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A first(?) thread on 2008: McCain,Giuliani & the Republicans

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:11 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
blatham wrote:


This is a great example of why I say: it isn't enough to point at Romney's success in business and say 'he's a good leader.' What matters is not only the dollar amounts, but the ethics involved.

Cycloptichorn


There is no ethical violation involved at all here. The transactions were perfectly legal and the tax avoidance motive is something in which everyone who has taken out a home mortgage, mortgage line of credit, student loan, or invested in tax free municipal bonds has shared. He was in the business of managing capital in an international marketplace and this was merely a device to compete in that marketplace - the capital in question wasn't going to be invested by its owners in an entity subject to U.S. tax in any event.

CALPERS the financial entity into which employees of the employees of the state (and the University) make payroll contributions for their retirement and which later pays them remarkably generous pension incomes, has substantial investments in such funds. I have not observed many of the academic types objecting to these payments.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:12 pm
cyclops, I think you are wrong. I think a bureaucrat just doesn't want to submit to economizing because it hinders his or her style. And I would love to see schools subject to the forces of the market, such as what the parents actually want for their children instead of what bureaucrats want. The education system is failing us, and it needs drastic reform, to better meet what is needed, not some bureaucrat's vision of it.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:15 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
blatham wrote:


This is a great example of why I say: it isn't enough to point at Romney's success in business and say 'he's a good leader.' What matters is not only the dollar amounts, but the ethics involved.

Cycloptichorn


There is no ethical violation involved at all here. The transactions were perfectly legal and the tax avoidance motive is something in which everyone who has taken out a home mortgage, mortgage line of credit, student loan, or invested in tax free municipal bonds has shared. He was in the business of managing capital in an international marketplace and this was merely a device to compete in that marketplace - the capital in question wasn't going to be invested by its owners in an entity subject to U.S. tax in any event.

CALPERS the financial entity into which employees of the employees of the state (and the University) make payroll contributions for their retirement and which later pays them remarkably generous pension incomes, has substantial investments in such funds. I have not observed many of the academic types objecting to these payments.


I suppose there's no ethical violation if you believe it's ethical to use loopholes to avoid paying taxes. I happen to disagree with this position.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:18 pm
okie wrote:
cyclops, I think you are wrong. I think a bureaucrat just doesn't want to submit to economizing because it hinders his or her style. And I would love to see schools subject to the forces of the market, such as what the parents actually want for their children instead of what bureaucrats want. The education system is failing us, and it needs drastic reform, to better meet what is needed, not some bureaucrat's vision of it.


That's three opinions, but no actual evidence to support any of them.

When you say 'forces of the market' you don't realize what you are talking about, as: what happens to the kid whose school is shut down? Is his education simply interrupted without any repercussions?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:28 pm
We love Holy Joe for his personal integrity and honesty. We can believe what he says. For example, in his 2006 debate with Lamont, Joe said...
Quote:
"I want Democrats to be back in the majority in Washington and elect a Democratic president in 2008. This man and his supporters will frustrate and defeat our hopes of doing that."
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:30 pm
And as regards Huckabee, well there's no getting away from how he is just like Bill Clnton. Romney tells us so in a new mailer.

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/images/2007-12-17_romney_hope_1.jpg
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/images/2007-12-17_romney_hope_2.jpg
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:46 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
okie wrote:
So you don't believe there is any waste in government or inefficient programs?


Man, can you post without committing a logical fallacy? Now you have resorted to Appealing to Extremes.

The point isn't that there is zero waste, it's that the mindset which leads one to be a successful businessman will not translate into a successful leader. A successful leader cannot just cut away 'dead wood' without considering the ramifications. Therefore, the things that Romney learned to do while running businesses will not be easily translated into running the country.

Cycloptichorn


You should beware of accusing others of logical errors in a screed of your own that is so replete with them.

In the first place it is evident that you are motivated by prejudices toward "business" that I strongly suspect are not validated by any personal and meaningful experience or training. In the second, I believe you harbor some fairly narrow (and incomplete) concepts of just what constitutes leadership.

Knowing when to walk away from a bad bet, an underperforming investment, a losing campaign or a failed policy is a key element of successful leadership in every area of human endeavor from poker to business investment, military strategy or politics. A leader who - in any of these areas - lacks the insight and the will to act in accordance with this time-honored principle will surely fail those who depend on him.

