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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:12 pm
Previously, Okie posted the following message.

okie wrote:
And whats a bigger waste of energy than production of movies for crying out loud, for what, to make them richer?


This post clearly criticized people for the "affront" of starting a business for the purpose of becoming wealthy. Surely this is the most anti-capitalist, economically authoritarian position imaginable, and Okie was rightly called on it.

In reply, Okie wrote:
okie wrote:
.... and I simply pointed out their [Hollywood's] hypocrisy because of their lavish and energy wasteful lifestyle.


It is true that elsewhere in his post, Okie dealt with what he felt was hypocrisy on the part of Hollywood people. However, in the sentence in question he does not even mention hypocrisy. In this sentence, he criticizes Hollywood people for becoming wealthy from their business. As if there is anything wrong with that.



Okie wrote:
Furthermore, I am not being anti-capitalistic,

Of course you are. In that sentence, you are criticizing people for no other reason than making money at their legal business. Other criticisms you had, such as they were, were dealt with elsewhere in your post-not here. Here, you are criticizing them merely for making money at their business.



Okie wrote:
....but just because there are lots of things that people make a living doing does not mean I love all of them....

You don't have to love them. But if you are going to criticize a person's business, criticize it for something OTHER than they make money from it. Criticize it because it the factory fouls the air, criticize it because the place of business is an eyesore, criticize it for whatever reason you think is convincing. But don't criticize someone for the simple fact of making money from their business. For Chrissakes, when you go into business, that is what you are supposed to do!
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:23 pm
Cyclops, you might wish to do some web searches yourself, but this was found in a very short time concerning greenhouse gases produced by creating hydrogen.

http://www.h2gen.com/pages/hydrogen_economy_subpages/sub7.html

This quote from the above: Making hydrogen by electrolyzing water using grid electricity substantially increases GHGs in the US. While there are no emissions from the electrolyzer or the FCV, most of the electricity to run the electrolyzer comes from burning coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel . Estimating GHGs from the electrical grid requires the estimation of the marginal grid mix.

Now, the argument can be made that electricity from wind or solar can be used that creates no greenhouse gases, but cyclops, we live in reality, not hoped for reality 40 years from now. The current reality is that we are nowhere close to creating a significant percentage of our electricity from wind and solar, and we will not be able to change that any time in the near future. Also, better ways of making hydrogen is being worked on, but the technology is far from being perfected.

So I think you need to apologize to Foxfyre for posting an opinion that you said was wrong, and it turns out she is close to being very right. After all, she posted it as an opinion to be further discussed, not hard data.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:27 pm
okie wrote:
parados wrote:
OMG okie. I found it. Your argument there is HILARIOUS.

http://www.able2know.com/forums/viewtopic.php?p=2005792&highlight=denver#2005792

If the average bus trip is 7.54 miles HOW in the hell can a car trip be MORE efficient to make up for the gas mileage?

In order for that to occur the average driving trip would have to be 5.5 miles. (assuming a 22 mpg average for a in town driving.)

If we take the reported average US mpg of 17 it would require that the average trip be 4.3 miles.




Come on Parados, you are smarter than what you just wrote, I hope. Here is my quote from that link:

I picked out Denver RTD, and if I am interpreting the data correctly, the buses traveled 26,424,000 miles while consuming 6,707,000 gallons of fuel for an average of 3.94 mpg. Another column showed annual passenger miles as 199,205,000, which translates into an average of about 7.54 in passenger average. Multiply 7.54 by 3.94 and the result is 29.7 mpg for equivalent fuel usage if everybody drove a car instead in the exact same route as the buses to get to their destinations, which I don't think would happen. This is worse than the Portland data. Some of the other ones are probably better; I did not calculate them out.

The average passengers on a Denver bus was 7.54 for every mile driven by the entire bus system, so I multiplied 7.54 by the average fuel consumption of 3.94 mpg, which yields a result of 29.7 passenger miles per gallon, which is worse than I remembered by the way. So if each and every person that rode the bus would drive a car alone to their destinations in Denver, and that car got 29.7 mpg, then cars would be as efficient as buses. Add to this the circuitous route every passenger may possibly take on a bus to arrive at their destination vs going the most direct route by car, which is virtually impossible to calculate, but using common sense, the average mileage of a personal car to equal the bus would almost assuredly be lowered to 25 mpg at least, and I think probably more. I base this on personal experience and by talking to other people. Add to the equation the possibility that people drive to a parking lot to catch a bus, and also add the additional pollution emitted by diesel buses.

