. As of now, you would have to say the world is not a safer place.

Interview conducted by Georg Mascolo
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:33 am
old europe wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Well good then. So there is hope that better rules will be devised for conduct of a war against terrorists who play by nobody's rules but their own and who consider any talk of peace, compromise, or rules of war to be a weakness they can exploit. Any law is only as good as its reasonableness in a given situation. Walter's post was dead on accurate I think. Sometimes you have to do what you have to do and then be at the mercy of the criticis and judges in the aftermath.

You really can't leave the UN out of this discussion, however, as how many of us give credibility to judges who regularly condemn choices we consider to be what we have to do while giving our opponents a pass in comparison?


As I have said before, the Geneva Conventions address the issue of un-uniformed combatants, they address the issue of using innocent civilians as shields, and they address the issue of targeting innocent civilians.

You're saying that the GC are not good enough in a "war against terrorists". Why do you think so? How, exactly, does following the GC harm a nation's ability to defend itself?


Well every time Israel goes after the terrorists who are shelling them in a civilian neighborhood in Gaza or Lebanon etc., the UN Security Council meets to discuss or draw up a resolution condemning Israel. Presumably the condemnation is based on violations of the GC. Yet the UN does little or nothing to stop the terrorists until world opinion forces them to do so to get Israel to stand down.

Seems to me the current interpretations of GC rules aren't too useful in this case and generate quite a bit of contempt for the UN's judging ability at least on the side of those who think Israel's right to defend innocent men, women, and children trumps following rules that won't work toward that end.

Quote:
Prisoners of War

The 1949 Geneva Convention on the treatment of prisoners of war defines PoWs as members of the armed forces captured during a conflict, or: Members of other militias and members of other volunteer corps, … provided that such militias or volunteer corps … fulfil the following conditions:

That of being commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates;
That of having a fixed distinctive sign recognizable at a distance;
That of carrying arms openly;
That of conducting their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/background/iraq/genevaconventions.html

How many of this criteria requiring application of the GC do you think the terrorists fit re priisoners of war? So they rewrite the rules so that terrorists can be prisoners of war. It's just nuts.
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 08:43 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Well every time Israel goes after the terrorists who are shelling them in a civilian neighborhood in Gaza or Lebanon etc., the UN Security Council meets to discuss or draw up a resolution condemning Israel. Presumably the condemnation is based on violations of the GC. Yet the UN does little or nothing to stop the terrorists until world opinion forces them to do so to get Israel to stand down.

Seems to me the current interpretations of GC rules aren't too useful in this case and generate quite a bit of contempt for the UN's judging ability at least on the side of those who think Israel's right to defend innocent men, women, and children trumps following rules that won't work toward that end.


I don't want to leave the UN out of the discussion. I just wish we could have a somewhat structured discussion about the issue, and I think that the GC can be discussed without talking about the UN at the same time. The whole discussion revolves around the core questions of

1) What rules are we going to apply?
2) Who is going to enforce the rules?

And re 1), the question is: Are the Geneva Conventions with their long history, their provisions for numerous cases of armed conflict and their 194 signing parties relevant?

And, more specifically: how would following the Geneva Conventions harm Israel's right to defend innocent men, women, and children?
0 Replies
 
old europe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 09:17 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Quote:
Prisoners of War

The 1949 Geneva Convention on the treatment of prisoners of war defines PoWs as members of the armed forces captured during a conflict, or: Members of other militias and members of other volunteer corps, … provided that such militias or volunteer corps … fulfil the following conditions:

That of being commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates;
That of having a fixed distinctive sign recognizable at a distance;
That of carrying arms openly;
That of conducting their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/background/iraq/genevaconventions.html

How many of this criteria requiring application of the GC do you think the terrorists fit re priisoners of war? So they rewrite the rules so that terrorists can be prisoners of war. It's just nuts.


I'm not aware that the question whether or not imprisoned terrorists should be treated like regular POWs did ever arise in the conflicts between Israel and its neighbors, but we can certainly discuss this topic if you want to. I just wonder who you think "rewrites the rules"...?

Anyways, the enumeration above is really a bit more detailed in Convention III, Part I, Article IV:

Quote:
Art. 4. A. Prisoners of war, in the sense of the present Convention, are persons belonging to one of the following categories, who have fallen into the power of the enemy:

(1) Members of the armed forces of a Party to the conflict, as well as members of militias or volunteer corps forming part of such armed forces.

