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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Dec, 2007 07:49 pm
I don't think Huckabee is stupid at all. Rather he (like his antecedant Bill Clinton) is merely a seller of deceptive goods, which in Clinton's case were refined a bit by an establishment education. I agree though that he would make as bad a President as Jimmy Carter - albeit in a different political direction.

Easy to tag Guiliani with the corruption bit, however he did a very good job as U.S. Attorney in NY, and whether you like him or not, was a hellufalot better as mayor than his predecessor, Dinkins, who was both seriously corrupt and inept. I think cicerone's point about NY politics is valid - Schumer and Hillary (and now Elliot Spitzer) are just as much a part of it as Guiliani.

The electorate does seem to have ignored Mccain as Dys noted, however I believe that is unfortunate. He is (in my view) a better candidate than any of the others.

I too don't think much of Mormonism, however, I do not believe that is a useful criterion against which to judge Romney's potential merit as President - any more than if he was a Baptist, Jew, agnostic, or (sigh) Catholic.
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ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Dec, 2007 08:34 pm
New York Mag's been at it again.

Huckabuchanan

Quote:


Interesting little article.

~~~

and then there's Mr. Giuliani

Rudy Has Seen the Enemy and He Is...Us

Quote:
Lately, as he's fallen behind Mitt Romney in early Republican-primary states, there have been flickers of the autocratic Rudy. That's why the most important lines in Giuliani's TV spots and speeches aren't the ones about crime or welfare, but those about being tested in a crisis. Giuliani wants that phrase to be code for 9/11. And indeed, at the beginning and end of his years as mayor, when the city faced physical peril, Giuliani rose to the occasion. But New York, from all the years in between, knows something else about his character that maybe the rest of the country should notice: If a crisis doesn't present itself, Rudy Giuliani can be counted on to create one.


6 online pages. worth taking a peek
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Dec, 2007 08:49 pm
ehBeth, The statement: "If a crisis doesn't present itself, Rudy Giuliani can be counted on to create one" should be a warning to Americans. I just wonder how many running for president has that potential? I can't name any now, but who really knows?
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ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Dec, 2007 09:47 pm
It doesn't entirely fit into this thread, but

Because After the Years We've Spent on the Margins of American Politics, New York Could Actually Hit the 2008 Election Trifecta

Quote:


Kurt Anderson at his most, mmm, amusing.

<snip>

Quote:


<snip>

Quote:


Quote:


<full>

Quote:


and more

~~~
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ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Dec, 2007 09:48 pm
ehBeth wrote:
<full>


= full page snip
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 02:35 pm
Tancredo drops out and endorses Romney. I don't know if thats good or bad for Romney, as I thought Tancredo is basically a good guy but I thought he was a little over the edge in regard to a few things. He was a one trick pony, and immigration was all he cared about.

http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/2007/12/20/tom-tancredo-drops-out-of-presidential-race-endorses-mitt-romney/
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 04:44 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
The electorate does seem to have ignored Mccain as Dys noted, however I believe that is unfortunate. He is (in my view) a better candidate than any of the others.

You may be pleased to note a McCain surge of sorts in New Hamsphire - and even perhaps, on a more modest scale, in Iowa (see the post above the one in the link).
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 04:55 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
A prickly sensitivity to criticism in any form is a good way to preserve one's ignorance and illusions

There is something a little ironic in that sentence considering whom it's coming from... and the para that followed..

georgeob1 wrote:
If you are not interested in the subject, but rather would prefer to go on archly berating others who disagree with you merely for your amusement - as opposed to engaging in a dialogue from which all just might benefit - that is, of course, your call.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 05:08 pm
Thomas wrote:
okie wrote:
Somebody please explain to me the love affair for McCain, by "moderates," the press, some Republicans, and many Democrats.

In one sentence, he's a grown-up; this makes him stand out, lets us forgive his errors, and fosters our respect even when we disagree with him.

Just a typical Naval Aviator.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 05:50 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
I'm a bit weary of this debate, replete as it is with non sequitors, evasive restatements, confusion of necessary and sufficient criteria, and artful confusion of various affirmations & negations..

This one is also ironic.

Let's spin the discussion back to this post for a second. The liberal author in the copy/paste noted a specific speciment of idiocy currently prevailing among Republicans:

Quote:
Keep in mind, most of the GOP field, including Rudy Giuliani and John McCain, are on record believing in the Tax Fairy -- tax cuts can pay for themselves with increased revenue. It's transparent nonsense, but it helps explain why the Republican field doesn't even pretend to care about fiscal sanity.

The notion that not just are tax cuts good, they will earn themselves back in increased revenues has practically become a litmus test, which any presidential candidate wanting to win must subscribe to. Giuliani went on record saying only Democrats dont believe in it.