And as I previously pointed out, any carpooling in cars multiplies the efficiency of cars over buses in Denver. Case closed, Parados.


I guess I misread passenger average as passenger average trip. There is nothing there to tell us how long the trips were. The average trip length could have been 1 mile for all we know.

Driving to a parking lot near a freeway doesn't change things a bit. It would ADD to the time spent in the car. You can't start one trip from the freeway and the other from the person's house. In the city people don't drive to a bus. I can catch the bus 2 blocks from my house

Your 25mpg is unrealistic. The average CAFE fleet standard for vehicles in the US has been roughly 20 mpg since 1986. Quite a bit different from your claim. (20 mpg is in a lab under ideal conditions. It doesn't include stop and go driving which reduces mpg. Nor does it include all the other factors that adversely affect fuel economy, improperly inflated tires, poorly tuned engine, etc.)

You assume that people that presently use the bus take circuitous routes. A rather iffy assumption. Most people that ride the bus make that decision because it is more effective or cheaper. Someone that would have to spend an hour on a bus with a change of buses vs 15 minutes in a car is probably driving a car. I am sure you don't take the bus, if we want to deal with anecdotes you can understand.

Yes car pooling could be more efficient but there is no mention of car pooling in your statement.

It doesn't change the fact that the average single person in a car has to drive 33-43% LESS distance than the trip the bus takes to be more efficient. (20/29.7 - 17/29.7)
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:30 pm
okie wrote:
Cyclops, you might wish to do some web searches yourself, but this was found in a very short time concerning greenhouse gases produced by creating hydrogen.

http://www.h2gen.com/pages/hydrogen_economy_subpages/sub7.html

This quote from the above: Making hydrogen by electrolyzing water using grid electricity substantially increases GHGs in the US. While there are no emissions from the electrolyzer or the FCV, most of the electricity to run the electrolyzer comes from burning coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel . Estimating GHGs from the electrical grid requires the estimation of the marginal grid mix.

Now, the argument can be made that electricity from wind or solar can be used that creates no greenhouse gases, but cyclops, we live in reality, not hoped for reality 40 years from now. The current reality is that we are nowhere close to creating a significant percentage of our electricity from wind and solar, and we will not be able to change that any time in the near future. Also, better ways of making hydrogen is being worked on, but the technology is far from being perfected.

So I think you need to apologize to Foxfyre for posting an opinion that you said was wrong, and it turns out she is close to being very right. After all, she posted it as an opinion to be further discussed, not hard data.


The problem with this argument is, we are probably 40 years away from a hydrogen car, regardless of the technology used to produce the hydrogen itself. There are a myriad number of storage problems involved which have held this technology back.

Also, there is the perfectly reasonable option of using nuclear power to produce the hydrogen. This technology currently exists, as you know, and does not produce emissions.

Fox does not differentiate between opinions and hard data. In this case, she used an anecdotal opinion which was actually factually incorrect - it isn't the production of the Hydrogen which produces waste, but the production of the energy used to produce the hydrogen. This didn't stop her from using the argument that alternative sources were less efficient than gasoline in the long run, even though it doesn't take more than a minute of thinking to find the logical holes in the argument.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:32 pm
kelticwizard wrote:
Previously, Okie posted the following message.

okie wrote:
And whats a bigger waste of energy than production of movies for crying out loud, for what, to make them richer?


This post clearly criticized people for the "affront" of starting a business for the purpose of becoming wealthy. Surely this is the most anti-capitalist, economically authoritarian position imaginable, and Okie was rightly called on it.

In reply, Okie wrote:
okie wrote:
.... and I simply pointed out their [Hollywood's] hypocrisy because of their lavish and energy wasteful lifestyle.


It is true that elsewhere in his post, Okie dealt with what he felt was hypocrisy on the part of Hollywood people. However, in the sentence in question he does not even mention hypocrisy. In this sentence, he criticizes Hollywood people for becoming wealthy from their business. As if there is anything wrong with that.



Okie wrote:
Furthermore, I am not being anti-capitalistic,

Of course you are. In that sentence, you are criticizing people for no other reason than making money at their legal business. Other criticisms you had, such as they were, were dealt with elsewhere in your post-not here. Here, you are criticizing them merely for making money at their business.



Okie wrote:
....but just because there are lots of things that people make a living doing does not mean I love all of them....

You don't have to love them. But if you are going to criticize a person's business, criticize it for something OTHER than they make money from it. Criticize it because it the factory fouls the air, criticize it because the place of business is an eyesore, criticize it for whatever reason you think is convincing. But don't criticize someone for the simple fact of making money from their business. For Chrissakes, when you go into business, that is what you are supposed to do!


