@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:
Prudence is a virtue, but to deny oneself the capacity to make bold moves is self-defeating.
You seem be a fan of Brexit. There's nothing incremental about it though. It's not even carefully planned or anything. It's a jump in the unknown. You would dismiss it on this basis alone, if you weren't so incoherent.
Well I don't accept the notion my position is incoherent. The ongoing, heated political struggle in the UK baffles me a bit - lots of conflicts over the details of the deal and their consequences, but no direct attacks on the idea of BREXIT itself (at least none I'm aware of). Meanwhile it would be difficult to accuse the EU officials of being at all cooperative and at all interested in future cooperative relations in the process so far.
I'm not a particular fan of Brexit as such, but I do believe that this event is a predictable outcome of some uniquely British characteristics , and the recent trajectory of EU governance.
It's worth recalling that British voters defeated proposals for EU membership after the transition of the brilliantly successful Common Market, to a rather poorly defined leap to "ever closer union" under an EU governing apparatus with virtually unlimited legislative and judicial power over member states. Following that. and a change of mind of the British Government, French President de Gaulle, twice I believe, rejected British applications for membership, based on his expressed conviction that Britain was not naturally a part of the continental Europe political union they were seeking, and would ultimately find it unsatisfactory. Recent events may have confirmed his prescience.
Brexit is not the only area of tension within today's EU. There are economical and political divides between north and South and, as well, East and West elements of the EU family. Resentment is visibly growing in Poland, Hungary Greece, Italy and recently Spain, towards the Franco-German duopoly that appears actually to run the EU. Critics say this duopoly is held together by France's desire for both leadership and a continuation of generous agricultural subsidies from the EU. In a similar manner Germany is seen to be driven by analogous drives for leadership and power, and a need to sustain a Eurozone that ties Germanys principal export markets to its currency ( a significant subsidy itself) and detailed technical rules that make it difficult for her customers go anywhere else.
The EU is and has been a remarkably ambitious and successful political experiment that has undeniably addressed the centuries of wars and destruction that afflicted Europe. It has also been very effective in restoring economic and political activity in the former states of the Soviet Empire. However during the last three decades a number of issues and resulting tensions have arisen , many regarding the limits of member states to manage their own affairs, both legislative and judicial, and the corresponding limits on these powers of the governing, very large and wide, Union. Brexit or no Brexit these issues will have to be resolved for the continuing health of the EU.
I'm a sympathetic spectator in all this and take no sides in the issue. For whatever its worth, my parents were Irish immigrants who as children experienced the Irish Rebellion and civil war that followed. They were no fans of British rule, and were regular contributors to IRA fundraising events.