During WWII President FDR knowingly abandoned a rather large U.S. military establishment in the Phillipines and Far East, in favor of sending immediate aid to a badly beleaguered Britain. Tens of thousands of Americans suffered defeat and imprisionment at the rather unkind hands of the conquoring Japanese. There were indeed considerable ramifications to this "cutting away of dead wood" in our government and military services. The evidence suggests that Roosevelt did indeed consider them, but he acted decisively (and some say, ruthlessly) nevertheless.

I have had the experience of managing turnarounds in businesses. One an engineering consultancy company, headquartered in Walnut Creek (about 400 employees) was (after we foolishly bought it) discovered to be rife with internal discord, some led by its senior officers; have large uncollectable receivables on its books; faced with lawsuits over allegations of past design errors; and rapidly declining sales. It is not possible in such circumstances to mobilize the unity of purpose and action required to save the enterprise from complete collapse without drastic action - frankly very often the more drastic the better. I fired a couple of VPs just to end the discord & get the attention of the others; closed underperforming offices, together amounting to about 100 people; and hunkered down do deal with the legal and performance issues before uis. The shocks rapidly mobilized those who remained and the company eventually prospered.

There are numerous components of our government bureaucracy that need similar shocks. Very likely the Immigration and Naturalization Service is one. I can tell you from direct experience that the Department of Energy is another. Perhaps you should look up the history of the FAA and Reagan's reform of the Air Traffic Controller's union in the early year sof his first administration.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 12:53 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
okie wrote:
So you don't believe there is any waste in government or inefficient programs?


Man, can you post without committing a logical fallacy? Now you have resorted to Appealing to Extremes.

The point isn't that there is zero waste, it's that the mindset which leads one to be a successful businessman will not translate into a successful leader. A successful leader cannot just cut away 'dead wood' without considering the ramifications. Therefore, the things that Romney learned to do while running businesses will not be easily translated into running the country.

Cycloptichorn


You should beware of accusing others of logical errors in a screed of your own that is so replete with them.

In the first place it is evident that you are motivated by prejudices toward "business" that I strongly suspect are not validated by any personal and meaningful experience or training. In the second, I believe you harbor some fairly narrow (and incomplete) concepts of just what constitutes leadership.

Knowing when to walk away from a bad bet, an underperforming investment, a losing campaign or a failed policy is a key element of successful leadership in every area of human endeavor from poker to business investment, military strategy or politics. A leader who - in any of these areas - lacks the insight and the will to act in accordance with this time-honored principle will surely fail those who depend on him.

During WWII President FDR knowingly abandoned a rather large U.S. military establishment in the Phillipines and Far East, in favor of sending immediate aid to a badly beleaguered Britain. Tens of thousands of Americans suffered defeat and imprisionment at the rather unkind hands of the conquoring Japanese. There were indeed considerable ramifications to this "cutting away of dead wood" in our government and military services. The evidence suggests that Roosevelt did indeed consider them, but he acted decisively (and some say, ruthlessly) nevertheless.

I have had the experience of managing turnarounds in businesses. One an engineering consultancy company, headquartered in Walnut Creek (about 400 employees) was (after we foolishly bought it) discovered to be rife with internal discord, some led by its senior officers; have large uncollectable receivables on its books; faced with lawsuits over allegations of past design errors; and rapidly declining sales. It is not possible in such circumstances to mobilize the unity of purpose and action required to save the enterprise from complete collapse without drastic action - frankly very often the more drastic the better. I fired a couple of VPs just to end the discord & get the attention of the others; closed underperforming offices, together amounting to about 100 people; and hunkered down do deal with the legal and performance issues before uis. The shocks rapidly mobilized those who remained and the company eventually prospered.

There are numerous components of our government bureaucracy that need similar shocks. Very likely the Immigration and Naturalization Service is one. I can tell you from direct experience that the Department of Energy is another. Perhaps you should look up the history of the FAA and Reagan's reform of the Air Traffic Controller's union in the early year sof his first administration.


Being prejudiced towards 'big business' is not a logical fallacy, George.

The VPs you fired can get jobs elsewhere. Those who rely upon certain social services long and often decried by Republicans as wasteful, most likely will not be able to take equivalent action in their life. Therefore, when describing cutting social programs - something every major Republican candidate has signaled they would like to do - you can't just ignore the effects upon the lives of the constituents, like you did the effects upon the lives of the VP. While those considerations weren't material to your bottom line, they are material when you are running a country. I'm afraid to say that I don't think that someone who sees the US as one big business is qualified to be our leader, George. They have a fundamental problem with their core philosophy. I would also point out that the history of successful presidents who ran the US as a business is somewhere around zero in the modern era, adding additional credence to the fact that my opinion is widely shared by others and is borne out by the historical record.