Keltic, I criticized the business not solely for the reason that they were making money, but for making money in a basically non-essential endeavor that consumes alot of energy while the people that are doing it claim to be so environmentally concious, and I pointed out the hypocrisy of the lavish personal lifestyles of tree hugging libs in that industry.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:36 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Fox does not differentiate between opinions and hard data. In this case, she used an anecdotal opinion which was actually factually incorrect - it isn't the production of the Hydrogen which produces waste, but the production of the energy used to produce the hydrogen. This didn't stop her from using the argument that alternative sources were less efficient than gasoline in the long run, even though it doesn't take more than a minute of thinking to find the logical holes in the argument.

Cycloptichorn


Cyclops, simply quit splitting hairs and admit Foxfyre was correct. I frankly see little difference in the production of the hydrogen and the energy used to produce the hydrogen, it all involves the production of hydrogen. I say you owe Foxfyre an apology.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:40 pm
okie wrote:
Cyclops, you might wish to do some web searches yourself, but this was found in a very short time concerning greenhouse gases produced by creating hydrogen.

http://www.h2gen.com/pages/hydrogen_economy_subpages/sub7.html

This quote from the above: Making hydrogen by electrolyzing water using grid electricity substantially increases GHGs in the US. While there are no emissions from the electrolyzer or the FCV, most of the electricity to run the electrolyzer comes from burning coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel . Estimating GHGs from the electrical grid requires the estimation of the marginal grid mix.

Now, the argument can be made that electricity from wind or solar can be used that creates no greenhouse gases, but cyclops, we live in reality, not hoped for reality 40 years from now. The current reality is that we are nowhere close to creating a significant percentage of our electricity from wind and solar, and we will not be able to change that any time in the near future. Also, better ways of making hydrogen is being worked on, but the technology is far from being perfected.

So I think you need to apologize to Foxfyre for posting an opinion that you said was wrong, and it turns out she is close to being very right. After all, she posted it as an opinion to be further discussed, not hard data.


One small problem with this. Grid electricity is NOT the only way to produce hydrogen. There are many other ways. It uses the same false logic we have seen time and again. It takes a SINGLE way and shows it is bad which is then interpolated to ALL ways being bad. It is complete BS and shows an inability to think.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 12:44 pm
okie wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Fox does not differentiate between opinions and hard data. In this case, she used an anecdotal opinion which was actually factually incorrect - it isn't the production of the Hydrogen which produces waste, but the production of the energy used to produce the hydrogen. This didn't stop her from using the argument that alternative sources were less efficient than gasoline in the long run, even though it doesn't take more than a minute of thinking to find the logical holes in the argument.

Cycloptichorn


Cyclops, simply quit splitting hairs and admit Foxfyre was correct. I frankly see little difference in the production of the hydrogen and the energy used to produce the hydrogen, it all involves the production of hydrogen. I say you owe Foxfyre an apology.


That's an interesting opinion; you don't see a difference in between the production of a commodity, and the steps which go into the production of a commodity used to produce said commodity? That's ridiculous.

On Preview, KW spelled it out exactly; Fox is interpolating that Hydrogen causes more environmental damage, because some of the means to make hydrogen that we currently use cause environmental damage. But we could just as easily use other means to produce that hydrogen, without causing said damage. Therefore Fox's point fails under inspection.

This is the problem with the vast majority of her points: they fail under any sort of rational inspection. Why apologize for pointing this out? It isn't 'splitting hairs' to point out the error in someone's logic.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:22 pm
okie wrote:
Keltic, I criticized the business not solely for the reason that they were making money....

I don't see where you get off criticizing any business for making money, whether solely or as an addition to some other reason. Profit is the reason people go into business, and while you are free to criticize what those businesses do to make that profit, you cannot criticize them for being in business for the purpose of making a profit.

Fact is, you don't like Hollywood for other reasons, so as long as you let yourself get carried away with a bunch of other criticisms, you figured you'd throw "they're getting rich making movies" on top of the pile.

And by doing so, you revealed yourself as someone who posts because he thinks things through, but rather finds any stupid excuse to run down someone or something he doesn't like, whether the criticism makes any sense or not.
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:29 pm
Okie wrote:
but for making money in a basically non-essential endeavor [movies] that consumes alot of energy....


Say Okie, didn't Ronald Reagan spend most of his life as a movie actor? I guess according to you, he's got a lot of apologizing to do for spending so much time consuming energy in a non-essential endeavor.

