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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:03 pm
okie wrote:
Finn dAbuzz, I have listened to these candidates very closely throughout this process and I highly disagree about your character judgement. I think he has you fooled, as he has done lots of people with his "straight talk". McCain has irritated me numerous times, and basically he strikes me as an arrogant man. Granted, I don't know him personally, so some of this is personal impression, and I could be wrong. However,I am convinced he will tell us what we want to hear and then he will do whatever he pleases in regard to a few things, such as campaign finance, immigration, the environment, energy, etc.

Well do know him - we were in the same airwing in the Navy, and we spent some time together soon after he entered the Congress. He does have a strong character (in the sense of one who is confident of his own judgements), and can be a bit testy and irritable. He has already shown himself to be willing to take on unpopular issues and publically disagree with some of the leaders of his party. Doesn't sound like a guy who will just tell them what they want to hear.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:19 pm
well I see George ob, i see you don't listen to Rush who has the straight skinny on McCain who is no doubt a liberal socialist/communist anti-conservative who okie would rather vote against rather than seeing america fall down in flames rather than be governed by Hillary or Obama.
Personally I would rather see MCCain win then see america destroyed but then, I'm a liberal.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:37 pm
Dys,
I don't listen to Rush at all. (I did a few times six or more years ago -- I found all that banging on the table or whatever he was doing fairly annoying. His mockery of liberals was generally amusing, but once you've heard it a few times ....) Haven't gone back since. (That BTW dives Blatham crazy.)
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Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:50 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
I support McCain over Romney for what I believe are two important reasons:

1) I think he has more character and political courage than Romney. Romney is, by all accounts, a very decent man and not only would I be fine with him being president, I support some of his positions over those of McCain, but he has never demonstrated the willingness to advance an idea he thought was best for the American people, even if by doing so he sustained political attacks and harm. In fact he did the opposite. I suppose his various conversions on key issues could be genuine, but he is a politician running for the most powerful office in the world. I'm afraid I'm just not going to give him the benefit of the doubt on his sincerity, when there is another candidate out there who, while by no means perfect, has demonstrated an ability and willingness to stand up for what he believes is right.

2) He has a chance to beat Obama or Clinton and Romney does not.

If you don't find him to be a better choice than Romney, by all means support Romney, Huckabee, Paul or a write-in. If you don't like any of the Republican candidates and don't wish to participate in the primary, then by all means don't. We can all agree however than the nominee will be either Romney or McCain. No one else has even a remote chance.

Both Romney or McCain will make better presidents than Clinton or Obama, and you only need to describe yourself as conservative for me to know that you are aware that this is true.

Knowing this, and knowing that this is going to be a close race whomever are the nominees, a decision to stay home and not vote for McCain, aside from expressing nothing more than petulance, will be a vote for Obama or Clinton.

I certainly hope that the whatever bad blood exists between Clinton and Obama and by extension Clinton Supporters and Obama Supporters lasts through the convention and into the general election. Clintonistas who will sit home rather than vote for Obama, and Obamaniacs who will prefer not to vote than vote for Clinton will, in effect, be voting for the Republican candidate.

You can be sure that Democratic strategists and supporters are hoping that you and people who think like you will stay home rather than cast a vote for McCain, because they know those are votes for their candidate. You will be doing precisely what they hope you do.

I certainly don't expect you and others who have serious concerns about McCain to flip a switch after the convention and become enthusiastic supporters. That would be nice, but not necessary, but I do expect you and people like you who believe that conservative values and positions offer the best future for Americans, and that the professed policies and positions of Clinton and Obama would be detrimental to the nation, to mutter a few choice swear words, hold your nose and vote for McCain.

He has an 81% rating as a conservative legislator. I have no doubt that somewhere in the 19 percentage points he didn't get are issues that you think are important. Understood, but there is no candidate who is running or who can win in November that gets a 100% rating. I wonder what Clinton's and Obama's conservative ratings are.

I think you misread what I wrote about what refusing to vote for McCain in the general election means for conservatives.

If you stay home and don't vote for McCain or, worse yet, vote for Obama or Clinton because you want McCain to lose, then I would say you are being petty and foolish and I will not apologize for that opinion.

If you stay home and don't vote for McCain or, worse yet, vote for Clinton or Obama because you want a Democrat to win, on the theory that they will run the country into the ground and set the stage for that 100% conservative candidate in 2012, then I will contend you are not a patriot and will not apologize for that opinion either.