Also, I'd appreciate it if you dropped the tired 'you don't have the experience to have an opinion' line. The percentage of those who have ran major companies in the US is far less then 1%, yet you seem to believe that those who have not have no ability to find out information pertaining to the ethics and morality and reality of doing so. This is ridiculous, and frankly I'm getting a little tired of it, as it is also condescending.

Cycloptichorn

on edit: I meant to specifically address this:

Quote:


Knowing when to walk away from a bad bet, an underperforming investment, a losing campaign or a failed policy is a key element of successful leadership in every area of human endeavor from poker to business investment, military strategy or politics


But, not in governance. You see, you can't just 'walk away' from your constituents, as they don't go away. They begin to create problems. Those problems cost money, lots of money, as well as productivity. When in business you see a bad deal, you cut your losses. We can't do that in governance, in terms of people, b/c our losses will cut us back just as hard if we try.

Naturally, this problem is one of the fundamental tensions in governance: to provide some sort of social order and relief of problems without becoming completely beholden to the citizen's every need. Those who seek to promote a business management style of governance have a duty to show that they understand this tension, and will not err on the side of simply pretending that the problems addressed by certain social programs will vanish if we cut those programs. To be fair to Romney, I haven't seen too much idiocy from him on this issue, but Giuliani makes this error every time he opens his mouth.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:19 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
To be fair to Romney, I haven't seen too much idiocy from him on this issue, but Giuliani makes this error every time he opens his mouth.


Another quote from the Republican debate:

Quote:
WASHBURN: So, Mayor, you've said you would cut nonmilitary spending 10 percent, across the board.

What sort of sacrifices would that require from people who use those government services?

GIULIANI: Well, that would require their trying to figure out other ways to do it.


Your problem, people, not mine. Figure it out!
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:27 pm
You have been rather brusquely critical of Okie, asserting quite unambiguously that you know for sure just what skills and experiences of businessmen do and don't apply to politics and governance. Evidently you also believe that others should merely accept all this without question or comment. The fact is that the world is indeed populated with people who have such experience and some are here and know better. A prickly sensitivity to criticism in any form is a good way to preserve one's ignorance and illusions - something perhaps you should consider seriously.

My intent was not to be condescending, but rather to respond directly to some rather unsupportable assertions on your part. If you are not interested in the subject, but rather would prefer to go on archly berating others who disagree with you merely for your amusement - as opposed to engaging in a dialogue from which all just might benefit - that is, of course, your call.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:32 pm
On Fox this weekend, Kristol close to admitted that Giuliani is joining Thompson up shitcreek. Horrible state of affairs.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:35 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
You have been rather brusquely critical of Okie, asserting quite unambiguously that you know for sure just what skills and experiences of businessmen do and don't apply to politics and governance. Evidently you also believe that others should merely accept all this without question or comment. The fact is that the world is indeed populated with people who have such experience and some are here and know better. A prickly sensitivity to criticism in any form is a good way to preserve one's ignorance and illusions - something perhaps you should consider seriously.

My intent was not to be condescending, but rather to respond directly to some rather unsupportable assertions on your part. If you are not interested in the subject, but rather would prefer to go on archly berating others who disagree with you merely for your amusement - as opposed to engaging in a dialogue from which all just might benefit - that is, of course, your call.


As long as you are aware that your opinions are exactly that, then there's not much of a problem. Only when you begin to assert that others' opinions are invalid, do we run into a problem; suggestions that people who do not have executive experience, cannot accurately judge the requirements for positions in gov't which do, smack of this.

Name the 'unsupportable assertion', and I guarantee it will be addressed directly. I am not in the habit of refusing to provide additional information for my positions when asked to do so.

You have managed to avoid addressing my quite substantial position: that you cannot cut away 'dead wood' amongst your citizens and constituents in the same way as a businessman can do so. I'm not particularly surprised by this. You also have not shown that there is a history of successful businessmen becoming successful presidents.

I have not seen any evidence which shows success in business is an indicator that one will be successful as a leader of our nation. Proponents of this theory inevitably - in my opinion - are relying on something other then logic and historical record when they assert that all leadership is similar in nature and that one transmits easily another situation.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:47 pm
Well, there is the "MBA Presidency" we all currently are reaping such benefits from.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:50 pm
From Harvard, yet. Supposed to be one of the premier business schools in the US.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:52 pm
Last time I brought that up, I was yelled at for 'dirty tricks.'