Especially since he did this during WW II, when we needed all the energy we could get!!
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:29 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
That's an interesting opinion; you don't see a difference in between the production of a commodity, and the steps which go into the production of a commodity used to produce said commodity? That's ridiculous.

On Preview, KW spelled it out exactly; Fox is interpolating that Hydrogen causes more environmental damage, because some of the means to make hydrogen that we currently use cause environmental damage. But we could just as easily use other means to produce that hydrogen, without causing said damage. Therefore Fox's point fails under inspection.

This is the problem with the vast majority of her points: they fail under any sort of rational inspection. Why apologize for pointing this out? It isn't 'splitting hairs' to point out the error in someone's logic.

Cycloptichorn


Foxfyre was simply making a statement that running cars on hydrogen with current technology is not automatically going to be good, thats all. I have always recognized that burning hydrogen in the cars is not the problem, it is production of the hydrogen, which we all should understand, so your argument is ridiculous, cyclops. Your argument is akin to saying that using lots of electricity does not produce pollution. Obviously the use of electricity does not, but to use it, you must first produce it. Must we argue the obvious here, or is the obvious not obvious enough to some?

Parados wrote:
One small problem with this. Grid electricity is NOT the only way to produce hydrogen. There are many other ways. It uses the same false logic we have seen time and again. It takes a SINGLE way and shows it is bad which is then interpolated to ALL ways being bad. It is complete BS and shows an inability to think.


I will use you guys favorite saying, although I don't like it, your argument is a "STRAWMAN," hahahaha, see, I can use that term too. Grid electricity is not the only way to produce hydrogen, but obviously Parados, if a significant amount of hydrogen was to be produced in the now to contribute to fueling vehicles to any significant percentage, it would likely be from grid electricity now. Nobody is taking a position that the technology cannot be perfected sometime in the future to avoid such a scenario, but for now, simply to advocate hydrogen as the answer that is being ignored is totally ridiculous. And to assume that if it was done now, it would not impact greenhouse gas emissions, is also totally ridiculous. Foxfyre made this obvious and true observation, and she was right.

I hear people all the time make outlandish statements about the energy crisis or the consumption of oil being so easily solved, that all we have to do is convert to a hydrogen economy for example and the problem is solved, we need to inject at least some reality into the discussion here. If such problems were so easily solved, it would be already done. It is not a conspiracy of Bush and his oil company buddies to prevent a transition to other energy sources. You may not believe this, but it is unbelievable how many uninformed people might believe things like that.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:30 pm
A strawman?

You don't seem to know what a strawman is okie.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:32 pm
Its a false argument, Parados, which yours is.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:33 pm
Quote:
Grid electricity is not the only way to produce hydrogen, but obviously Parados, if a significant amount of hydrogen was to be produced in the now to contribute to fueling vehicles to any significant percentage, it would likely be from grid electricity now.


Yet, this is a strawman as well, as noone was advancing the Hydrogen car as a solution to our current problems, were they?

Quote:
Your argument is akin to saying that using lots of electricity does not produce pollution. Obviously the use of electricity does not, but to use it, you must first produce it. Must we argue the obvious here, or is the obvious not obvious enough to some?


No, it isn't obvious. It would be like claiming that using electricity is a problem. It isn't a problem, the problem is in the production of the electricity. That is an attackable problem, one that can be solved without stopping using electricity altogether.

Using lots of electricity doesn't produce lots of pollution, in fact. Only some methods used to produce energy produce pollution. You are attacking the wrong step of the problem here.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:39 pm
Well, the whole point is I don't think Foxfyre was far wrong in terms of the end result given today's technology. After all, she did not present a term paper on it, but simply made a simple statement, which I think you are splitting way too many hairs over in your criticism, which implied she was totally wrong, and that is clearly not the case.

The truth is I don't think there is any technology that is totally benign. There are tradeoffs with everything we do.

And cyclops and parados, document if you can that a significant amount of electricity is currently produced from anything other than fossil fuels. You can't because it isn't.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 01:48 pm
It wasn't ever anyone's argument that a 'significant amount of energy is produced by anything other than fossil fuels,' although worldwide there is actually a significant amount of energy produced. This is another straw man.

Let's look at what Fox said:
Quote:

Energy efficient? I am reserving judgment on that, but it sure doesn't look like it is.

Hydrogen powered cars for instance emit no greenhouse gasses. But according to what one engineer in the business told me recently, it requires twice the greenhouse gas emitting energy to produce the hydrogen as it does to produce the equivalent mileage in gasoline. So do we gain anything? Probably not.


