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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:32 am
kw

Yes, there's a sense to the idea that differentiation between Sharpton and Obama would have a positive ring to lots of folks. Mainly white folks, I suspect. But I think it unlikely that Sharpton would purposefully place himself in such a stage-managed position.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:36 am
My own take on this situation is that Sharpton wants more special treatment from Obama than he's been getting. Hillary, for example, has been very clear that she wants Sharpton's support. Obama's line has been well, I don't expect all black people to vote for me, and I certainly don't expect them to vote for me just because I'm black -- I expect to earn their votes just like anyone else's.

He doesn't seem to care too much if he does or doesn't have Sharpton's endorsement. I think that Sharpton is overall impressed by Obama, but wants Obama to make more overtures before giving him any endorsement, and I think he's a little provoked that Obama doesn't seem to care that much.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:36 am
Lash wrote:
Witness the great mind of Democrat politics fold into oblivion

Blatham = the great mind of Democrat politics?
The great mind of Democrat politics = Blatham?

Sillyness.
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:37 am
blatham wrote:
But what was that ****? Perhaps it was a complimentary obscenity.

My ex-wife, up until a few months ago, had been volunteering over the last three years helping first responders who had developed various maladies from their time at ground zero. I met quite a few of them when I'd pop in to visit. Wonderful guys, the sort upon whose backs the world turns in its daily course. I don't have any understanding of the decisions made in this matter you allude to. I don't like Rudy merely on the basis that you like him.

I realize you make most of your political "decisions" in that way. Watch for the hobgoblins.
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Lash
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:40 am
Nimh-

Lash wrote:
Do you remember the unsafe environment at Ground Zero--and how firefighters were becoming quite ill working there??--K-9 Unit dogs were dying...

Rudy did the right thing getting them out of there. To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.

You popped in quickly enough to criticize.

How about this?
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:43 am
Lash wrote:


Quote:
His strategy is to convince Republican primary voters that they agree on most other conservative principles and that his proven leadership ability supersedes his left-leaning views on abortion, gays and guns.

So far, it appears to be working.

Giuliani's lead in national popularity polls has widened considerably over his chief GOP rival, Sen. John McCain (news, bio, voting record) of Arizona, in recent weeks as the ex-mayor started campaigning in earnest. Early polling typically reflects name recognition, and Giuliani became a celebrity in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

The question is whether Giuliani can maintain his support in spite of his pro-choice, pro-gay rights and pro-gun control positions when he faces a Republican primary electorate heavily made up of conservatives who oppose such views.

"He's not going to collapse because some Republicans don't agree with him on social issues," said Frank Luntz, a Republican who is unaligned in this race but was Giuliani's pollster years ago. "What he represents trumps those issues."

Not so, say some conservatives.

"A Republican Party led by Rudy Giuliani would be a party of contempt for the pro-life position," the editors of the National Catholic Register said recently about the Roman Catholic candidate. "The bottom line: Republicans have made inroads into the Catholic vote for years because of the pro-life issue. If they put a pro-abortion politician up for president, the gains they've built for decades will vanish overnight."


Quote:
On abortion, Giuliani supports abortion rights. In 1989, he declared: "There must be public funding for abortion for poor women." Last month, he said: "I believe in a woman's right to choose."

Despite such pronouncements, Giuliani has been courting the right and signaling how he would govern on the issue by saying he would name conservative judges to the federal bench who would "strictly interpret" the Constitution in the mold of Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito.

He also emphasizes his support for banning what critics call partial-birth abortion as long as it has an exception when the mother's life is at stake, and his backing of parental notification laws as long as there is an exception allowing a minor to petition a judge for permission to get an abortion without telling her parents.

On gay rights, Giuliani backs benefits for same-sex couples and says "gays should be protected." In 1997, he signed a bill creating domestic-partnership benefits in New York City. "We should be tolerant, fair, open and we should understand the rights that all people have in our society," he said recently.

While campaigning, Giuliani has been careful to declare his opposition to gay marriage, saying: "Marriage should be between a man and a woman. It should remain that way."

However, he says, at this point, he doesn't see the need for a federal constitutional amendment defining marriage that way, a stance that no doubt irks conservatives pushing for it.

On gun control
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:45 am
Lash wrote:
Nimh-

Lash wrote:
Do you remember the unsafe environment at Ground Zero--and how firefighters were becoming quite ill working there??--K-9 Unit dogs were dying...