That's a porky, of course, since economists overwhelmingly agree that, at the level of taxes you have in the US these days, this is nonsense. Tax cuts might encourage business activity, but no way do they earn themselves back in increased revenue. Even the National Review's Ramesh Ponnuru admits as much.

George responded to Blatham's copy/paste with one of those broad-brush sketches of the nature of things globally. There are some levels of taxes where the theory would hold true (just not, he omitted to mention, the current ones in the US); and besides, generally tax cutting is good and government spending should be curbed; and therefore, basically - I paraphrase - conservatives good, liberals bad.

Non sequitors, check; evasive restatements of the assertion at hand, check (no, the liberal author's assertion was not that not that "tax cuts don't spur economic development," period); artful confusion of the specific assertion at hand, in which the Republican leaders are universally deemed to be wrong among economists, with some broader, more harmless thematic perspective, check.

I laid out the main straw man George used in this post, but the thread moved on.

This does get my gander up [err, no, thats not the expression - but you know what I mean]. Basically, there is a repeating dynamic here.

On the one hand, you have Blatham, arguing the case that the Republican conservatives of today are fundamentally different - that is to say, more extreme and more detached from the "reality-based community" - than the Republicans/conservatives have traditionally been. Ergo, that there is something specifically pernicious about the current, Bush/post-Bush era crop.

In response, you'll have Georgeob1 arguing that there is nothing new under the sun. Blatham's alarmism is of a somewhat hyperventilating kind, which is primarily explained by the fact that as a liberal, most any real conservative idea will seem alarming to him. In reality, what you have is the same regular conservative/liberal opposition as always, and as such, the conservatives' position is overall the wiser one, much as it always was. There is nothing specifically.. well, specific about the current situation, so rest assured.

This is all fine and dandy and makes for an enjoyable enough to and fro to read, in which I often find myself somewhere in the middle, if leaning more towards Blatham than George. But the proof is in the pudding. Here is a concrete example of something that the Republican frontrunners are practically forced to sign up to, and that goes beyond what standard conservative fare has been. It is arguably evidence for the Republicans having become extremist or fundamentalist, detaching themselves from mainstream economic science.

One could bring other examples: for instance, the way it is considered suicide for a Republican now (ever since "read my lips" and Bush Sr's subsequent defeat, I suppose) to propose or ever have implemented tax hikes. See how Huckabee's slammed for having raised taxes as Governor to pay for roads and the like. Never mind that Ronald Reagan, the ideological patron saint invoked by these conservatives, did much the same thing as Governor. He followed major tax cuts with partial tax increases as President as well, when proposing the equivalent now would be political suicide for a Republican. But the illustration for Blatham's case that the Republicans are specifically nuttier now, which George apparead to duck, was the belief in the self-financing tax cut.

The embrace of the idea that implementing tax cuts - in this era, in America - simply pays for itself in increased revenues is not just a technical detail; there's a reason why those politicians are pushing it so hard. It implies that tax cuts are not just good as a question of principle, no matter what spending cuts they might necessitate - as George would typically argue - but that they don't even actually constitute any kind of such trade-off dilemma in the first place, because you can have it both: tax cuts AND increased revenues. As a result, the embrace of this bogus idea has played a key role in creating what the author of that original copy/paste called the current "fiscal insanity" of the Republicans.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Dec, 2007 06:22 pm
The reason tax cuts has universal appeal is the simple fact that people look at their own situation of deeper debt, no real pay increases, loss of health insurance, and BINGO, tax cuts sounds great!

It doesn't matter that the tax cuts promises of more tax revenue hasn't decreased the federal deficit or their spending habits. It hasn't produced more jobs, and our country has lost over two million factory jobs to boot.

Many countries with higher tax rates are economically more stable, and they also provide universal health care. Their currency is gaining value against the US dollar, and conservatives have the chutzpa to talk about more tax cuts while our government mortgages our children's future.

Doesn't make much sense, but then, politics rarely does.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 07:40 am
As I've been detailing, the washington republican establishment fears and loathes the rise of Huckabee. Here's Ann Coulter's latest column (on appearances on Fox, she's been savaging him and repeating that 1) he's stupid, 2) he's not a real evangelical
Quote:
...this week's column will address the urgent matter of evangelical Christians getting blamed for Mike Huckabee.

To paraphrase the Jews, this is "bad for the evangelicals."

As far as I can tell, it's mostly secular liberals swooning over Huckabee. Liberals adore Huckabee because he fits their image of what an evangelical should be: stupid and easily led...
[snip]
I guess Huckabee is one of those pro-sodomy, pro-gay marriage, pro-evolution evangelical Christians.