This is such a false statement, it's hard to know where to begin.

Mostly, however, it doesn't require the use of greenhouse gas emitting energy to produce hydrogen. Therefore, Hydrogen cannot be said to be a pollutant in the fashion that gasoline is, because while you can change the type of energy used to make hydrogen into fuel and have it be perfectly clean, you cannot do this with gasoline which will always give off emissions. I am also skeptical as to whether or not this takes into account the amount of emissions used during the mining and production process for the gasoline, as well as the burning of the gasoline for motive power.

But this is all a huge sidetrack anyways, as noone besides Fox was advocating for Hydrogen cars to solve our problems with pollution. We were in the middle of a discussion about gas mileage of automobiles vs. the bus, in which you were claiming that the bus is no more efficient for the majority of drivers than automobiles; and I believe there is better discussion in that point than in arguing about Fox's typical mistakes in logic.

To get us back on track, I'll say to you: what about natural gas busses, or electric ones? Are they still more inefficient than cars?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 02:08 pm
Okie, in routine discussion, was making a point that commuting on a bus traveling a substantial distance is no more energy efficient than driving a Hummer one mile to work.

In that context, I added to the discussion the current local effort of using a train to making commuting more energy efficient.

Also within this context I said in my Post: 2280622 -
Quote:
Energy efficient? I am reserving judgment on that, but it sure doesn't look like it is.

Hydrogen powered cars for instance emit no greenhouse gasses. But according to what one engineer in the business told me recently, it requires twice the greenhouse gas emitting energy to produce the hydrogen as it does to produce the equivalent mileage in gasoline. So do we gain anything? Probably not.


To which Cyclop responded
Post: 2280904 -
Quote:
Fox does not differentiate between opinions and hard data. In this case, she used an anecdotal opinion which was actually factually incorrect - it isn't the production of the Hydrogen which produces waste, but the production of the energy used to produce the hydrogen. This didn't stop her from using the argument that alternative sources were less efficient than gasoline in the long run, even though it doesn't take more than a minute of thinking to find the logical holes in the argument
.

Now I could go back through the last several pages and lift every statement Cyclops has cited as "fact"while citing absolutely no supporting documentation, not to mention the way he has frequently misrepresented what people actually say. (That could include the immediately preceding one.). In fact I think I'll copy the whole discussion as it might come in handy if he continues on this tact. But for now I'll simply again respond to that with his own words posted another time when he was challenged to provide substantiation for a statement of fact:

Cyclops Post 1311579
Quote:
My above statement is presented as opinion. You are free to disagree with it; if I wanted to state it as a categorical fact, I would have provided supporting evidence, which I didn't care to do.


And this is fairly good documentation, absent several other of his personally directed slurs, that illustrates why I adopted my personal policy of not feeding, the trolls, arguing with idiots, or engaging in exercises of futility.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 02:14 pm
Fox, sigh. The major difference is that if someone calls me on presenting anecdotal opinion as fact, or as a supporting part of an argument, I either agree with them that it is only my opinion, or I support it with facts. You have done neither, and this is what differentiates you from other posters; you never see the need to do so, even when called on it.

Quote:
In fact I think I'll copy the whole discussion as it might come in handy if he continues on this tact.


One would think a teacher such as yourself would know the difference between the words Tact and tack. You should proofread before attacking the intelligence of other posters, really Laughing

Quote:
That could include the immediately preceding one.


I would challenge you to find 'facts' presented by me in the last several posts which are based upon anecdotal evidence, and yet I refuse to admit that they are not either facts nor germane to the conversation, but only my opinions.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 02:17 pm
But this is all besides the point anyways. The vast majority of posters here made their mind up about Fox one way or the other long ago; so what's the point of discussing her inability to follow simple logic any further? There is none. I would much rather return to a conversation about the efficiency of mass transit vs. private automobiles.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Mon 25 Sep, 2006 02:20 pm
Cyclops Post 1311579
Quote:
Quote:
My above statement is presented as opinion. You are free to disagree with it; if I wanted to state it as a categorical fact, I would have provided supporting evidence, which I didn't care to do.



And this is fairly good documentation, absent several other of his personally directed slurs, that illustrates why I adopted my personal policy of not feeding, the trolls, arguing with idiots, or engaging in exercises of futility.

And man did I get a lot of additional ammunition to use in the last several pages should it be necessary to use them. Smile

(P.S. In the context in which I used it, 'tact' is the correct word.)
0 Replies
 
 

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