(2) Members of other militias and members of other volunteer corps, including those of organized resistance movements, belonging to a Party to the conflict and operating in or outside their own territory, even if this territory is occupied, provided that such militias or volunteer corps, including such organized resistance movements, fulfil the following conditions:[ (a) that of being commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates; (b) that of having a fixed distinctive sign recognizable at a distance; (c) that of carrying arms openly; (d) that of conducting their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war.

(3) Members of regular armed forces who profess allegiance to a government or an authority not recognized by the Detaining Power.

(4) Persons who accompany the armed forces without actually being members thereof, such as civilian members of military aircraft crews, war correspondents, supply contractors, members of labour units or of services responsible for the welfare of the armed forces, provided that they have received authorization, from the armed forces which they accompany, who shall provide them for that purpose with an identity card similar to the annexed model.

(5) Members of crews, including masters, pilots and apprentices, of the merchant marine and the crews of civil aircraft of the Parties to the conflict, who do not benefit by more favourable treatment under any other provisions of international law.

(6) Inhabitants of a non-occupied territory, who on the approach of the enemy spontaneously take up arms to resist the invading forces, without having had time to form themselves into regular armed units, provided they carry arms openly and respect the laws and customs of war.

B. The following shall likewise be treated as prisoners of war under the present Convention: (1) Persons belonging, or having belonged, to the armed forces of the occupied country, if the occupying Power considers it necessary by reason of such allegiance to intern them, even though it has originally liberated them while hostilities were going on outside the territory it occupies, in particular where such persons have made an unsuccessful attempt to rejoin the armed forces to which they belong and which are engaged in combat, or where they fail to comply with a summons made to them with a view to internment.

(2) The persons belonging to one of the categories enumerated in the present Article, who have been received by neutral or non-belligerent Powers on their territory and whom these Powers are required to intern under international law, without prejudice to any more favourable treatment which these Powers may choose to give and with the exception of Articles 8, 10, 15, 30, fifth paragraph, 58-67, 92, 126 and, where diplomatic relations exist between the Parties to the conflict and the neutral or non-belligerent Power concerned, those Articles concerning the Protecting Power. Where such diplomatic relations exist, the Parties to a conflict on whom these persons depend shall be allowed to perform towards them the functions of a Protecting Power as provided in the present Convention, without prejudice to the functions which these Parties normally exercise in conformity with diplomatic and consular usage and treaties.


You see that for example Article 4 A (6) protects citizens who fight an invading army, even if they don't wear an uniform, provided they carry arms openly and respect the laws and customs of war.

That would be something to be determined. And that's what Article 5 calls for:

Quote:
Art. 5. The present Convention shall apply to the persons referred to in Article 4 from the time they fall into the power of the enemy and until their final release and repatriation.

Should any doubt arise as to whether persons, having committed a belligerent act and having fallen into the hands of the enemy, belong to any of the categories enumerated in Article 4, such persons shall enjoy the protection of the present Convention until such time as their status has been determined by a competent tribunal.


That doesn't mean that those people cannot be held to account once their status has been determined by a competent tribunal. Likewise, your laws don't exclude the death penalty for someone who has been found guilty.
Nevertheless, your system calls for a due process. And that's what the Geneva Conventions do re armed conflict.

I frankly don't understand your problem with that, Foxy.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 09:43 am
OE writes
Quote:
I frankly don't understand your problem with that, Foxy.


I don't have any problem with it in conventional war against conventional enemies. In this case the GC is great and though I don't pretend to have studied it in depth, I appreciate its intent.

But again, we are dealing with terrorists who play by no rules but their own and who think the GC or any other humanitarian rules or any offers of compromise or peace to be signs of weakness that they can exploit. I don't think a scholarly discussion of the GC is particularly useful in this scenario.

As for who should judge in the matter of war crimes involving conflicts with terrorists, I think it should be people who understand that about terrorists. Most of the members of the UN do not seem to understand that about terrorists.

It is this part of the equation that most interests me, especially on this thread. Perhaps a separate thread just to discuss the content and application of the GC would be the way to go if you want the discussion limited to that alone. And I do think that would be a useful and informative discussion to have.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Nov, 2006 10:23 am
Quote:
Most of the members of the UN do not seem to understand that about terrorists.


Most of the UN members have been living terrorist a lot longer than we have.

What does the UN have to do with abiding by the Geneva Conventions if you signed them? Israel signed it, they don't abide by it, its that simple.

As OE has pointed out, the Geneva Convention addresses non combatants. The only reservation that I can gather on the GC which Israel signed is something about using the Red Seal of David. Nothing about any different treatment for terrorist.

Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949. Israel
0 Replies
 
 

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