OCCOM BILL wrote:This race is Giuliani's to lose.
I used to think, even just a few weeks ago, that Giuliani would be the most fearsome opponent the Republicans could put up. He'd be the worst President of the lot (from among those still standing), and that's saying something - but he'd be the most formidable campaigner of them.
Luckily, as Okie and I were discussing earlier, he seems to be dead in the water by now - which is no end of a relief. See
this post of mine, purely on the horserace logic of it; and that was when he was still heading for fourth in Iowa. Now it seems he might be heading for fifth, while not just coming third in New Hampshire, but third at a great distance or even fourth. If he then gets third places at best in Michigan and South Carolina as now seems likely, I dont see how he survives much beyond that. See also Okie's post at the top of the next page for a more content-oriented take.