No wonder Huckabee is the evangelical liberals like.
http://www.anncoulter.com/

In the [snip], Coulter does her poison-pen thing with the obvious hope of diminishing Huckabee's standing with her readership in the religious right community. The sentence in red is less interesting in how it typifies Coulter's disregard for veracity. It is more interesting precisely because the opposite is the case, it is the evangelical community who are driving Huckabee's surge.

It's an interesting phenomenon where Coulter (last book was "Godless" and who, rather oddly, seems to consider herself a humdinger Christian and soldier against secularism) has the knife out for a Baptist minister of the Huckabee sort.

E.J. Dionne has some thoughts...
Quote:
The rise of Mike Huckabee has put the fear of God into the Republican establishment. Its alarm has nothing to do with the Almighty.

The Huckabee surge represents a break with what has been standard operating procedure within the GOP for more than a generation. Huckabee's evangelical Christian army in Iowa ignored the importuning of entrenched leaders of the religious right and decided to go with one of their own.

Huckabee himself preaches a gospel of populism that rejects conservative orthodoxy on trade, the value of government and the beneficence of Wall Street.

Huckabee is no William Jennings Bryan, the great fundamentalist scourge of big business a century ago. But Bryan would have appreciated Huckabee's attack on politics as a mere extension of economics. "If it was all about the money," Huckabee said recently, "then we might as well put the presidency up on eBay."

The former Arkansas governor has exposed a fault line within the Republican coalition. The old religious right is dying because it subordinated the views of its followers to short-term political calculations. The white evangelical electorate is tired of taking orders from politicians who care more about protecting the wealthy than ending abortion, more about deregulation than family values.

That's why Washington-focused religious operatives tied to old GOP strategies are being outdone by new leaders with authentic grass-roots followings -- people such as Michael Farris, who chairs the Home School Legal Defense Association and supports Huckabee...

Huckabee, said Keene, a Romney supporter, "is not a conservative who is an evangelical; he's an evangelical populist. It's not the evangelical part that conservatives worry about. It's the populism. It's his economic views."

National Review -- the canonical publication of the conservative movement -- endorsed Romney last week in an editorial that was candid about the dangers facing the conservative coalition.

Giuliani and Huckabee, the magazine's editors argued, "would pull apart the coalition from opposite ends: Giuliani alienating the social conservatives, and Huckabee the economic (and foreign-policy) conservatives. A Republican Party that abandoned either limited government or moral standards would be much diminished in the service it could give the country."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/12/20/AR2007122001867.html?hpid=opinionsbox1

Republican dominance has depended on the coalition/cooperation of those interest groups we all know. Coulter, Kristol, Robertson, Norquist, Ailes, etc etc all understand that the wealth, priviledge and power they have managed to parasitically suck up over the last decades is in danger from a daunting number of directions but primarily it arises from (here's the authoritarian mind at work) the traitorism of being different, of commiting impure ideology.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 07:46 am
How about 'populist' Rush Limbaugh? Here's a bit from him...
Quote:
Selwyn Duke today writing in the AmericanThinker.com: "'The Huckabee Hustle' -- When evangelicals embraced Jimmy Carter during the 1976 presidential campaign, they didn't know he would repudiate the Southern Baptist Convention a generation later. Today the very same constituency has glommed onto Mike Huckabee, and I can't help but lament how history truly does repeat itself. One can see why [Mike Huckabee] would appeal to evangelicals. He's a pro-life Southern Baptist minister with charm, wit and a good-ol'-boy, yuck-it-up style. Yet this resplendent exterior only serves to obscure the stain of liberal sin. Huck would be a disaster -- a disaster -- on immigration.
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_121807/content/01125111.guest.html
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 10:04 am
This must be a first, blatham getting news from Rush. Congratulations, blatham, you are making progress.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 12:27 pm
Looks like Huckabee is gonna be a contender in the next election. Worth keeping an eye on him.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 12:28 pm
okie prediction: Huckabee's star could fall just as fast as it rose.
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sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 12:29 pm
I would so love it if Huckabee became the Republican nominee. Possible that I'd eat my words, but from what I know of him there is just no way he could possibly win a general election. Guy's an amiable kook, but a kook nonetheless.

(Then again there's always the spectre of the amiable slash malevolent kook who's been in the White House for the past 8 years... so who knows. Huckabee seems to actually be several degrees kookier though.)
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sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 12:30 pm
I tend to agree with okie there. I think Huckabee is more an idea than reality now, and I think when reality catches up he won't last long.
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Lash
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 12:52 pm
I don't think Huckabee will enjoy this blip for long.
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OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Fri 21 Dec, 2007 02:29 pm
Huckabee is a dead end. Proper use of the righteously pissed off Lois Davidson should be more than sufficient to torpedo his campaign, if need be. I doubt the Republicans will nominate him knowing full well that magic bullet is pointed at his head. More likely; they'll fire it themselves.
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