The people who fall into the second category of McCain-Haters are not ideological purists they are self-absorbed charlatans. They are raising the possibility of this sort of perverted action to stir up controversy and improve their marketability - it's not a coincidence that this is only coming from Radio and TV pundits who like to feel they are the personifications of true conservatism.

The fact is that if McCain is elected president, the party will turn to the center, and hard conservatives will lose some of their power and influence. We can argue all day about whether or not this is a good thing, but don't kid yourself into thinking these people care about the purity of conservative ideals. It is the preservation of power and influence with which they are concerned.

I am not about to help the Democrats take control of the government when I truly believe they will screw things up in the next four years, just so I can see a 100% conservative positioned to occupy the oval office four or eight years from now. Especially not when I can get a 81% conservative whom I personally admire in there in 2009.

You make whatever decision you feel is right, but I do not disavow any of the opinions I've expressed here.


Great post, Finn.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:52 pm
Okay, I'm headed to the McCain party now ... look for me on the TV. Very Happy
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Brand X
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:52 pm
Delegates

McCain 181
Romney 93
Huckabee 79
Uncommited 23
Paul 4
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:03 pm
okie wrote:
Finn dAbuzz, I have listened to these candidates very closely throughout this process and I highly disagree about your character judgement. I think he has you fooled, as he has done lots of people with his "straight talk". McCain has irritated me numerous times, and basically he strikes me as an arrogant man. Granted, I don't know him personally, so some of this is personal impression, and I could be wrong. I am convinced he will tell us what we want to hear and then he will do whatever he pleases in regard to a few things, such as campaign finance, immigration, the environment, energy, etc. I also do not trust him to make foreign policy decisions. I know this is rather different than many conservatives here on this forum, but he basically has the wrong solutions to the problems we have. Romney strikes me as far more intelligent and better understands the problems plus the correct solutions. I think McCain will continue to sell us down the river on lots of issues, although probably not as many as the Democrats would.

I will likely end up voting for McCain if he is nominated, but I would never select a nominee based on what their percieved chances are in the general, as that is simply too far into the future to accurately know for sure.

I hope you are right about McCain. I remain very unconvinced. Regardless of his ratings, he has been dead wrong on some important ones. And his conduct in the primaries was not the best in my opinion, but this is what I have come to expect out of McCain, and it is a big reason why I find it very difficult to support him. And I am also disppointed in Huckabee, I thought he was better than he turned out to be. Thompson, an admirable man, but got no traction. Even Ron Paul, I came to appreciate the guy's honesty and conduct, but he simply is too far wrong on a couple of issues.


okie

I respect your opinions, and most often agree with them, but I think you're wrong about John McCain. I don't think your feelings about him are outrageous, just inaccurate.

Just to be clear, I'm not suggesting you should refrain from criticizing McCain, and I'm not suggesting that you need to suck it up, shut up and throw your enthusiastic support behind him if he becomes the nominee.

What I am suggesting is that unless you believe he will make a worse president than Obama or Clinton, it is sensible to grit your teeth and vote for him in the general election, if he is the only Republican choice.

Easy for me to say now because Huckabee will not be the nominee, but I have about as much use for him as you have for McCain, and if he were to win the nomination I would take my own suggestion and two pepcids and throw the lever next to his name.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:09 pm
I would vote for either Clinton or Obama over Huckabee.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:27 pm
Crossposted from the Polls thread:

In the South, McCain underperforms, Huckabee overperforms

Going on the preliminary exit polls as they are online now, and comparing them with the average numbers for the polling done in the past five days, we see Huckabee clearly outdoing expectations, and McCain not quite living up to them:


Code:
GEORGIA

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 31 30 28

EXIT POLLS NOW 30 31 33

DIFFERENCE -1 +1 +5




MISSOURI

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 34 25 28

EXIT POLLS NOW 33 29 27

DIFFERENCE -1 +4 -1




TENNESSEE

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 33 22 29

EXIT POLLS NOW 29 24 34

DIFFERENCE -4 +2 +5



ALABAMA

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 36 19 34

EXIT POLLS NOW 32 18 43

DIFFERENCE -4 -1 +9

0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:29 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:

okie

I respect your opinions, and most often agree with them, but I think you're wrong about John McCain. I don't think your feelings about him are outrageous, just inaccurate.