Is all leadership experience equivalent? That would seem to be the argument that many are making here.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2006/writers/jeffri_chadiha/03/01/young.take/index.html&h=338&w=300&sz=39&hl=en&start=1&um=1&tbnid=Ca3bUWBe0E9j7M:&tbnh=119&tbnw=106&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dvince%2Byoung%26svnum%3D10%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-US:official%26sa%3DN

Here's Vince Young. He is, by all accounts, a leader. He led his team to ultimate victory in College Football and has gone on to lead his team in the NFL. People who have played with him consistently report his intelligence, teamwork, positive attitude and hard-working nature.

Does this mean that Vince would make a good president?

Of course not!

Just like the experiences of business leaders would not make them good presidents. Leadership in one area, while helpful, does not provide positive evidence that one is qualified to govern. It is a different creature.

Is it a surprise to anyone, that Republicans seem to believe that there is no particular trick, or skill, involved with governance, that cannot be done as good or better by a business leader? It is not to me. A party which consistently and admittedly places the interests of business over those of individuals is bound to feel this way.

I agree with Blatham - recent events have shown the folly of believing that business experience is in any way an indicator of good governance.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 01:58 pm
Cyclo is correct: there is no evidence that being a good business man or woman guarantees he/she will be a good politician/president. It helps, but it doesn't guarantee political success.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 02:04 pm
Damn, stretched the page and couldn't edit it out - my apologies.

Cycloptichorn
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 02:51 pm
I'm a bit weary of this debate, replete as it is with non sequitors, evasive restatements, confusion of necessary and sufficient criteria, and artful confusion of various affirmations & negations..

I never asserted that business experience was a necessary prerequisite for success in politics or national leadership.

However I did assert that the key elements of leadership, including strategy assessment, decision-making, motivating and challenging others and the habit of personal accountability are important factors in success in public office - along with wisdom and virtue.

I did assert that, in assessing the character and potential of candidates in these areas, leadership experience in business - or any other area of life - does indeed offer potentially meaningful indicators. I also asserted that the essential challenges of leadership, whether met in business, politics, the military or any other venue have many elements in common.

I never suggested that Mitt Romney was qualified to be president solely based on his rather stunning success at Bain & Co. Rather I noted the confluence of his success in Business, in public service (with the winter olympics) and as Governor of a very liberal state was strongly suggestive of some transcendent underlying skill in this area. I also suggested that together these experiences might be found more meaningful and reliable than that gained in 4 years in the Senate (and I offered a few rather compelling examples as well).

As to the matter of cutting off social programs that are found to be either ineffective in accomplishing their intended purpose or merely wasteful and less condusive to the public good than other efforts, the inconvenience of those affected is not the decisive issue.

I referred Cyclo to the Air traffic Controller's strike during the early Reagan years. Unfortunately he failed to follow up on it. The facts are these (1) These unionized Federal Workers had convinced an unwitting public that theirs was a particularly stressful job - sitting in an air-conditioned room directing aircraft on computer generated radar displays. (2) For several years the quality of the services they were providing had been deteriorating (as a pilot I can testify to the truth of this), meanwhile they were milking the Federal disability system and retiring on full disability (due to "stress") at an average age of about 53. Their union decided to embark on an illegal strike to get even higher wages, and after warning them, President Reagan fired the lot of them. The system was operated - safely and successfully - by supervisors and military air traffic controllers for about six months while a new cadre of controllers was trained. The problem was solved and improved safety and service resulted. No one was very concerned about the former controllers who simply got caught with their hands in the till. That was an example of good leadership in public affairs.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 03:10 pm
And Reagan's background>>? Actor.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 17 Dec, 2007 03:13 pm
Thanks for the defense, george.

I personally believe this country's government was more intended for people that made an honest living doing something else other than government to donate a few years to go to Washington and conduct the minimim amount of business necessary to keep the essential services of government running. I don't think we are best served by career politicians and bureaucrats in Washington making policies for all the activities and businesses that they know absolutely nothing about. Sadly, that is why lobbyists are so necessary to educate these people that are literally in over their heads when they try to write laws.

Therefore, I much prefer someone that knows something about business before he gets there. That is why I have said many times I would be most happy if people like Bill or Hillary would go back to Arkansas and for once in their entire life get an honest job, then come back a few years later and tell us what they learned.

We now have a couple of guys in Washington that know a little about the oil business, but from liberals all they get is constant grief and accusations. Meanwhile it is obvious that liberal lawyers in Congress are in never never land in regard to business and energy. Idealistic plans are nice, but just a little realism is needed once in a while.
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