Rudy did the right thing getting them out of there. To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.

You popped in quickly enough to criticize.

How about this?
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 11:47 am
blatham wrote:
But I think it unlikely that Sharpton would purposefully place himself in such a stage-managed position.


You might underestimate the unpopularity of Republican adminstrations in the black community. And what a legit chance at a black president would mean.

I talked to a black landlord who retired with over a couple of million dollars. He was an engineer in his working career. Middle seventies.

When I pointed out that Colin Powell was fourth on the list of succession to the presidency, he said that such a thing would be beyond any dream he ever had. The shock was visible. And this guy was a college graduate multimillionaire.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 12:26 pm
Lash wrote:
You popped in quickly enough to criticize.

How about this?

Umm, shock news, I havent followed the thread post by post, and responded only to what I saw now that I did pop back in.

I'm a horrible person, I know.

But since you ask:

Lash wrote:
Do you remember the unsafe environment at Ground Zero--and how firefighters were becoming quite ill working there??--K-9 Unit dogs were dying...

Rudy did the right thing getting them out of there.

Thats an argument you can make. It's an argument one can disagree with, but there's nothing indefensible about it - it's a reasonable argument to bring up.

One thing I'd question about this argument is that it submits that the efforts to recover bodies had to be suspended for the sake of the firefighters - which seems an odd line of argument to take considering it was those very firefighters who were protesting the suspension.

I dont know when I'd suspend the efforts myself, if I were the mayor - it all depends on the details of what "quite ill" is, how many people, etc. Weighing the risk of endangering the firefighters doing the rescue work against the virtue of rescuing the remains of the firefighters who died in the line of duty on 9/11.

I'd certainly give prime importance to what the firefighters themselves had to say about it.

Lash wrote:
To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.

Huh? OK, so here's the weird jump in logic I dont get. Because in your view the suspension was justified, it is now "as low as it gets" for the firefighters to keep protesting about it?

Granted - you have a defendable argument for suspending the recovery efforts there. But it's hardly a be-all and end-all thing, considering the questions one can raise about it. So I suppose you'd agree that there are also defendable arguments against the suspension. Many of the firefighters whose fate you use to argue for suspension, for one, themselves were against it. So what you have here is an honest disagreement.

These firefighters disagreed with the argument you bring up. They thought the recovery should have been continued. They are angry: it's their colleagues' bodies who were carted off to the garbage, the bodies of people who laid down their lives on 9/11. So they have protested, and will keep on telling anyone who cares to listen that they think Giuliani was wrong on this. That's "as low as it gets"?

-----------------

And then the broader question, here.

If the man stands for Presidency, the most powerful office in the world, would you not want to hear everything that the people who actually experienced him as their mayor have to say about him?

The people of New York know what he was like as their mayor. Now that the rest of the American people have to review his credentials as possible President, of course they are going to tell them what they think of the man. And I'd hope that those other Americans will be asking New Yorkers what they think of the man.

Well, what the unionised firefighters think of the man is that he prematurely had the bodies of their colleagues, heroes of 9/11, shoved onto the garbage, and they've been very angry about that. And yes, if you are readying yourself to now vote for the man as President, they do want you to know. Is that a low thing, even the lowest of the low?

I'd say that rather than calling it a scandal that they're telling you, you (the collective you, "the American people") should want to hear - just like you should want to hear the complaints and compliments of any group or people who actually experienced the man you are considering voting for President as their mayor.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 12:27 pm
kw, There will always be a small(er) minority of blacks who will support republican candidates. That's not anything we can deem as a surprise; it's universal to all "minority" and other groups who benefit or not from their votes.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 12:41 pm
Lash wrote:
Lash wrote:
Nimh-

Lash wrote:
Do you remember the unsafe environment at Ground Zero--and how firefighters were becoming quite ill working there??--K-9 Unit dogs were dying...

Rudy did the right thing getting them out of there. To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.

You popped in quickly enough to criticize.

How about this?

God, I hadnt even noticed that you reposted this. Five minutes after you first posted it. Two minutes after I submitted the post that I was writing while you were first posting your reminder - ie: two minutes after I actually saw your first reminder. Dude. Really.
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 01:28 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
kw, There will always be a small(er) minority of blacks who will support republican candidates. That's not anything we can deem as a surprise; it's universal to all "minority" and other groups who benefit or not from their votes.