Just to be clear, I'm not suggesting you should refrain from criticizing McCain, and I'm not suggesting that you need to suck it up, shut up and throw your enthusiastic support behind him if he becomes the nominee.

What I am suggesting is that unless you believe he will make a worse president than Obama or Clinton, it is sensible to grit your teeth and vote for him in the general election, if he is the only Republican choice.

Easy for me to say now because Huckabee will not be the nominee, but I have about as much use for him as you have for McCain, and if he were to win the nomination I would take my own suggestion and two pepcids and throw the lever next to his name.

Thanks for the input. I am willing to give the man a little slack, and thanks also, george, for your opinion. The party may end up plenty sorry if he ends up winning, but oh well, I will take a step back and re-evaluate everything here. McCain has wanted to win awfully bad for a very long time, so we will just have to see what the guy is really made of.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:32 pm
nimh, wouldn't that be hilarious if McCain realizes he should have never given those delegates to Huckabee in West Virginia. I doubt Huckabee wins enough to cause that scenario, but he is certainly doing much better than expected. Could McCain fatique be setting in?
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 08:55 pm
Crosspost from the Polls etc thread:

In the Northeast, Romney overperforms - except in his home state

Again, going on the preliminary exit polls as they are online now, and comparing them with the average numbers for the polling done in the past five days, we see a different picture in the Republican race in the Northeast than in the South -- here, it's Romney who overperforms in NY and NJ, even as actual victory was of course far beyond his reach, but he underperformed in the state he did win, his home state Massachusetts.

Code:
NEW YORK

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 52 23 8

EXIT POLLS NOW 47 34 10

DIFFERENCE -5 +11 +2



NEW JERSEY

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 53 26 7

EXIT POLLS NOW 51 31 9

DIFFERENCE -2 +5 +2



MASSACHUSETTS

MCCAIN ROMNEY HUCKABEE

POLLING LAST FEW DAYS 36 58 3

EXIT POLLS NOW 37 52 5

DIFFERENCE +1 -6 +2

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okie
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 09:00 pm
McCain campaigned hard in Massachusetts, sort of like poking a stick in Romney's eye. I'm not sure why, because I don't think he had a chance, but thats McCain for you. He claimed he would win, which was a crock. Politics is a blood sport.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 09:14 pm
I see the networks project Romney to win Utah. Now that is really going out on a limb, ha. He better win that one or he is toast for sure.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 09:24 pm
I was beginning to think Romney was almost toast, but now I see he might win Minnesota, I wasn't aware of that one, perhaps Montana, maybe Colorado, Utah of course, but he must win California. With Huckabee surprising McCain in some southern states, this is still a legitimate 3 man race. What do you think, nimh. McCain is doing well, but perhaps not mopping up?

Add North Dakota and of course Massachusetts for Romney. Looks like Huckabee may take Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, and West Virginia, which detracts from what McCain could have won. Huckabee expected to win Arkansas, but was he anywhere else, I'm not sure?

Is it too early to say the results spell trouble for McCain? He is losing alot of southern states he hoped to win. Maybe the pundits were wrong, by staying in the race, Huckabee is costing McCain more than Romney?
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Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:04 am
I think McCain's doing just fine, Okie.

I just came back from an election party for the man whom I believe will be the next President of the US. If you were watching Fox News, I was the dude in the pinstripe suit and power tie right behind Carl Cameron's nose, holding the kid, and waving a little American flag.
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nappyheadedhohoho
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:10 am
I'll be voting for McCain, too.

Any 'druthers on who you'd like to see him face in the general?
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Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Feb, 2008 12:21 am
nappyheadedhohoho wrote:
I'll be voting for McCain, too.

Any 'druthers on who you'd like to see him face in the general?


I'm torn.

I think he's got a better chance of beating Hillary, so on that note I'd like for Obama to lose .....

.... but the thought of Hillary possibly winning the general election is just too much for me to bear, and thus I think the weight swings in Obama's direction.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Feb, 2008 01:26 am
Ticomaya wrote:
I was the dude in the pinstripe suit and power tie right behind Carl Cameron's nose, holding the kid, and waving a little American flag.

Funny, thats exactly how I've always imagined you (well, without the kid).
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Feb, 2008 02:07 am
Quote:
States Obama won with (so far) more than 60% of the vote:

Colorado
Georgia
Idaho (over 70%)
Illinois
Kansas (over 70%)
Minnesota
North Dakota

States Clinton won with (so far) more than 60% of the vote:

Arkansas


Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
 

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