Well yes, there always is. But for Republicans, it seems to vary between 6% and 13% or so. Though they might say otherwise, Republican candidates don't spend a lot of time worrying about the black vote.

If Obama runs, I don't see him getting less than 89 or 90 percent of the black vote, especially considering the unpopularity of the Bush administration among blacks. I think the big race issue is not so much how much blacks will like Obama, as how to whites view him-will he be viewed as giving "too much" to blacks, because that is his "base", or will he be viewed as a young, bright man who has good, fresh ideas for the future for everybody? That is the image Obama wants, and having Sharpton publicly mad at him is not exactly gonna hurt.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 01:39 pm
What do you mean by "runs"? Primaries, or general election?

I agree that in a general election -- Obama the Democrat vs. Blank the Republican -- Obama is likely to do very well amongst black voters. But he has to get there first, and he's not getting anywhere near that percentage of black voters when competing against Hillary and Edwards.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 01:57 pm
I think Obama is getting enough black support to worry Hillary a lot. And I think Al Gore has cornered the Hollywood adulations which also worries Hillary a lot. These are two major Democrat voting blocks.

I think if the media attention keeps up, Edwards is going to join Joe Biden in claiming to be the father of Anna Nicole's baby just to get some face time in the press. (Note to the humor challenged--that goes back to a joke in a cartoon posted on the Bush supporters thread.)

Meanwhile, the media can only keep up with so much stuff and I think the GOP might be benefitting from not being every day front page news. The only one getting steady coverage right now is McCain and it feels like most of that has been negative.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 02:00 pm
Quote:
The only one getting steady coverage right now is McCain and it feels like most of that has been negative.


It's not negative, though.

Unless information is being revealed which shows that McCain is not going to be electable, then all mentions of him are considered good news.

This far out, the candidates are working on name rec. and getting folks used to the idea that they are running. McCain isn't coming out swinging or anything, not yet. It would be a major mistake to assume that Guiliani has him beat already, imho.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 13 Mar, 2007 03:10 pm
nimh wrote:
Lash wrote:
Witness the great mind of Democrat politics fold into oblivion

Blatham = the great mind of Democrat politics?
The great mind of Democrat politics = Blatham?

Sillyness.


Not so quick now, nimh. There's Hamlet's injunction to Horatio to bear in mind.
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 14 Mar, 2007 05:42 pm
Lash wrote:
To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.


and he's using 9-11 for .... ?

Quote:
Giuliani's actions in the wake of 9/11 provide the basis of the slogan used by his campaign exploratory committee, "Proven Leadership."
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Mar, 2007 07:06 am
Giuliani law firm has ties to Chavez

Quote:
Rudolph W. Giuliani's law firm has lobbied for years on behalf of an oil company controlled by the Venezuelan president, Hugo Chavez, a strident critic of President Bush and American-style capitalism.

Bracewell & Giuliani, the Houston-based firm that Giuliani, the former mayor of New York, joined as a name partner two years ago, handles lobbying in the Texas statehouse for Citgo Petroleum Corp. of Houston. Citgo is the American subsidiary of Petroleos de Venezuela, the state-owned oil company that Chavez controls.

Giuliani's duties at his law firm do not include lobbying. But the financial relationship with a company affiliated with one of the most outspoken critics of the United States potentially exposes Giuliani to new scrutiny as he campaigns to become the Republican nominee for president.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Thu 15 Mar, 2007 07:14 am
"Get started today and fill out your bracket to be eligible to win a McCain 2008 fleece, hat or pin for your prognostication prowess."

Quote:
-- Sen. John McCain's campaign website.

"Gambling on amateur athletics is wrong."

-- McCain, in a statement introducing legislation in May 2003 to ban gambling on amateur sports.


So will we see any flip flops if he is the contender for republicans?
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Fri 16 Mar, 2007 10:44 am
ehBeth wrote:
Lash wrote:
To use it against him for political expediency is about as low as it gets.


and he's using 9-11 for .... ?

Quote:
Giuliani's actions in the wake of 9/11 provide the basis of the slogan used by his campaign exploratory committee, "Proven Leadership."

One is evidence of performance in a catastrophic situation.

The other is a lie.

If there had been some nefarious reason he stopped the recovery, it would be applicable.
0 Replies
 
 

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